TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2db5…ff72

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
36
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst NHL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+85.5%+$46.1
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$210
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+58.7%+$111
Warriors vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+78.6%+$110
Clippers vs. Hawksbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+165.3%+$155.58
76ers vs. Netsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+38.9%+$50.4
Nuggets vs. Kingsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+31.6%+$120
Timberwolves vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$81
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$360
Timberwolves vs. Knicksbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$39
Hawks vs. Pacersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$440
All 11 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Giants vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+31.6%+$57.6
Rams vs. 49ersbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+42.9%+$300
Bears vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$294
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-28.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Devils vs. Panthersbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$64.5
Red Wings vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$638Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$637.98
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$210
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+65.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+42.9%+$20.99
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-11-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+88.7%+$188
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+38.9%+$61.59
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality (BO1)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+31.6%+$60
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$627.85
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3)backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$131.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+376.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+376.2%+$395
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Florida International vs. Middle Tennesseebacked Florida International · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$343Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+104.1%+$357
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$23
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-02-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$172
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$366Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$366
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.