Tweets · resolved market
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1486fa1ee974a78d897ca0ba2ac3888ae2380f8c72e3e9ba7c8f47ef77ffccd7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,650
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,650 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 13c | 2,435$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,109.83 | 634 | 14.8%94 W · 540 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe13f…c8b4backed Yes | 24c | 1,260$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.74 | 158 | 19%30 W · 128 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 20c | 1,247$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.75 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd16…649cbacked No | 4c | 1,184$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 73c | 1,059$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.49 | 315 | 65.1%205 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…6071backed Yes | 17c | 979.74$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.63 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 47c | 962.46$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.69 | 195 | 50.3%98 W · 97 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…7217backed Yes | 76c | 932.31$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.32 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 53c | 789.39$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.13 | 114 | 21.9%25 W · 89 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 38c | 656.95$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.17 | 378 | 30.7%116 W · 262 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe35d…f5d5backed Yes | 16c | 654.54$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.46 | 656 | 23.2%152 W · 504 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa6…4094backed Yes | 17c | 501.39$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.39 | 307 | 14%43 W · 264 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f7…4edbbacked Yes | 21c | 474.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.56 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked No | 8c | 468.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.83 | 121 | 6.6%8 W · 113 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…978dbacked Yes | 44c | 468.14$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.86 | 100 | 32%32 W · 68 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…ac0abacked Yes | 15c | 465.11$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.11 | 417 | 18%75 W · 342 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6709…af18backed Yes | 14c | 464.81$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.18 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb26…4edfbacked No | 4c | 403.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…9aebbacked Yes | 13c | 398.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.21 | 241 | 14.1%34 W · 207 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 46c | 388$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.86 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 20c | 375.77$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.85 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 57c | 373.15$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.96 | 996 | 19.8%197 W · 799 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e50…98f0backed Yes | 15c | 372.04$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.5 | 330 | 27.9%92 W · 238 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc6…0f6abacked Yes | 23c | 345.65$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.65 | 89 | 18%16 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4e…b978backed Yes | 13c | 343.46$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.27 | 63 | 9.5%6 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…fe57backed Yes | 39c | 326.69$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.7 | 508 | 28.3%144 W · 364 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbce…fcccbacked No | 50c | 301.5$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.3 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed Yes | 39c | 300.45$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.95 | 279 | 20.4%57 W · 222 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 8c | 299.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.69 | 1,053 | 5.6%59 W · 994 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ad…2dbbbacked Yes | 31c | 293.71$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.08 | 154 | 30.5%47 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…4cc9backed Yes | 14c | 284.71$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.82 | 195 | 27.7%54 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb41…0a5cbacked Yes | 17c | 259.73$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.17 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 32cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 17c | 253.13$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.53 | 2,163 | 3.9%85 W · 2,078 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58cb…3cd6backed Yes | 13c | 253.01$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.31 | 100 | 24%24 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7400…031cbacked Yes | 77c | 245.34$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f1…25f6backed Yes | 17c | 241.27$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.27 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 55c | 225.54$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.24 | 526 | 19.8%104 W · 422 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…6883backed Yes | 38c | 224.69$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.05 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x037b…47f4backed Yes | 9c | 220.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.43 | 416 | 5.3%22 W · 394 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +158.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9cd…17acbacked Yes | 47c | 213.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.87 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c0…38acbacked Yes | 17c | 200.29$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.98 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed No | 78c | 199.99$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.99 | 63 | 81%51 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 75cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45df…5b27backed Yes | 8c | 193.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.08 | 93 | 2.2%2 W · 91 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098f…47cdbacked No | 40c | 189.97$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89e1…5323backed Yes | 28c | 185.79$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.67 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 17c | 185.48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.55 | 89 | 15.7%14 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x440a…0ae9backed Yes | 18c | 177.67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.67 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 10c | 175.14$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.68 | 1,625 | 1.9%31 W · 1,594 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x478e…a576backed Yes | 15c | 175.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.69 | 96 | 16.7%16 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6447…8075backed Yes | 19c | 172.57$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.98 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1907…8174backed Yes | 58c | 171.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.3 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 6c | 162.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 439 | 33%145 W · 294 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9454…7f72backed Yes | 33c | 150.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.75 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0186…40edbacked No | 73c | 150$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.47 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789d…d3bbbacked Yes | 34c | 147.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.55 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc9e…6693backed Yes | 50c | 147.29$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.65 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd84b…0df3backed Yes | 16c | 144.76$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.94 | 117 | 25.6%30 W · 87 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00b3…0991backed Yes | 8c | 138$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.1 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x563a…f578backed Yes | 16c | 130.04$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.46 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9af8…b069backed Yes | 18c | 122.31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.31 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 67c | 121.01$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.72 | 261 | 67%175 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0afd…b9c9backed Yes | 78c | 120.71$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.31 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes | 15c | 120.65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.47 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…340ebacked No | 16c | 109$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 79c | 106.86$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.03 | 249 | 32.9%82 W · 167 L | -33.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6c01…0436backed Yes | 19c | 105.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.56 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c28…4e7dbacked Yes | 44c | 101.68$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.13 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.7 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfac2…6d07backed Yes | 19c | 98.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.54 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 63c | 93.01$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.64 | 797 | 35.9%286 W · 511 L | -34.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…3ca1backed Yes | 35c | 92.73$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.09 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x662b…eb47backed No | 66c | 89.46$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.82 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 59cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…29bcbacked No | 18c | 85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc820…6a28backed Yes | 17c | 83.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.61 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e66…0d3abacked Yes | 17c | 83.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.37 | 334 | 15.6%52 W · 282 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc79f…e3febacked Yes | 13c | 82.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ee…2909backed Yes | 31c | 81.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b6…cc7bbacked Yes | 40c | 78.41$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed No | 58c | 75.13$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.35 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 50c | 72.71$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.58 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked No | 68c | 70.69$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.72 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -7.3wins | -0.30per pick | 51cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf0…fdbebacked Yes | 33c | 70$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 205 | 32.7%67 W · 138 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5545…8371backed Yes | 31c | 63.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.82 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x185f…3649backed No | 63c | 55.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 52c | 51.73$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 235 | 41.3%97 W · 138 L | -29.2wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbad3…7715backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.9 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaaa…1d0ebacked Yes | 57c | 48.54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945c…9721backed Yes | 33c | 48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.19 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x254c…7678backed No | 62c | 47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50fa…11babacked Yes | 48c | 45.06$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1f…8191backed Yes | 34c | 42.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x624e…a482backed Yes | 60c | 41.39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.39 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…e042backed No | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4218…ff0ebacked No | 47c | 34.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df0…9a01backed No | 70c | 32.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a6…0f3abacked Yes | 54c | 31.81$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…1349backed No | 80c | 30.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 227 | 70.9%161 W · 66 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…6382backed No | 50c | 30.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…14eebacked No | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?this page
- Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.