NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 231.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x672b153897572146b5ccbc74bd55b9cb1440932af0bb782f6adaf79d254ac14e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,188
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,047
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,188 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 48c | 3,257$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560.11 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Under | 52c | 2,931$1,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,406.89 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 65c | 2,318$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.98 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb1…15fabacked Under | 68c | 1,478$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.94 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 46c | 1,010$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.41 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Over | 21c | 536.5$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.67 | 353 | 26.6%94 W · 259 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked Under | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Over | 22c | 454$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.88 | 390 | 18.2%71 W · 319 L | +27.6wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x071e…0d11backed Over | 46c | 433.07$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.21 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 46c | 320.97$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.31 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…828bbacked Over | 43c | 235.73$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.97 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd509…b06abacked Under | 65c | 231.97$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.97 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…785ebacked Under | 61c | 197$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.83 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222a…7a8dbacked Over | 38c | 184$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 37c | 169.81$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.43 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb549…8a39backed Under | 62c | 165$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 35c | 138.85$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Over | 60c | 112.5$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1aba…0831backed Under | 74c | 102$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.19 | 185 | 58.4%108 W · 77 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Under | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 634 | 27.3%173 W · 461 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…f8afbacked Over | 39c | 95$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.05 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Under | 64c | 81$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81c1…64fbbacked Under | 67c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc687…e856backed Under | 63c | 79.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 44c | 74.29$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.66 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 57c | 70.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 61c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Under | 64c | 61$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.96 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +8.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +22%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Under | 50c | 57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Under | 59c | 57$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ae…89d9backed Over | 39c | 56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked Under | 62c | 54$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Under | 59c | 53$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ff…db1dbacked Over | 39c | 46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -7.0wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0fec…8dc3backed Over | 38c | 46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Over | 36c | 44.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca2…2635backed Under | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Over | 33c | 39.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 33c | 38.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Over | 48c | 36.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca65…6746backed Over | 36c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab2c…0ab7backed Over | 41c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77ec…4f9cbacked Over | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38dc…4c5fbacked Over | 41c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Under | 58c | 23.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 473 | 49%232 W · 241 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29bd…80c9backed Under | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 231.5this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Knicks won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Knicks won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Knicks won
- Knicks vs. RaptorsKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 226.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 227.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 228.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 229.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 230.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 232.5Under won
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.