TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x47e0…6510

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
168
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: NBA, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 58 out of 100; worst Stocks at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT5420.4%11 W · 43 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$19.75
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.49
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$30.82
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+529.2%+$195.79
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$80.44
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$56.33
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$41.69
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+275.4%+$128.67
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+42.9%+$55.95
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$73.09
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$31
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST2759.3%16 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+49.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+212.5%+$26.25
Nuggets vs. Cavaliersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Suns vs. Pelicansbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+58.8%+$18.58
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+29.9%+$26.89
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+96.8%+$51.71
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$10.63
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+212.5%+$27.63
Raptors vs. Heatbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+194.1%+$29.12
Magic vs. Nuggetsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+56.3%+$11.25
Spurs vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 115.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+50.8%+$8.13
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Grizzlies vs. Clippersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+150%+$22.5
Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 241.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Raptors vs. Heatbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+203%+$30.45
Warriors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Pelicans vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Hornets vs. Cavaliersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+170.4%+$25.56
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+436.1%+$130.82
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+92.3%+$18.46
Knicks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+150%+$15
Bulls vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+238.8%+$114.64
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2638.5%10 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$50
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$10.23
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Bills vs. Broncos: O/U 46.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10.3
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$37
Jaguars vs. Coltsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+51.5%+$6.7
Seahawks vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Steelers vs. Brownsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$39.03
49ers vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$15
49ers vs. Colts: O/U 46.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+170.3%+$34.05
Steelers vs. Lionsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+193.8%+$29.07
Jaguars vs. Broncosbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+143.9%+$28.78
Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 42.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Vikings vs. Cowboysbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+229.3%+$36.69
Lions vs. Ramsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Panthers vs. Saintsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Colts vs. Seahawksbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$43
Chargers vs. Chiefsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+202.9%+$69
Chargers vs. Chiefs: O/U 41.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+104.1%+$20.82
Bills vs. Patriotsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+157.4%+$22.04
Bills vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$33
LAR vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+525%+$52.5
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.71
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+78.5%+$15.89
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+100%+$15
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+244.8%+$36.72
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+44.9%+$11.23
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+150%+$16.5
All 13 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+83.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Devilsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Kraken vs. Utahbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Red Wings vs. Oilersbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Bruins vs. Jetsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+132.6%+$39.77
Bruins vs. Bluesbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+117.4%+$29.35
All 5 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-51.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+51.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-52%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-52.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+167.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+167.3%+$33.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Prestige vs NAVI Junior (BO3)backed Prestige · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+45.9%+$5.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Louisiana Tech vs. Missouri Statebacked Missouri State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$24.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
VfB Stuttgart vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.