NHL · resolved market
KHL: HC Dynamo Moscow vs. Severstal Cherepovets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3b0bccf0fc307966e44de6d97b871add789d6ecb93aa30ef7d320aee12d4694
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Severstal Cherepovetsof HC Dynamo Moscow, Severstal Cherepovets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,232
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,383
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,232 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b1…f737backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 54c | 412.33$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.61 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Severstal Cherepovets | 46c | 333.63$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.16 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed Severstal Cherepovets | 47c | 127$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.31 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 52c | 71.65$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Severstal Cherepovets | 47c | 57$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.21 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…9417backed Severstal Cherepovets | 47c | 52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.56 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Severstal Cherepovets | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…8ba0backed Severstal Cherepovets | 48c | 50.13$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.07 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88d0…524cbacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89e1…5323backed Severstal Cherepovets | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…95a8backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 53c | 39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Severstal Cherepovets | 42c | 38.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.04 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Severstal Cherepovets | 47c | 38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa295…98bcbacked Severstal Cherepovets | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc94d…2b20backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 53c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce9b…0bc0backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 53c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc9…801ebacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 53c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62f0…afe6backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 53c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f6…9cdabacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa029…c912backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bd…8deabacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.