Bundesliga · resolved market
VfB Stuttgart vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58fc6c9c1b243e7053cd4fcc1bb3b64fa8b667d7e64c5f0fdecf89a938c32536
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $176,582
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $189,246
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $176,582 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 56c | 35,999$20,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,080.38 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df1…54ccbacked Under | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…c626backed Under | 52c | 11,476$6,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,023.6 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Over | 45c | 11,104$4,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,107.44 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…ef38backed Over | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,600 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 52c | 7,305$3,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,811.43 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 43c | 5,712$2,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,264.59 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 46c | 5,199$2,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,816.12 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 44c | 3,950$1,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,206.74 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Over | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26a6…ff11backed Under | 55c | 2,818$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…70d4backed Under | 55c | 2,235$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…85bbbacked Under | 47c | 1,291$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.77 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 65c | 1,240$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.92 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 56c | 1,100$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.81 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Over | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdb…6f6bbacked Over | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…2585backed Over | 45c | 909.99$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Over | 45c | 710$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.5 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 44c | 684.23$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.94 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 43c | 670.14$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.98 | 100 | 26%26 W · 74 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Over | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 653.78$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.6 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882e…54cebacked Under | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Under | 56c | 531.64$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.43 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Over | 40c | 500$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +7.6wins | +0.22per pick | 31cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc44a…bcd8backed Over | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 55c | 444$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.2 | 143 | 64.3%92 W · 51 L | +14.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Over | 62c | 416.13$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Under | 55c | 408.39$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.61 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Over | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.35per pick | 50cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 58c | 392.47$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.63 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fc…1511backed Under | 19c | 381.62$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.96 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 43c | 374$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.53 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 51c | 365.76$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.83 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +13.8wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +56%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4a42…2a7ebacked Over | 42c | 358.7$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.7 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Under | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -5.8wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…e5f4backed Over | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Under | 61c | 300$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.5 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 43c | 293.45$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.79 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 51c | 291.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.14 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b80…b3b2backed Under | 8c | 291.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 21c | 284.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.17 | 128 | 32%41 W · 87 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked Under | 4c | 269.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Over | 44c | 265$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d169backed Under | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Over | 52c | 257.69$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.69 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 24c | 253.61$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.92 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 64c | 250.22$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.33 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Over | 43c | 231.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.63 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd571…d24abacked Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +115.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 47c | 215$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.06 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50fc…ba9abacked Under | 56c | 214$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6a…86bbbacked Over | 60c | 213.57$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.59 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 71c | 211.52$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.52 | 61 | 82%50 W · 11 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 69cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked Under | 8c | 199.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 34 | 5.9%2 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 23c | 196.82$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.18 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Under | 51c | 196.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.29 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.19per pick | 28cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…a65dbacked Over | 45c | 194.49$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.97 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…c872backed Under | 61c | 192.99$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.72 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1974…bc18backed Under | 13c | 182.53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.27per pick | 50cpaid | -61%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fe…c8c2backed Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ee…1943backed Under | 57c | 154.76$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.21 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Over | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.85 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x064a…245dbacked Under | 36c | 149$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.64 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.32per pick | 59cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 68c | 141.18$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.18 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 38c | 140$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.8 | 228 | 29.4%67 W · 161 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Over | 57c | 138.68$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.63 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +8.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +31%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Over | 80c | 132.3$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 41 | 87.8%36 W · 5 L | +9.1wins | +0.22per pick | 66cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf6…773bbacked Over | 45c | 128.89$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.89 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +5.3wins | +0.25per pick | 32cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 56c | 119.97$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.58 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72e2…1d2abacked Under | 59c | 116.51$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.74 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +10.9wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b3…5c29backed Over | 44c | 110.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.98 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ea…52dbbacked Over | 44c | 109.34$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.23 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 42c | 106.84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.37 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…fb9dbacked Over | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…b4f1backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbf…4ec0backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked Under | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over | 45c | 93.33$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.33 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc999…2958backed Over | 50c | 93$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1d…95debacked Under | 33c | 91.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 66c | 91.78$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.55 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 120 | 69.2%83 W · 37 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce6…de1fbacked Under | 19c | 80.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under | 53c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 44c | 79.55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.55 | 78 | 25.6%20 W · 58 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…2020backed Under | 55c | 76.69$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Under | 20c | 76.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bd…7e48backed Under | 35c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa85a…6f28backed Under | 59c | 67.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…9262backed Under | 57c | 65.21$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 61c | 63$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 79 | 62%49 W · 30 L | +10.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- VfB Stuttgart vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5)Eintracht Frankfurt won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 1.5Over won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5Over won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.