NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Raptors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x755ef82493ffb871b36605f1e54dfeb0cff443cc820acb07547fc9d69ee3de29
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knicksof Knicks, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,802,649
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,979,405
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,802,649 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,465 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Raptors | 32c | 517,796$163,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163,271.81 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Raptors | 32c | 400,000$128,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127,999.99 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Knicks | 69c | 297,356$204,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92,907.58 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Knicks | 68c | 280,345$190,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89,710.47 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Knicks | 68c | 237,000$161,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75,840.01 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Raptors | 33c | 215,977$71,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,272.28 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Knicks | 68c | 156,250$106,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,000 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Knicks | 68c | 147,177$100,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,177.38 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Knicks | 67c | 100,469$67,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,216.28 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Knicks | 67c | 92,292$62,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,176.65 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Raptors | 32c | 81,705$26,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,145.69 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d1…dbcbbacked Knicks | 69c | 71,653$49,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,212.45 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Raptors | 33c | 65,791$21,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,754.19 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b13…2c26backed Raptors | 34c | 62,578$21,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,344.71 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Knicks | 69c | 60,000$41,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,800 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Knicks | 68c | 56,428$38,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,812.36 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87b6…4ababacked Raptors | 31c | 54,602$16,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,712.79 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Raptors | 22c | 50,699$11,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,099.85 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Raptors | 33c | 50,000$16,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,499.91 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Knicks | 68c | 40,000$27,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,799.99 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Knicks | 73c | 37,186$26,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,213.48 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Raptors | 5c | 35,357$1,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,904 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Knicks | 68c | 34,508$23,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,927.93 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Raptors | 23c | 32,384$7,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,306.25 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks | 68c | 32,000$21,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,240 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Knicks | 64c | 31,836$20,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,355.19 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Raptors | 32c | 31,250$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Knicks | 67c | 27,087$18,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,953.55 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Knicks | 67c | 25,128$16,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,342.27 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Raptors | 8c | 25,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Raptors | 31c | 25,000$7,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,749.94 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2487…fa80backed Knicks | 64c | 21,071$13,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,596.31 | 180 | 45%81 W · 99 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Raptors | 36c | 21,071$7,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,585.53 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Raptors | 32c | 20,001$6,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,400.3 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Raptors | 34c | 19,816$6,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,688.06 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Knicks | 67c | 18,888$12,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,233.04 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Raptors | 36c | 18,495$6,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,643.08 | 176 | 58%102 W · 74 L | +13.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Raptors | 32c | 17,291$5,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,532.96 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Knicks | 69c | 16,732$11,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,186.79 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x723f…c7d3backed Raptors | 37c | 16,500$6,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,105 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Knicks | 62c | 16,255$10,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,150.27 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Knicks | 66c | 15,152$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,151.52 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Knicks | 67c | 14,619$9,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,842.25 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ab…ded1backed Raptors | 31c | 14,201$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Raptors | 35c | 13,921$4,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,843.42 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa617…111ebacked Knicks | 64c | 12,507$8,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,502.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09a8…2829backed Knicks | 64c | 12,503$8,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,501.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Raptors | 8c | 12,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Raptors | 7c | 11,258$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.37 | 185 | 18.4%34 W · 151 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Raptors | 24c | 11,231$2,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Raptors | 37c | 11,000$4,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,069.97 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Knicks | 66c | 10,937$7,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,691.09 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Raptors | 36c | 10,200$3,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,713.97 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Raptors | 3c | 10,010$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.19 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Raptors | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c52…ff83backed Raptors | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Knicks | 70c | 9,888$6,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,931.08 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Raptors | 32c | 9,375$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed Raptors | 9c | 8,889$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…bdc7backed Knicks | 69c | 8,502$5,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,635.56 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2d…1796backed Raptors | 36c | 8,437$3,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,037.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x708d…8a09backed Raptors | 14c | 8,025$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.99 | 219 | 23.7%52 W · 167 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2d…b68bbacked Knicks | 63c | 8,004$5,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,961.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Raptors | 14c | 8,000$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07e9…40bbbacked Raptors | 37c | 7,985$2,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,954.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Knicks | 63c | 7,937$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,936.51 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a04…d57dbacked Knicks | 65c | 7,625$4,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,652.02 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Knicks | 68c | 7,300$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,299.66 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42cb…8412backed Knicks | 73c | 7,005$5,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,905.95 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a13…4593backed Knicks | 67c | 7,000$4,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,309 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Knicks | 64c | 7,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4124…3291backed Knicks | 64c | 7,000$4,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5b…d411backed Knicks | 72c | 6,939$4,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.8 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Raptors | 33c | 6,603$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.58 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Raptors | 38c | 6,579$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd041…7b26backed Raptors | 32c | 6,250$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Raptors | 35c | 6,181$2,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,178.15 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1033…d851backed Knicks | 66c | 6,074$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,074.04 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4954…23d6backed Knicks | 64c | 6,000$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd023…0211backed Raptors | 36c | 6,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Raptors | 9c | 6,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Raptors | 34c | 5,843$1,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,993.85 | 400 | 35.5%142 W · 258 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…8c81backed Raptors | 10c | 5,823$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593 | 100 | 27%27 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…f7e2backed Raptors | 35c | 5,714$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 191 | 36.1%69 W · 122 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f04…4502backed Raptors | 2c | 5,713$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.48 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d05…6f11backed Raptors | 12c | 5,700$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 265 | 46%122 W · 143 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c6…2c17backed Raptors | 36c | 5,580$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x306a…0d29backed Knicks | 64c | 5,550$3,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,997.5 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Knicks | 60c | 5,525$3,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,210.14 | 98 | 68.4%67 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54fd…ae61backed Knicks | 68c | 5,515$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,764.71 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Raptors | 32c | 5,500$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Knicks | 78c | 5,416$4,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.06 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Knicks | 68c | 5,293$3,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,701.94 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Raptors | 38c | 5,189$1,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,948.73 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Raptors | 31c | 5,050$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Raptors | 28c | 5,040$1,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,413.19 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Raptors | 33c | 5,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f95…8b86backed Raptors | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a4…e9adbacked Raptors | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Knicks | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. Raptorsthis page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Knicks won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Knicks won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Knicks won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 226.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 227.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 228.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 229.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 230.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 231.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 232.5Under won
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.