Premier League · resolved market
Will Fulham vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f40f9e52eef625e21a07b90bb696e2c03d159c1fc64bee313aeb8541661749b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,741
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,929
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,741 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 63c | 9,799$6,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,625.74 | 111 | 62.2%69 W · 42 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 29c | 8,000$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,319.97 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 36c | 6,565$2,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,359.27 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 64c | 2,669$1,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.85 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…9498backed No | 70c | 2,027$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 197 | 29.4%58 W · 139 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…04e4backed Yes | 30c | 1,580$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.81 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.45 | 97 | 63.9%62 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 47c | 1,272$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.76 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 772 | 36.4%281 W · 491 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceda…1bd9backed Yes | 31c | 975.97$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 72c | 943.15$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.37 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 68c | 798.87$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.64 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 69c | 780.49$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.95 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6834…c8d3backed No | 72c | 710.02$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.81 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +7.4wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe259…7867backed No | 71c | 647.49$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.97 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 71c | 560$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.4 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Yes | 30c | 533$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.9 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -6.8wins | -0.24per pick | 31cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 4c | 500$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 270 | 24.8%67 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 70c | 484.96$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.49 | 147 | 54.4%80 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9a…099fbacked Yes | 29c | 351.72$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb86e…7395backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 194 | 26.3%51 W · 143 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed Yes | 10c | 290$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 37c | 283.33$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.83 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 29c | 221.18$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.14 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 31c | 181.28$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.64 | 307 | 39.4%121 W · 186 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 64c | 174.64$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.09 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3940…9e72backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 155 | 34.8%54 W · 101 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd2…1e85backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 69c | 150.06$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.52 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…41adbacked Yes | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fb…70b1backed Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 22cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 28c | 141.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.66 | 255 | 51.8%132 W · 123 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc42…8e99backed No | 73c | 137.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.44 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Yes | 30c | 104.51$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f10…8ac6backed Yes | 61c | 103.43$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.05 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…8e4bbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca7…1cb5backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85dc…a6b7backed Yes | 30c | 96.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1b…d6cbbacked Yes | 13c | 96.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -41%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb0…d24fbacked Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 297 | 35.4%105 W · 192 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 74.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 227 | 64.8%147 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea7b…5b6dbacked Yes | 29c | 72.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 107 | 26.2%28 W · 79 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ce…d2c9backed Yes | 29c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 193 | 36.8%71 W · 122 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93e8…c261backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x623f…53bcbacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87fb…9ad0backed Yes | 30c | 65.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16af…d006backed Yes | 41c | 63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ca…1076backed Yes | 17c | 62.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c25…606ebacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Yes | 67c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 161 | 36.6%59 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b1…7d09backed Yes | 30c | 43.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked No | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…e0c1backed Yes | 30c | 34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 40c | 32.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed No | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 120 | 60%72 W · 48 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd17e…0868backed Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 70c | 16.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 1,161 | 57.4%666 W · 495 L | +40.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…0852backed No | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fulham vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?this page
- Will Fulham win on 2025-11-22?Yes won
- Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-11-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.