NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 228.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e2564b3f1c5346abef5625f0f40bf73bbade688dc7bf09321b93ff8b8c34aca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,390
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,211
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,390 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Under | 57c | 4,500$2,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,955 | 220 | 53.6%118 W · 102 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 44c | 3,569$1,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,561.69 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7397…860cbacked Over | 44c | 1,950$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1f…c37dbacked Under | 56c | 1,950$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cea…3ba8backed Over | 44c | 1,900$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8caf…13d0backed Over | 44c | 1,900$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdf…2b11backed Under | 56c | 1,900$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafe7…7e7fbacked Under | 56c | 1,900$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 55c | 1,780$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 47c | 1,173$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.79 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 44c | 1,027$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.68 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Over | 55c | 850$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.85 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Over | 58c | 810.9$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.21 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 45c | 731.68$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.26 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 20c | 596.25$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.25 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 43c | 595.33$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.84 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc47f…94b4backed Over | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae53…d80bbacked Over | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 409 | 52.1%213 W · 196 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 43c | 466.67$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.48 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 27c | 358$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.87 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d8…d527backed Under | 56c | 335$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.2 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 44c | 322.33$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.83 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 45c | 304$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.8 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc408…df3dbacked Over | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 45c | 247$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.15 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9466…1f15backed Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Over | 46c | 195$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.7 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4441…3551backed Over | 62c | 191.3$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.61 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe832…7abbbacked Over | 59c | 172.05$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddc1…5da4backed Under | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 51c | 90.75$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.86 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 44c | 80.54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.44 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35cd…fc05backed Under | 55c | 75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Under | 57c | 72$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.96 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…0329backed Under | 45c | 70.4$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 39c | 69.66$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.68 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Over | 27c | 61.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Over | 44c | 57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 473 | 49%232 W · 241 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1156…cd4abacked Under | 54c | 55.09$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.09 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Under | 56c | 55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.87 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea17…3b29backed Under | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3de…ee1dbacked Under | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb30…6ffbbacked Over | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Under | 55c | 37.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 157 | 59.9%94 W · 63 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Under | 55c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…cc29backed Over | 45c | 34.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1931…fec7backed Over | 45c | 34.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Over | 59c | 32.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 317 | 48.9%155 W · 162 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d19…8b58backed Over | 43c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6191…e505backed Over | 45c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Over | 45c | 22.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 302 | 44%133 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1e…327abacked Under | 59c | 22.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 50c | 20.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Over | 68c | 15.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 228.5this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Knicks won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Knicks won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Knicks won
- Knicks vs. RaptorsKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 226.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 227.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 229.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 230.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 231.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 232.5Under won
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.