TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$182,507
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$181,799

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $182,507 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 219 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd43c…04e8backed Under51c64,612$32,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,862.3811535.7%41 W · 74 L-12.9wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under48c16,420$7,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,616.049,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Over49c14,599$7,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,153.2852460.1%315 W · 209 L+35.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over49c10,329$5,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,057.995,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Over52c10,161$5,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,274.9648448.8%236 W · 248 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Over52c9,124$4,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,770.3485742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over49c8,387$4,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,150.012,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa25…05e8backed Over71c6,000$4,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2606352.4%33 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Under48c5,500$2,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,86047748.8%233 W · 244 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf70d…ef69backed Under47c5,380$2,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,851.271050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x477a…583ebacked Over53c4,977$2,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,637.81944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over51c4,725$2,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,412.141,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Under49c4,349$2,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,230.8335651.1%182 W · 174 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Over50c4,260$2,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,112.9648347.2%228 W · 255 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Over49c4,000$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,96044654.3%242 W · 204 L+21.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under33c3,247$1,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,173.158,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7cd…0888backed Over50c2,950$1,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,47517744.1%78 W · 99 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Under49c2,847$1,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,452.1792753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1033…d851backed Over57c2,677$1,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,519.8527443.1%118 W · 156 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Over7c2,529$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.2167921.4%145 W · 534 L+32.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xacc5…c31fbacked Over53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0603046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x710a…ed6cbacked Over53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0602254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x48a9…cd76backed Over53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0603265.6%21 W · 11 L+4.7wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+30.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x42e9…80a8backed Under47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0602356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafd1…da41backed Over53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0602040%8 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-23.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7432…d7d5backed Under47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0602060%12 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb06d…7c03backed Under48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0402070%14 W · 6 L+4.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+42.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb482…e3ecbacked Under47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0602766.7%18 W · 9 L+4.4wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+33.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7e9a…5ecebacked Over52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0401947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Over51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.9836248.9%177 W · 185 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0432…1660backed Over59c1,998$1,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,184.513345.5%15 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+21.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75e1…3ff3backed Over53c1,946$1,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,031.278853.4%47 W · 41 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Under47c1,925$914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,010.8136741.4%152 W · 215 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16bd…ed47backed Over52c1,923$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007652.6%40 W · 36 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdb1…15fabacked Over53c1,887$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003351.5%17 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98b5…e61fbacked Over54c1,852$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003743.2%16 W · 21 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-19.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over54c1,852$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over50c1,725$863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862.51,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under48c1,724$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898.721,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc87b…51d4backed Over68c1,720$1,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,170.621055.2%116 W · 94 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under36c1,317$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.853,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under41c1,268$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.21,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Under48c1,200$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62415653.8%84 W · 72 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cf2…5803backed Over52c1,154$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under33c1,106$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.622,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over49c1,066$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.313,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d16…85f3backed Over52c961.54$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004742.6%20 W · 27 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf78e…0956backed Over80c894.8$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.833372.7%24 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…bf20backed Over53c779.51$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.144540%18 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4010…77d4backed Over38c750.44$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.3248146.2%222 W · 259 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44c7…9bdebacked Under65c672.78$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.0214764.6%95 W · 52 L+9.0wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under48c626.81$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.442,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7851…d471backed Under49c600$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3068148.1%39 W · 42 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under47c556.66$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.031,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed Under31c516$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.0435326.6%94 W · 259 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick20cpaid+31%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under48c502$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.042,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26572647.7%346 W · 380 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under58c447.47$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.442,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab9b…d007backed Over53c433.96$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2303844.7%17 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3605…1ae1backed Over29c421.07$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.3223043%99 W · 131 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over51c416$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.163,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Under49c410$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.123748.1%114 W · 123 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked Under48c407.69$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2125750.9%29 W · 28 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4441…3551backed Over53c407.19$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.822277.3%17 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.15per pick62cpaid+23.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5a81…aa82backed Over53c402.75$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.461866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5f27…6ea7backed Over52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20814145.4%64 W · 77 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Under33c392.65$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.7852643%226 W · 300 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Over53c370.52$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.5649938.9%194 W · 305 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6b2…6d9dbacked Over52c364.33$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.455945.8%27 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under47c352$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.561,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x502b…a1d5backed Under41c348.29$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.825039.6%99 W · 151 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68bf…3e67backed Over56c336.45$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.4110244.1%45 W · 57 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf1b…b963backed Over60c305.67$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.4540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-24.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2da4…803ebacked Over49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d53…061cbacked Over52c300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15611942.9%51 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under46c300$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1624,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Over52c288.46$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15090957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc07d…5bd8backed Under33c254.07$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.7818554.1%100 W · 85 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa7ce…024abacked Over60c252.04$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.81955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over44c250.36$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.031,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58b7…103cbacked Over53c225.9$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.592458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa1a…d9abbacked Under48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.338344.6%37 W · 46 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde2a…2b50backed Under49c200.82$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.42250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb89…46f1backed Over52c200.4$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.2110045%45 W · 55 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdeaf…dbaabacked Under49c200$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.7737930.6%116 W · 263 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dc4…306fbacked Over51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10215844.3%70 W · 88 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf531…b062backed Over53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10654838%208 W · 340 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebb1…e7afbacked Over54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10836854.1%199 W · 169 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Over55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11028929.4%85 W · 204 L-13.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1fe8…c7a6backed Under52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+33.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked Over46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9219652.6%103 W · 93 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x15a3…718ebacked Over54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10811351.3%58 W · 55 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x215b…3e6cbacked Under47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc47f…94b4backed Over35c199.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707731.2%24 W · 53 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid+14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x198a…664cbacked Under76c197.76$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.172100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over52c192.79$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b20…7c67backed Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019552.8%103 W · 92 L-0.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8839…8a3ebacked Under49c189.81$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.87433.8%25 W · 49 L-8.5wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-31.7%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x1e73…b728backed Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.