TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 118.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,844
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,813

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,844 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5942…5641backed Over41c412.56$169 inWon+$243.5625642.6%109 W · 147 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Over50c400$200 inWon+$2001369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+22%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over48c194.31$93 inWon+$101.14,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6579…b0a5backed Under52c192.31$100 inLost-$1004744.7%21 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc49c…6dcabacked Under59c158$93 inLost-$93.227951.9%41 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Under50c154$77 inLost-$7724151.9%125 W · 116 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e4f…243cbacked Under58c149$86 inLost-$86.426454.7%35 W · 29 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Under50c144$72 inLost-$7258951.3%302 W · 287 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c0…07d8backed Under56c112$63 inLost-$62.724553.3%24 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x64c6…244cbacked Under60c102.26$61 inLost-$61.439445.7%43 W · 51 L-11.3wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-21.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6a82…b6bdbacked Under50c102$51 inLost-$518251.2%42 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95c4…a93bbacked Over42c87$37 inWon+$50.464660.9%28 W · 18 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+24%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xecd6…d4dfbacked Over41c56$23 inWon+$33.042766.7%18 W · 9 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+23.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x65ea…223fbacked Under60c52$31 inLost-$31.28450%42 W · 42 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca65…6746backed Over40c45$18 inWon+$272846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b5f…b793backed Over42c42$18 inWon+$24.362850%14 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Over40c38.26$15 inWon+$23.091,13217%192 W · 940 L+2.5wins0.00per pick17cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1488…0672backed Under60c35$21 inLost-$215058%29 W · 21 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b40…93f4backed Over41c34$14 inWon+$20.063658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over40c34$14 inWon+$20.344,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e8e…1ef0backed Under62c32.5$20 inLost-$209954.5%54 W · 45 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6e9…6613backed Over41c25$10 inWon+$14.751952.6%10 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50be…bcb1backed Over44c25$11 inWon+$142548%12 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67de…1d9bbacked Over44c24$11 inWon+$13.442065%13 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+26.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4390…e842backed Over44c24$11 inWon+$13.441428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.8wins-0.27per pick56cpaid-46.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9d30…2645backed Under59c22$13 inLost-$12.987448.6%36 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.