TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-11-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$249,507
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$221,965

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $249,507 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 297 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes26c47,470$12,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,409.441,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes26c42,669$11,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,094.0641344.8%185 W · 228 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No74c26,330$19,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,960.242,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes27c25,939$6,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,895.141,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No74c24,124$17,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,224.366,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed No74c18,832$13,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,896.21553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No74c9,190$6,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,389.428355.5%157 W · 126 L+17.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No76c7,043$5,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,661.5540046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No79c7,039$5,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,501.412,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No74c5,000$3,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,299.9738649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No74c5,000$3,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,299.9530851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes24c4,574$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,074.879639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No74c4,469$3,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,162.0437054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes24c4,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96018433.7%62 W · 122 L+9.0wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed No75c4,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00013852.2%72 W · 66 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes24c4,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96046651.9%242 W · 224 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes24c3,996$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.114,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19fd…5838backed Yes24c3,333$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.921546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+25.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No74c3,119$2,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808.781,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes26c3,004$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767.1268026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Yes24c2,729$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.969849%48 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No73c2,466$1,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.9225551.8%132 W · 123 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes23c2,400$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56217833.7%60 W · 118 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7aba…7442backed Yes25c2,370$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60012545.6%57 W · 68 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6834…c8d3backed Yes25c2,170$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.643672.2%26 W · 10 L+7.4wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+46.7%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No74c2,003$1,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.7845751.2%234 W · 223 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes25c2,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50021656.9%123 W · 93 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe137…0c01backed Yes27c1,852$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004438.6%17 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes20c1,653$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32444939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No74c1,307$973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.9229253.4%156 W · 136 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes23c1,232$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.3349254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No73c1,205$879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.2590751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb6b…7b61backed Yes25c1,104$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.124658.7%27 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed Yes26c1,005$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26522932.3%74 W · 155 L-0.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Yes26c1,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2607636.8%28 W · 48 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes24c1,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24077336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22e6…409fbacked Yes24c1,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+54.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1027024.8%67 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed Yes25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25021353.1%113 W · 100 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb72b…f4e0backed Yes26c961.54$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505841.4%24 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked No73c949$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.2310234.3%35 W · 67 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09ad…04e4backed Yes27c925.93$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501020%2 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-70.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes26c922.99$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.9836845.7%168 W · 200 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No74c899.98$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23630149.5%149 W · 152 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No74c876.14$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.8283459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes26c800$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20832736.4%119 W · 208 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No74c800$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20840953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1e9…8ba9backed Yes26c769.23$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf845…f3a8backed Yes26c756.29$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.342937.9%11 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes19c659.54$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.191,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked No76c659$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.168552.9%45 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd87…01a9backed Yes26c625.99$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.583330.3%10 W · 23 L-4.9wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-35.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No72c554.09$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.181,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d1b…5adbbacked Yes26c550$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1439747.4%46 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x533a…0b5fbacked Yes26c550$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No74c546.24$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.0218958.7%111 W · 78 L+12.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+16.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Yes27c537$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.0111945.4%54 W · 65 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No74c534.74$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.0321154.5%115 W · 96 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15ba…f30dbacked No75c522.25$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.2515245.4%69 W · 83 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed No73c500$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1355052%26 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9644…d03bbacked Yes23c500$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1151020%2 W · 8 L-3.3wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-73%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Yes24c500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12029427.9%82 W · 212 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed Yes18c418.3$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.1430739.4%121 W · 186 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa9a…099fbacked Yes24c408.33$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984139%16 W · 25 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick30cpaid+18.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014544.1%64 W · 81 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4702…457fbacked No75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1005848.3%28 W · 30 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0a…09a6backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005151%26 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36bb…3345backed Yes26c384.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick33cpaid+110.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf536…e40cbacked Yes26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017234.9%60 W · 112 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023741.8%99 W · 138 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb888…ccfdbacked Yes26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008043.8%35 W · 45 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fa9…a36dbacked Yes26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004134.1%14 W · 27 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf918…30d5backed Yes26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02c1…2e70backed Yes25c380$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$953050%15 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1538…8c7ebacked Yes27c375.26$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.3220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes19c374.81$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.211,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fd2…1e85backed Yes28c358.07$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002623.1%6 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-45.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1166…a8e1backed Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009736.1%35 W · 62 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xacae…41adbacked Yes26c346.15$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf2e…c770backed Yes26c342.31$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8912546.4%58 W · 67 L-7.6wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9827…e5ffbacked No74c324.99$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.51471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+38.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No75c322.93$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.371,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9de2…3adbbacked Yes27c319.8$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858942.7%38 W · 51 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes26c312.38$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.2211534.8%40 W · 75 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No74c300.7$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.7965557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed No75c300$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754247.6%20 W · 22 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No74c300$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes17c298.71$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.788030%24 W · 56 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x50ce…aa0abacked Yes26c298.04$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Yes18c277.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503537.1%13 W · 22 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-26.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6157…932abacked Yes26c269.23$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes19c260.43$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.489150.5%46 W · 45 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No74c250.98$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.7929259.2%173 W · 119 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes25c240$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6020027%54 W · 146 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9fbc…3b3cbacked Yes26c230.77$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90f9…e894backed No73c227.47$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.4217464.9%113 W · 61 L+16.7wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+21.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x504f…3ddcbacked No75c224$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563164.5%20 W · 11 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+43.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No74c223.56$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.3560557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbf2…3ef7backed Yes27c220.04$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.41728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a3c…93d7backed Yes26c217.85$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.648632.6%28 W · 58 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.