TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Juventus FC win on 2025-11-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$299,219
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$298,185

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $299,219 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 373 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x519f…2af7backed Yes43c67,085$28,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,927.53560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+24.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No56c66,586$37,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,111.911,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No50c40,000$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,00010543.8%46 W · 59 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Yes50c33,085$16,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,542.51957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cb6…3009backed Yes49c20,000$9,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,800771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+49%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes50c18,089$9,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,097.39146.2%42 W · 49 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No63c13,475$8,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,966.514952.3%78 W · 71 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes49c12,768$6,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,231.129846.3%138 W · 160 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No56c11,381$6,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,028.611,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Yes47c10,147$4,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,767.7514235.2%50 W · 92 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No50c8,116$4,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,051.679857.1%56 W · 42 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No50c7,791$3,868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,923.5139842.2%168 W · 230 L+1.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No50c6,091$3,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,029.0210051%51 W · 49 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No58c5,903$3,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,482.84949%24 W · 25 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No67c5,824$3,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,902.2538343.1%165 W · 218 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked No52c5,294$2,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,537.898259.8%49 W · 33 L+9.0wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+27.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd735…968ebacked Yes39c5,163$1,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-30.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed No53c5,000$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,349.969348.4%45 W · 48 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed No50c4,621$2,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,310.587052.9%37 W · 33 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x33c2…9818backed Yes46c4,275$1,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,966.5410845.4%49 W · 59 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+31.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c1c…a0a4backed Yes49c3,864$1,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,890.623545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid+7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No49c3,600$1,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,835.8918160.8%110 W · 71 L+18.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+31.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes47c3,600$1,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,694.7919028.9%55 W · 135 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes49c3,180$1,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,552.0116136%58 W · 103 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed Yes47c2,185$1,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,026.723256.3%18 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8e4…967bbacked Yes48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-31.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.9916349.1%80 W · 83 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88c7…9012backed No53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.991070%7 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+49.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.9515442.9%66 W · 88 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.918258.5%48 W · 34 L+10.0wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+36.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No67c2,000$1,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.0714044.3%62 W · 78 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes46c1,998$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929.2711743.6%51 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No62c1,845$1,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.0358248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5d5e…7004backed Yes29c1,775$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.25825%2 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-30.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xeadc…e41dbacked Yes47c1,645$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked No52c1,574$817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.526653%35 W · 31 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No50c1,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75030657.5%176 W · 130 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1edb…7e13backed Yes47c1,500$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No51c1,481$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.538048.7%185 W · 195 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No67c1,400$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46038935.2%137 W · 252 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b42…7a05backed Yes32c1,400$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.62250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ad…6ed7backed No51c1,400$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.992133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-28.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x15df…9465backed Yes48c1,398$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6711729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-41.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes47c1,300$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6113348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x120a…6456backed Yes48c1,287$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-70.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1802…d00fbacked No54c1,200$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5521258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No52c1,178$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.6617853.9%96 W · 82 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0a…09a6backed Yes47c1,134$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.831650%8 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x809d…4f4fbacked No53c1,100$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.1624047.1%113 W · 127 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked No54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4607240.3%29 W · 43 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed Yes45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4505038%19 W · 31 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1154…0d31backed Yes47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1208…1feabacked No50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5005133.3%17 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd532…f70dbacked Yes51c986.27$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002055%11 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No55c948.07$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.337544%165 W · 210 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Yes27c929$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.94623.9%11 W · 35 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-37.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No61c916.33$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.9539746.9%186 W · 211 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No49c830.94$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.7822147.5%105 W · 116 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c2f…36f2backed No51c830$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3fd…dbc5backed Yes50c830$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb263…6275backed Yes32c778.61$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Yes47c731.75$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3476538.5%25 W · 40 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Yes48c731.25$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3517245.8%33 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47c6…be32backed Yes47c725.27$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.382626.9%7 W · 19 L-4.6wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x694e…8d20backed Yes42c715.74$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+64.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No52c676.98$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.9511950.4%60 W · 59 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb73b…7155backed No74c676.76$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.76683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick72cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f26…be98backed Yes45c669.04$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002050%10 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7272…7135backed Yes33c600$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003036.7%11 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-40.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No53c599.97$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.9919755.3%109 W · 88 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes51c588.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30028639.9%114 W · 172 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes51c588.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012546.4%58 W · 67 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e91…ea34backed No76c563.42$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.494269%29 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick69cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes47c531.91$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25022054.1%119 W · 101 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe9d…5eb1backed Yes38c530.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20050%0 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6896…3682backed Yes31c526.9$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.77616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-57.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Yes50c502.53$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.093145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1377…56aebacked No50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e2c…94c5backed Yes47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23530%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x36ea…be40backed Yes48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd31c…dac9backed Yes29c500$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1452623.1%6 W · 20 L-4.1wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-42.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa1a1…ee3dbacked Yes27c500$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.35540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+60%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6673…8a4cbacked No52c499.97$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.993432.4%11 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes51c490.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-25.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ae7…7ee5backed Yes50c474.52$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.26250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06da…3181backed Yes47c452.85$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.843357.6%19 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d46…d383backed Yes48c447.15$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Yes43c439$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.771747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed No57c435$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.2520462.3%127 W · 77 L+19.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3adf…d8b0backed Yes47c421.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003138.7%12 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x47ca…c7f5backed Yes48c409.94$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.77683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.37per pick46cpaid+85.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2db5…ff72backed No53c400$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1882100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+65.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Yes47c400$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1882259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+38%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8189…fa33backed Yes41c357.43$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1472070%14 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+24.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3909…56d7backed Yes47c350$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.5757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ebc…f31fbacked No53c349.97$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.49450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes47c314.95$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1492646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14725450%127 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14119344%85 W · 108 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.