Tweets · resolved market
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4df6c81a4bf94863b16c16bf48c6847e63eddc29013431d3c2b037d34be4a04e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,589
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,589 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 20c | 3,026$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.41 | 634 | 14.8%94 W · 540 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes | 5c | 1,991$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.89 | 553 | 5.6%31 W · 522 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6964…ef53backed Yes | 2c | 1,528$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.94 | 662 | 22.2%147 W · 515 L | -34.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe008…f7d3backed Yes | 1c | 1,100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 256 | 17.2%44 W · 212 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83e9…cfb0backed Yes | 36c | 1,058$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.43 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca6…73e3backed Yes | 36c | 999.98$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.99 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 18c | 920.02$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.74 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe13f…c8b4backed Yes | 20c | 915.57$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.13 | 158 | 19%30 W · 128 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…6071backed Yes | 18c | 806.07$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.46 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 24c | 789.39$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.28 | 114 | 21.9%25 W · 89 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa6…4094backed Yes | 14c | 789.14$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 307 | 14%43 W · 264 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…7217backed Yes | 20c | 587.62$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.53 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ad…2dbbbacked Yes | 16c | 564.23$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.92 | 154 | 30.5%47 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 10c | 479.32$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.24 | 121 | 6.6%8 W · 113 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 74c | 436.11$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.62 | 195 | 50.3%98 W · 97 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 71c | 397.04$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.98 | 315 | 65.1%205 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 29c | 392.64$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.04 | 797 | 35.9%286 W · 511 L | -34.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 21c | 388$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.43 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 25c | 376.52$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.53 | 526 | 19.8%104 W · 422 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…ac0abacked Yes | 30c | 370.7$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 417 | 18%75 W · 342 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecd7…c7e1backed Yes | 15c | 327$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…fe57backed Yes | 23c | 326.69$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.28 | 508 | 28.3%144 W · 364 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ab…ea2fbacked Yes | 13c | 298.68$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…9aebbacked Yes | 18c | 279.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 241 | 14.1%34 W · 207 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…978dbacked Yes | 38c | 264.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.24 | 100 | 32%32 W · 68 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc6…0f6abacked Yes | 20c | 252.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 89 | 18%16 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7740…a03cbacked Yes | 8c | 249.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5759…2d3fbacked Yes | 37c | 237.02$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.61 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 27c | 235.35$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.37 | 378 | 30.7%116 W · 262 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 7c | 231.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 1,625 | 1.9%31 W · 1,594 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x440a…0ae9backed Yes | 16c | 222.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed No | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 63 | 81%51 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 75cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc219…04fabacked No | 74c | 184.12$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.54 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f1…25f6backed Yes | 22c | 183.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 79c | 170.66$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.9 | 261 | 67%175 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x771c…81ebbacked Yes | 12c | 163.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e50…98f0backed Yes | 35c | 143.49$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 330 | 27.9%92 W · 238 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 79c | 143.37$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 518 | 45.9%238 W · 280 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee38…fd31backed No | 76c | 142.71$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.08 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf95d…e957backed Yes | 22c | 141.32$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x478e…a576backed Yes | 23c | 140.76$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 96 | 16.7%16 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd897…9b49backed No | 64c | 138.32$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.52 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x789d…d3bbbacked Yes | 37c | 133.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfac2…6d07backed Yes | 23c | 129.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Yes | 17c | 127.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 251 | 27.1%68 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e64…b5d2backed Yes | 28c | 127.13$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed No | 71c | 125.38$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.32 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1003…7a79backed Yes | 32c | 122.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.57 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 18c | 116.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 2,163 | 3.9%85 W · 2,078 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed Yes | 22c | 116.17$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 279 | 20.4%57 W · 222 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x662b…eb47backed Yes | 29c | 115.51$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.23 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 59cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b6…59aebacked Yes | 14c | 106$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 36c | 106$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.16 | 503 | 19.5%98 W · 405 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2f…c1c9backed Yes | 14c | 105$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…b766backed Yes | 38c | 100.44$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 106 | 23.6%25 W · 81 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c38…a3a5backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 182 | 24.2%44 W · 138 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ad…411abacked Yes | 20c | 99.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 21c | 96.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 439 | 33%145 W · 294 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…0587backed Yes | 37c | 96.25$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5545…8371backed Yes | 21c | 95.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4de5…225ebacked Yes | 26c | 94.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bc…10adbacked Yes | 18c | 93.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…4cc9backed Yes | 39c | 92$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.77 | 195 | 27.7%54 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3af…a5cfbacked Yes | 14c | 90.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31f9…1886backed Yes | 40c | 82.92$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1111…624fbacked Yes | 34c | 81.05$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d05…864cbacked Yes | 31c | 80.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes | 18c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 28c | 76.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 996 | 19.8%197 W · 799 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596d…1aadbacked Yes | 16c | 70.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00b3…0991backed Yes | 17c | 70.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x895d…9cb0backed Yes | 29c | 69.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf0…fdbebacked Yes | 20c | 69.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 205 | 32.7%67 W · 138 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x254c…7678backed No | 73c | 68.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58cb…3cd6backed Yes | 37c | 66.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 100 | 24%24 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f59…3637backed No | 66c | 65.24$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.07 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5df…307dbacked Yes | 38c | 65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7740…cbcdbacked No | 74c | 64.03$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…3ca1backed Yes | 34c | 59.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead9…27d2backed Yes | 27c | 58.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b6…cc7bbacked Yes | 30c | 55.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc9e…6693backed Yes | 21c | 52.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x356b…1c3fbacked Yes | 20c | 50.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed No | 77c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37ee…f6f9backed No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945c…9721backed Yes | 38c | 48.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…6883backed Yes | 38c | 48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked No | 75c | 46.6$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -7.3wins | -0.30per pick | 51cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x50fa…11babacked Yes | 29c | 46.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9af8…b069backed Yes | 25c | 44.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 76c | 32.73$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 234 | 64.5%151 W · 83 L | +23.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked No | 76c | 32.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 592 | 25.3%150 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…1349backed No | 79c | 30.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 227 | 70.9%161 W · 66 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 77c | 28.25$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 249 | 32.9%82 W · 167 L | -33.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7ddf…4479backed Yes | 38c | 27.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…3ca0backed No | 77c | 23.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +58%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd01…cec7backed No | 68c | 21.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +83.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…8be6backed No | 76c | 15.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?this page
- Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.