Tweets · resolved market
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8cec42fa4cb741a81129563b6f3d0b27425de3469b3901f8fff6fa3490f14fd4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $115,392
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $98,666
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,392 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes | 1c | 10,023$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.68 | 427 | 19.2%82 W · 345 L | +23.3wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…c978backed Yes | 1c | 5,540$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.25 | 92 | 13%12 W · 80 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 6c | 5,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 83 | 20.5%17 W · 66 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes | 17c | 4,652$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.24 | 572 | 22%126 W · 446 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x448d…3adebacked Yes | 2c | 4,565$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.75 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes | 1c | 4,551$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 552 | 5.6%31 W · 521 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a4…5c99backed Yes | 0c | 3,653$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 5cpaid | +569.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x165e…d94dbacked Yes | 7c | 3,488$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed Yes | 2c | 2,732$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.16 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc775…6b22backed Yes | 6c | 2,666$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.96 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.20per pick | 9cpaid | +299.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d29…cdabbacked Yes | 9c | 1,888$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.07 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa976…5c43backed Yes | 2c | 1,864$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.05 | 380 | 10%38 W · 342 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaaa…1d0ebacked Yes | 8c | 1,663$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.48 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked No | 44c | 1,325$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.23 | 625 | 39.5%247 W · 378 L | +48.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bff…241dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,289$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e7…1b5bbacked Yes | 51c | 1,091$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.32 | 149 | 28.2%42 W · 107 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 41c | 1,066$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.51 | 229 | 26.6%61 W · 168 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…6071backed Yes | 64c | 1,048$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.26 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb15c…c161backed Yes | 3c | 918.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe53a…62fbbacked Yes | 2c | 844.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 21c | 826.34$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.28 | 395 | 18.7%74 W · 321 L | -57.0wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xfa52…780dbacked Yes | 10c | 825.9$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.35 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b11…5a66backed No | 30c | 817.62$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.04 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x732f…201ebacked Yes | 46c | 786.55$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.57 | 397 | 23.2%92 W · 305 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ff…b465backed Yes | 2c | 730.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…567fbacked Yes | 33c | 722.18$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.61 | 361 | 13.3%48 W · 313 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e43…b356backed Yes | 11c | 694.78$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.69 | 178 | 18.5%33 W · 145 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe918…dd23backed Yes | 2c | 666.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…858cbacked Yes | 17c | 627.53$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb9…94f6backed Yes | 2c | 626.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…37febacked Yes | 48c | 614.41$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.61 | 316 | 21.8%69 W · 247 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 23c | 551.46$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.27 | 2,545 | 13.2%335 W · 2,210 L | +4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…c64dbacked Yes | 3c | 528$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 143 | 32.9%47 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9c…2ec7backed Yes | 4c | 522.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 142 | 19.7%28 W · 114 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -46%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc9e…6693backed Yes | 16c | 508.38$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.34 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 43c | 495.17$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.57 | 426 | 28.2%120 W · 306 L | -38.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…d095backed Yes | 27c | 471.9$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.41 | 542 | 74.9%406 W · 136 L | +34.0wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…f004backed Yes | 10c | 466.22$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 60c | 428.74$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.87 | 264 | 61.7%163 W · 101 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3594…f872backed Yes | 74c | 428.15$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…2a75backed Yes | 64c | 360$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 54c | 316.27$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.85 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85ba…578fbacked No | 73c | 309.01$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab8…e564backed No | 52c | 289.98$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7b…5485backed Yes | 7c | 286.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fdf…40b3backed Yes | 4c | 280.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec4…f4a4backed No | 36c | 269.99$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.79 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b31…1ed5backed Yes | 68c | 246.36$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9349…0486backed Yes | 68c | 241.21$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.12 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1849…137ebacked Yes | 61c | 234.89$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.66 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…bdaebacked Yes | 68c | 231.69$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.55 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 25c | 223.75$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.36 | 121 | 6.6%8 W · 113 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa20…fd0dbacked Yes | 73c | 220$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.6 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d8…415cbacked Yes | 51c | 204.3$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 85 | 65.9%56 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3706…9462backed Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb68f…6fd2backed Yes | 69c | 200$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 360 | 18.6%67 W · 293 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca71…cf3ebacked Yes | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba63…6271backed Yes | 11c | 199.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x162e…fe52backed No | 74c | 186.66$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.36 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…487ebacked No | 43c | 182.93$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.39 | 122 | 32.8%40 W · 82 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63ed…437dbacked Yes | 56c | 163.23$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.81 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…0432backed Yes | 30c | 158.93$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.53 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9955…85afbacked No | 63c | 152.14$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.8 | 183 | 57.9%106 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed No | 38c | 150$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 32c | 149.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 592 | 25.3%150 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…4cc9backed No | 32c | 137.74$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.66 | 195 | 27.7%54 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed No | 35c | 136.96$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 102 | 16.7%17 W · 85 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 25c | 136.28$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.86 | 503 | 19.5%98 W · 405 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 28c | 133.96$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.08 | 378 | 30.7%116 W · 262 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x698a…3bedbacked No | 42c | 133.47$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4e…d6edbacked Yes | 59c | 132.32$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.73 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 59c | 131.54$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.86 | 100 | 15%15 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x091f…672ebacked Yes | 34c | 126.09$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.61 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -65%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 57c | 119.05$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.72 | 797 | 35.9%286 W · 511 L | -34.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 55c | 105.37$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.54 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb5…f779backed Yes | 74c | 105.03$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.72 | 165 | 32.7%54 W · 111 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf4…3b45backed No | 43c | 103.8$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.34 | 317 | 43.2%137 W · 180 L | +28.2wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…5217backed No | 36c | 103.48$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb98a…0550backed No | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf0…fdbebacked Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 205 | 32.7%67 W · 138 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f26…1f12backed Yes | 74c | 99.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.99 | 135 | 17%23 W · 112 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb729…6602backed Yes | 13c | 99.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 54c | 96.6$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.14 | 114 | 21.9%25 W · 89 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e4…8171backed Yes | 19c | 95.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x607b…b839backed Yes | 33c | 95.01$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fc…2e66backed Yes | 68c | 93.64$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc35f…f0e6backed Yes | 19c | 91.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc02c…7c6abacked No | 63c | 90.95$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c65…5be7backed No | 19c | 90.89$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +428.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89cc…394dbacked Yes | 54c | 89.62$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.61 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa487…ce6abacked Yes | 74c | 81.41$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.24 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecf2…a937backed No | 74c | 71.1$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 77cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 43c | 60.38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.28 | 518 | 45.9%238 W · 280 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffda…c1fcbacked Yes | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c0…9bf5backed Yes | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0acb…05c2backed Yes | 51c | 53.54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb75…f496backed Yes | 28c | 52.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5d…c83fbacked Yes | 67c | 51.82$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.75 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01e5…63d3backed Yes | 59c | 51.42$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.54 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 340 | 39.7%135 W · 205 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?this page
- Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.