NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Raptors: 1H Moneyline
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a80a6ea79402a9ab8ceffa440ff0288393d94da1f1e09360eec771fc45c0d1f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knicksof Knicks, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,551
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,241
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,551 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1467…4372backed Knicks | 66c | 1,513$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.19 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed Raptors | 55c | 890$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.5 | 141 | 56%79 W · 62 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Raptors | 44c | 613.64$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 150 | 38%57 W · 93 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6911…947cbacked Raptors | 49c | 608.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Raptors | 39c | 477.77$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.96 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Raptors | 36c | 419.75$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.84 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Raptors | 35c | 390$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.5 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc47f…94b4backed Raptors | 40c | 375$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Knicks | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 271 | 61.3%166 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Knicks | 65c | 244.99$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.75 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6579…b0a5backed Knicks | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd59a…ac62backed Knicks | 53c | 228.55$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.55 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Raptors | 39c | 194$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.66 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef3c…7762backed Raptors | 42c | 170$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc490…29d6backed Knicks | 58c | 164$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44cd…2bb0backed Raptors | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Knicks | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 256 | 42.6%109 W · 147 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Raptors | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 317 | 48.9%155 W · 162 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Raptors | 38c | 75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6393…dde9backed Knicks | 61c | 74$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Raptors | 39c | 63.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Knicks | 65c | 59.3$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 634 | 27.3%173 W · 461 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Raptors | 39c | 58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad2…d17fbacked Knicks | 61c | 57$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked Raptors | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -8.6wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Raptors | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e24…b31fbacked Raptors | 50c | 48.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 143 | 57.3%82 W · 61 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Raptors | 46c | 45.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cb…9c55backed Knicks | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…0329backed Raptors | 40c | 40.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6468…e03dbacked Knicks | 61c | 39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…9417backed Raptors | 41c | 37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78a4…05afbacked Knicks | 62c | 36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc93b…9e73backed Raptors | 61c | 34.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6d…d6bdbacked Knicks | 59c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…1ed1backed Knicks | 61c | 31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Knicks | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 539 | 51.6%278 W · 261 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07a4…be3abacked Knicks | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bf…0ed4backed Knicks | 60c | 28.18$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1a…ad50backed Knicks | 59c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Raptors | 37c | 27.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77ed…53f7backed Knicks | 61c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08a7…e161backed Knicks | 61c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x608b…6e88backed Knicks | 61c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd595…7893backed Knicks | 62c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. Raptors: 1H Moneylinethis page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Knicks won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Knicks won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Knicks won
- Knicks vs. RaptorsKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 226.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 227.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 228.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 229.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 230.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 231.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 232.5Under won
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.