TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x89e1…5323

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
99
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Us Midterms, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Us Midterms at 53 out of 100; worst Serie A at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT4820.8%10 W · 38 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick18cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.43
Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.04
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.85
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.5
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.16
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 10-19 tweets from March 10 to March 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.37
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+263.4%+$134.67
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+371%+$98.76
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.17
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$118.09
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$213.08
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$26.46
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+555.3%+$574.92
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST1428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$27.34
Will Fulham win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester United win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$43.33
Will Newcastle win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$26.67
Will West Ham win on 2025-10-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester United win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+455.6%+$159.44
Will Tottenham win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
All 14 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.34per pick47cpaid-78.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-42.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KHL: Torpedo vs. Dinamo Minskbacked Torpedo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$15
KHL: Sibir Novosibirsk vs. Traktorbacked Sibir Novosibirsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$10
KHL: HC Dynamo Moscow vs. Severstal Cherepovetsbacked Severstal Cherepovets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.22
All 3 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+47.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+194.1%+$38.82
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+100%+$29
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+105.4%+$31.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Imperial (BO3)backed Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+56.3%+$5.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+45.7%+$18.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia join the Board of Peace?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+40.9%+$16.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $5200 in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Italy win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.