NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 227.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a5ac24b74c9985a334f81361da6019231e7f6597a917e7d74bcc0fdc1f46c3b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,431
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,474
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,431 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Over | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Under | 53c | 5,000$2,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,340 | 220 | 53.6%118 W · 102 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd856…f1f6backed Under | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x845b…9041backed Over | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 48c | 1,885$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.8 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Over | 46c | 1,855$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.21 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 46c | 1,539$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.32 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked Under | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 47c | 779.14$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.5 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Over | 48c | 715$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.2 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…017fbacked Under | 53c | 548.36$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.73 | 235 | 50.2%118 W · 117 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Under | 53c | 504$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.88 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b9…d1d9backed Under | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 46c | 414$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.44 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 406.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.99 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf28…9144backed Over | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.24per pick | 50cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 48c | 320$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.6 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 48c | 301.5$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.72 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 50c | 265$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf586…f614backed Over | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Under | 53c | 186$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.42 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Over | 48c | 176.45$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.7 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed Under | 52c | 118$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.64 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0b…e2a3backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…d4e9backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0af6…a1a1backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 44cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8839…8a3ebacked Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | -8.5wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 51c | 93.58$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.86 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f80…d2ecbacked Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59eb…fa33backed Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73a5…1633backed Under | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 44c | 89.29$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.29 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…aeb8backed Over | 47c | 83$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.01 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2000…df78backed Over | 48c | 73.13$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…24adbacked Over | 47c | 73$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.31 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…6574backed Over | 46c | 64.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked Under | 52c | 64$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Under | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Under | 53c | 51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 47c | 45.87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 50c | 44.01$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.04 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…dff3backed Under | 55c | 43.64$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d78…4756backed Over | 47c | 43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 202 | 41.1%83 W · 119 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc7…31c0backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 354 | 38.1%135 W · 219 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x334f…0d32backed Over | 46c | 35.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc9…801ebacked Over | 48c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bd…0da6backed Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ff…db1dbacked Over | 48c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -7.0wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb5…6a69backed Over | 48c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f1…6349backed Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 173 | 50.9%88 W · 85 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe66c…7cc5backed Over | 46c | 27.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5193…b348backed Under | 55c | 27.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd1…0100backed Over | 48c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over | 46c | 21.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec0…7e26backed Under | 70c | 18.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 227.5this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Knicks won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Knicks won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Knicks won
- Knicks vs. RaptorsKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 226.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 228.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 229.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 230.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 231.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 232.5Under won
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.