NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 226.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4c994b7040255c5e57d59230f8ccca442ca74ca2b9708960f6188da7eb28edb

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Dec 10, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $33,652
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $33,734

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,652 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Under	50c	6,059$3,030 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,029.47	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked Under	51c	3,763$1,919 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,843.64	315	38.1%120 W · 195 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Over	49c	3,333$1,633 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,633.17	288	50.3%145 W · 143 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Under	52c	3,285$1,708 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,576.83	477	51.8%247 W · 230 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Over	50c	3,144$1,572 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,572	927	53.5%496 W · 431 L	+20.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over	50c	2,936$1,468 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,468	1,820	52.1%948 W · 872 L	+48.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over	48c	2,679$1,286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,286.08	1,212	48.3%586 W · 626 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Under	52c	2,649$1,374 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,274.67	747	48.5%362 W · 385 L	+8.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Under	51c	2,619$1,336 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,283.28	356	51.1%182 W · 174 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x185c…fa2fbacked Over	51c	2,000$1,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,020	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd29c…d4efbacked Under	49c	2,000$980 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,020	24	58.3%14 W · 10 L	+2.0wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+18%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Over	49c	2,000$980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$980	362	48.9%177 W · 185 L	-6.6wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64a2…4a7ebacked Over	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.16per pick	44cpaid	+55.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb62…abbdbacked Under	49c	2,000$980 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,020	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	+1.9wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x43dc…2353backed Over	51c	2,000$1,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,020	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-1.5wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over	51c	1,176$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$599.76	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x911d…2438backed Over	51c	1,004$512 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$512	66	54.5%36 W · 30 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over	49c	800$392 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$392	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under	52c	800$416 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$384	456	47.1%215 W · 241 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under	50c	750$375 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$375	1,332	51.2%682 W · 650 L	+7.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under	49c	400$196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$204	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Over	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	417	42%175 W · 242 L	-16.5wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Over	35c	383.84$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.54	679	21.4%145 W · 534 L	+32.4wins	+0.05per pick	17cpaid	+33.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4f9…5526backed Under	49c	264$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.64	76	51.3%39 W · 37 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x46bd…37e8backed Over	51c	231.37$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118	168	37.5%63 W · 105 L	-20.6wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-25%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1e46…0742backed Under	53c	220$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.4	239	48.5%116 W · 123 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	786	52.4%412 W · 374 L	+14.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over	48c	200$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	357	39.8%142 W · 215 L	-25.0wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf586…f614backed Over	65c	169.23$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	-3.7wins	-0.11per pick	55cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf19…3f61backed Over	48c	162.5$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4556…2b35backed Over	51c	150$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.5	129	52.7%68 W · 61 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6611…17e7backed Over	51c	150$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.5	90	48.9%44 W · 46 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x44cd…2bb0backed Under	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under	49c	98.04$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	726	47.7%346 W · 380 L	+5.8wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2599…9218backed Over	51c	98.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	117	61.5%72 W · 45 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94d8…92ecbacked Under	53c	91.04$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.79	31	54.8%17 W · 14 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbe8…47f8backed Over	51c	88$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.88	29	27.6%8 W · 21 L	-6.9wins	-0.24per pick	51cpaid	-48.3%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Under	50c	80$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	522	42.7%223 W · 299 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6fe1…e560backed Over	51c	77$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.27	41	61%25 W · 16 L	+4.2wins	+0.10per pick	51cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd448…f700backed Over	52c	76.92$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	109	53.2%58 W · 51 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x102f…9b6ebacked Under	50c	74$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37	60	53.3%32 W · 28 L	+2.7wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2a4…aeb8backed Over	50c	74$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	36	50%18 W · 18 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f33…8f17backed Over	51c	70$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.7	43	51.2%22 W · 21 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5993…c102backed Over	48c	68.75$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb81d…c6c0backed Under	51c	62$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.38	93	60.2%56 W · 37 L	+10.4wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Over	49c	53$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.97	500	47.2%236 W · 264 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over	48c	51.8$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.06	938	49.7%466 W · 472 L	+36.0wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd53…a861backed Under	52c	50$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24	63	49.2%31 W · 32 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x47e0…6510backed Under	52c	48.08$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.08	27	59.3%16 W · 11 L	+3.8wins	+0.14per pick	45cpaid	+49.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0fed…0d78backed Under	51c	42$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.58	51	41.2%21 W · 30 L	-3.3wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa5f…3de3backed Under	51c	39$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.11	72	47.2%34 W · 38 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b33…6c89backed Under	52c	38.46$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.46	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xfbf9…fbc2backed Over	52c	38.46$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	20	50%10 W · 10 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9318…22b8backed Over	49c	34.45$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.88	195	43.1%84 W · 111 L	-12.2wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6098…d746backed Over	48c	31$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.88	28	14.3%4 W · 24 L	-9.8wins	-0.35per pick	49cpaid	-72.9%equal weight	30-0.18 edge/pick
0x5a42…6aa2backed Over	65c	30.77$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	88	47.7%42 W · 46 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Under	50c	30$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	1,124	48.6%546 W · 578 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6a4…9106backed Over	50c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e85…d253backed Over	51c	29$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.79	36	55.6%20 W · 16 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbba…e95bbacked Over	49c	24$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.76	36	41.7%15 W · 21 L	-3.2wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x43dc…88cfbacked Over	49c	24$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.76	35	51.4%18 W · 17 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5093…dee4backed Over	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	102	55.9%57 W · 45 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 226.5this page
1H Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Knicks won
1H Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Knicks won
1H Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Knicks won
Knicks vs. RaptorsKnicks won
Knicks vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
Knicks vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
Knicks vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
Knicks vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
Knicks vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5Under won
Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 227.5Under won
Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 228.5Under won
Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 229.5Under won
Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 230.5Under won
Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 231.5Under won
Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 232.5Under won
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Knicks won
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Knicks won
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Knicks won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 226.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event