NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 232.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x929acf51ee6028a5228777a5f14aba516c79192de87d8deaa2af1be06c0154e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,480
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,632
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,480 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1033…d851backed Under | 69c | 1,458$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.3 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb1…15fabacked Under | 71c | 1,418$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.31 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 30c | 1,100$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.01 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Under | 51c | 1,009$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.86 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Over | 58c | 999.98$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.99 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 1c | 970.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c3…0e32backed Under | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 45c | 909.09$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.09 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 42c | 798.6$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.73 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 56c | 399.99$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 45c | 394$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.36 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6857…7f23backed Over | 37c | 167$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…0158backed Under | 64c | 156$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed Under | 61c | 145$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.55 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…e269backed Over | 41c | 122.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 247 | 31.2%77 W · 170 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aba…0831backed Under | 74c | 120.74$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.32 | 185 | 58.4%108 W · 77 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafad…623bbacked Under | 68c | 120$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 49c | 117.47$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.47 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 32c | 117.18$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.53 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Over | 12c | 101.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 634 | 27.3%173 W · 461 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Over | 35c | 97.51$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.71 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 35c | 84.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cb…9c55backed Under | 64c | 62.64$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.64 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b3…27babacked Over | 39c | 57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…1ddcbacked Over | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Under | 61c | 48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Over | 46c | 45.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bd…0da6backed Over | 39c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…938dbacked Over | 39c | 31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee9…f7acbacked Under | 33c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | +10.1wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x54a7…a747backed Under | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 232.5this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Knicks won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Knicks won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Knicks won
- Knicks vs. RaptorsKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 226.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 227.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 228.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 229.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 230.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 231.5Under won
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.