Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x864d4eb8ca232a3f17753a925529eafd4f716e3f4061e7d8cc105ad96f4f398d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $480,891
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $501,562
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $480,891 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 336 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x54ac…7c14backed Yes | 51c | 198,284$101,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97,159.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 52c | 88,720$45,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,921.56 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 49c | 48,452$23,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,615.39 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked No | 49c | 39,567$19,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,388 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed No | 49c | 28,571$14,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,000 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed No | 49c | 25,204$12,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,350.16 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 49c | 23,013$11,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,276.22 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 45c | 20,203$9,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,023.93 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd29…77aebacked Yes | 50c | 19,068$9,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,533.79 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked No | 49c | 15,000$7,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,410 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a91…c6b1backed No | 50c | 13,298$6,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,582.56 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb076…3b1cbacked No | 48c | 9,662$4,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,637.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 48c | 8,512$4,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,104.42 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a44…9cc6backed No | 49c | 6,753$3,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,308.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 49c | 6,100$2,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,989 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed No | 49c | 6,000$2,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,910 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 50c | 5,925$2,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,962.49 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 49c | 5,864$2,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,873.31 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0191…93f0backed Yes | 45c | 5,550$2,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,052.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +82.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 49c | 5,262$2,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,572.71 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaae4…9789backed No | 49c | 4,897$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 49c | 4,359$2,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,121.97 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 26c | 4,330$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.9 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 11c | 4,267$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.66 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38f…0f83backed No | 49c | 4,060$1,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,989.33 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e01…0875backed No | 50c | 3,880$1,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,940 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 49c | 3,500$1,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,715 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 28c | 3,193$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.91 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed No | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 49c | 3,000$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf88f…c334backed No | 48c | 2,388$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.31 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -3.2wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 77c | 2,316$1,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.77 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed No | 49c | 2,154$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.46 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 49c | 2,153$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.1 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95ac…3f7cbacked No | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed No | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 49c | 1,843$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.86 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 72c | 1,756$1,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.87 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 49c | 1,689$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.77 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed No | 49c | 1,530$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.7 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 58 | 70.7%41 W · 17 L | +10.4wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes | 77c | 1,420$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.51 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x863a…e495backed No | 49c | 1,415$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked No | 49c | 1,400$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 48c | 1,373$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.23 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed No | 49c | 1,366$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.35 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Yes | 45c | 1,290$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.81 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 49c | 1,281$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.54 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6e…99eabacked No | 48c | 1,225$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed No | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +7.0wins | +0.16per pick | 32cpaid | +260.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked No | 50c | 1,122$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.02 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed No | 66c | 1,065$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.41 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 49c | 1,060$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.8 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Yes | 46c | 1,052$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.94 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked Yes | 47c | 1,032$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.75 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 71c | 1,027$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.34 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed No | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…a246backed No | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3de3…2fc5backed No | 49c | 978.93$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.16 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1c…49c1backed Yes | 51c | 970.6$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 49c | 969.4$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.01 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 77c | 946.25$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.16 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 49c | 900$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked No | 19c | 888.48$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.68 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 49c | 863.54$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.14 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 74c | 819.45$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.06 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 49c | 800$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 49c | 800$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 49c | 775.52$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 51c | 659.42$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.62 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…656dbacked No | 48c | 650$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 33cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc198…6d2cbacked Yes | 46c | 631.04$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +28%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked No | 25c | 596.08$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.9 | 131 | 29.8%39 W · 92 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 49c | 590.12$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.77 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6f…a65fbacked Yes | 52c | 560.31$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc190…02aebacked Yes | 50c | 543.04$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.52 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked No | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked No | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x271c…6a19backed No | 48c | 496.02$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 49c | 495$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.16 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed No | 49c | 468.34$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.19 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 52c | 464.19$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.71 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked No | 49c | 460$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.4 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 49c | 422.02$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.34 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 56c | 421.72$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.81 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 4c | 410$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 222 | 45.9%102 W · 120 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b2…94b8backed Yes | 52c | 409.02$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-25?this page
- Will 1. FC Köln vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?No won
- Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-04-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.