Tweets · resolved market
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe0744d87fd338915ddd0cb811a80e7ebda05e464b16b39c04132fa6b0b108ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,222
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,269
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,222 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x25c2…08c7backed Yes | 2c | 4,300$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 86 | 19.8%17 W · 69 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 11c | 2,726$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.86 | 83 | 20.5%17 W · 66 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 1,677$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 1,625 | 1.9%31 W · 1,594 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked No | 79c | 1,096$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.89 | 625 | 39.5%247 W · 378 L | +48.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes | 12c | 971.03$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.95 | 572 | 22%126 W · 446 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 36c | 800$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.2 | 426 | 28.2%120 W · 306 L | -38.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf360…6726backed Yes | 37c | 784.4$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.47 | 108 | 24.1%26 W · 82 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…567fbacked Yes | 14c | 650.32$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.21 | 361 | 13.3%48 W · 313 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 44c | 500.74$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.24 | 634 | 14.8%94 W · 540 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9955…85afbacked No | 63c | 458$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.83 | 183 | 57.9%106 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeab…d961backed Yes | 44c | 401.72$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.04 | 148 | 29.1%43 W · 105 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 34c | 389.16$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.26 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 39c | 359.57$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.38 | 378 | 30.7%116 W · 262 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…6071backed No | 67c | 356.8$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.22 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed No | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 97 | 28.9%28 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…7217backed Yes | 51c | 291.66$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed No | 41c | 250$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.5 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bee…cdc5backed Yes | 39c | 214.28$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.57 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 28c | 210.93$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.3 | 229 | 26.6%61 W · 168 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc98…f141backed Yes | 9c | 202$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 8c | 200.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 1,053 | 5.6%59 W · 994 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…d095backed No | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 546 | 75.1%410 W · 136 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x732f…201ebacked Yes | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 397 | 23.2%92 W · 305 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d29…cdabbacked Yes | 29c | 160.3$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.45 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 27c | 149.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 592 | 25.3%150 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9efe…fb6fbacked Yes | 35c | 142.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc02c…7c6abacked No | 52c | 141.25$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eef…eacabacked Yes | 57c | 124.44$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.31 | 214 | 29.9%64 W · 150 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 69c | 122.51$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.53 | 518 | 45.9%238 W · 280 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 38c | 121.46$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.11 | 105 | 14.3%15 W · 90 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe155…45afbacked Yes | 28c | 115.16$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.49 | 209 | 24.9%52 W · 157 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 60c | 104.44$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.39 | 264 | 61.7%163 W · 101 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed Yes | 25c | 104.34$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 279 | 20.4%57 W · 222 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6709…385bbacked Yes | 34c | 99.88$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.86 | 442 | 27.4%121 W · 321 L | -21.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58cb…3cd6backed Yes | 36c | 98.9$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 100 | 24%24 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd721…d52dbacked No | 70c | 96.7$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…5827backed Yes | 28c | 96.51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 296 | 10.5%31 W · 265 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…6efebacked Yes | 11c | 94.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 79 | 15.2%12 W · 67 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc35f…f0e6backed Yes | 35c | 93.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.73 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e4…8171backed Yes | 35c | 93.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.73 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf0…fdbebacked Yes | 26c | 92.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 205 | 32.7%67 W · 138 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 17c | 92.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 114 | 21.9%25 W · 89 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…0432backed Yes | 24c | 92.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…4466backed Yes | 31c | 90.1$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 423 | 12.5%53 W · 370 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ce…57c4backed No | 60c | 89.82$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.92 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.37per pick | 49cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 36c | 84.76$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.73 | 996 | 19.8%197 W · 799 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01e5…63d3backed No | 52c | 83.96$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.52 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a51…2998backed No | 66c | 82.52$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…d4febacked Yes | 50c | 80.37$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.19 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0acb…05c2backed Yes | 34c | 78.42$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes | 34c | 69.77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.72 | 320 | 16.6%53 W · 267 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Yes | 21c | 66.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 102 | 16.7%17 W · 85 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26f0…1d60backed Yes | 38c | 65.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 54 | 16.7%9 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffda…c1fcbacked Yes | 52c | 64$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5d…c83fbacked Yes | 62c | 60.67$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.37 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab8…e564backed Yes | 47c | 60.63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4e…d6edbacked Yes | 47c | 52.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d1b…6d80backed Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ed…3588backed No | 55c | 49.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x086a…cf83backed No | 66c | 48.67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 72cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d31…918dbacked Yes | 35c | 46.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…4cc9backed Yes | 36c | 46.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 195 | 27.7%54 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b39…bc0dbacked Yes | 36c | 39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c4…896cbacked Yes | 37c | 38.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe61…3b96backed No | 66c | 36.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea7…1ec9backed Yes | 47c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3277…5255backed Yes | 35c | 32.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe256…4775backed No | 66c | 28.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 68c | 21.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?this page
- Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.