Tweets · resolved market
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f883b386d863545545ef877c34326b1a44c8b7234b87f283ea2aaa9ba63fc41
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,431
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,431 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd83…e1cebacked Yes | 3c | 9,086$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes | 21c | 5,084$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.9 | 553 | 5.6%31 W · 522 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe008…f7d3backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 256 | 17.2%44 W · 212 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 10c | 2,461$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.71 | 634 | 14.8%94 W · 540 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 21c | 1,383$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.69 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…487ebacked Yes | 56c | 1,145$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638 | 122 | 32.8%40 W · 82 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 27c | 1,046$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.43 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 32c | 1,000$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.6 | 426 | 28.2%120 W · 306 L | -38.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebb…0614backed Yes | 49c | 843.67$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 17c | 789.39$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.11 | 114 | 21.9%25 W · 89 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 39c | 741.19$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.85 | 526 | 19.8%104 W · 422 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…0587backed Yes | 19c | 620.98$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad70…4ccfbacked Yes | 3c | 585.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 131 | 19.1%25 W · 106 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Yes | 6c | 538.03$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.69 | 114 | 18.4%21 W · 93 L | +10.0wins | +0.09per pick | 10cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 5c | 509.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 1,625 | 1.9%31 W · 1,594 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ab…e293backed No | 65c | 464.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.67 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ad…2dbbbacked Yes | 33c | 445.34$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.27 | 154 | 30.5%47 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5531…c4cebacked Yes | 3c | 441.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…7217backed Yes | 32c | 422.46$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.08 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffa0…c4f4backed Yes | 49c | 399.99$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f59…3637backed Yes | 33c | 387.36$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.21 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 22c | 379.88$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.02 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83e9…cfb0backed Yes | 46c | 375.31$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.97 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Yes | 49c | 349.01$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.49 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +43%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999f…da43backed Yes | 47c | 341.7$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.24 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb08b…4b55backed Yes | 18c | 334.31$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 54c | 330.49$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.36 | 315 | 65.1%205 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…fe57backed Yes | 34c | 326.69$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.66 | 508 | 28.3%144 W · 364 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 35c | 308.77$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.7 | 125 | 28%35 W · 90 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 46c | 300.99$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.72 | 378 | 30.7%116 W · 262 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9349…0486backed Yes | 45c | 295.65$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.98 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Yes | 49c | 292.96$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.02 | 107 | 27.1%29 W · 78 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9314…6bd7backed Yes | 8c | 292.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.72 | 247 | 10.9%27 W · 220 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6447…8075backed No | 69c | 276.8$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.02 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9454…7f72backed Yes | 56c | 271.43$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.16 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked Yes | 55c | 264.8$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.13 | 625 | 39.5%247 W · 378 L | +48.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed No | 51c | 259.73$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.83 | 279 | 20.4%57 W · 222 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6f…ece6backed No | 80c | 248.81$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.55 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 29c | 235.45$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.14 | 249 | 32.9%82 W · 167 L | -33.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x907c…23c1backed Yes | 41c | 234.06$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.9 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9804…d512backed No | 28c | 230$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.48 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…6efebacked Yes | 22c | 225.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.79 | 79 | 15.2%12 W · 67 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b6…cc7bbacked Yes | 47c | 224.64$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…1336backed Yes | 46c | 217.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 51c | 215.6$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.41 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c1…7c0dbacked No | 54c | 201.82$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d05…864cbacked Yes | 61c | 200.4$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.35 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 73c | 200$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.1 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed No | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 63 | 81%51 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 75cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 49c | 199.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.6 | 234 | 64.5%151 W · 83 L | +23.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 48c | 198.52$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.82 | 439 | 33%145 W · 294 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 62c | 195.46$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.69 | 103 | 35.9%37 W · 66 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +108%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c83…cf0abacked No | 55c | 180$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.64 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 32c | 178.4$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.27 | 503 | 19.5%98 W · 405 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…ac0abacked Yes | 25c | 178.15$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 417 | 18%75 W · 342 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4e…b978backed Yes | 11c | 174.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 63 | 9.5%6 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed No | 55c | 159$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.23 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Yes | 38c | 158.19$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.47 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc89b…b7c8backed Yes | 45c | 156$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x912b…9156backed No | 41c | 155.41$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +148.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7849…da97backed Yes | 30c | 151.73$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 341 | 27.3%93 W · 248 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c38…a3a5backed Yes | 52c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.25 | 182 | 24.2%44 W · 138 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf0…34b8backed Yes | 73c | 150$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…d431backed No | 57c | 149.43$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.81 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0afd…b9c9backed No | 73c | 148.48$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.43 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…978dbacked Yes | 70c | 143.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.01 | 100 | 32%32 W · 68 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8317…18e3backed No | 43c | 138.59$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5545…8371backed Yes | 34c | 137.34$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda64…b94cbacked Yes | 16c | 126.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 137 | 18.2%25 W · 112 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5afe…6d5abacked Yes | 51c | 120$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…fb31backed Yes | 70c | 117.22$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.24 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…b766backed Yes | 22c | 116.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 106 | 23.6%25 W · 81 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6709…af18backed Yes | 57c | 114.35$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.52 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3e…4163backed No | 59c | 113.42$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x440a…0ae9backed Yes | 27c | 111.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 61c | 100.2$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.78 | 518 | 45.9%238 W · 280 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked No | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.3 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf082…7239backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfd…db32backed No | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ca…960bbacked Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.9 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes | 15c | 99.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 54c | 94.33$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.51 | 261 | 67%175 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfac2…6d07backed Yes | 26c | 91.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1111…624fbacked Yes | 55c | 91.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7f…66f4backed Yes | 46c | 90.52$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e4…b606backed No | 54c | 90$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcab0…68febacked No | 55c | 89.96$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd685…8be9backed Yes | 52c | 86.24$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…32fbbacked No | 50c | 79$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.66 | 123 | 8.9%11 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +54%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…fa0bbacked Yes | 62c | 78.38$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9cc…6f12backed No | 55c | 76.9$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa575…f2d0backed Yes | 55c | 72.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -52%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…b380backed Yes | 31c | 65.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 430 | 27%116 W · 314 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc6…0f6abacked No | 76c | 64.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 89 | 18%16 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 71c | 63.16$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 195 | 50.3%98 W · 97 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5df…307dbacked Yes | 43c | 61.69$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x091f…672ebacked Yes | 23c | 61.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -65%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd9…c2e2backed No | 55c | 60.6$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…3ca1backed No | 55c | 60.55$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.25 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?this page
- Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.