Bundesliga · resolved market
VfB Stuttgart vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2aa22d7003f3346ee147823386c513e5dcda39054ed1b356d7530bd8d95601a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $117,201
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $152,219
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,201 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Over | 68c | 17,752$11,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,752.79 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Under | 34c | 11,999$4,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,079.78 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Over | 61c | 10,427$6,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,079.37 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 28c | 8,194$2,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,254.03 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 33c | 4,652$1,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,528.84 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 39c | 3,600$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Under | 33c | 3,128$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.72 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Over | 67c | 2,965$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.19 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 32c | 2,962$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.04 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Under | 37c | 2,704$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.03 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 66c | 2,319$1,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.31 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75dd…171dbacked Over | 80c | 2,260$1,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 77cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 69c | 2,128$1,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.62 | 142 | 60.6%86 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdb…6f6bbacked Over | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 32c | 1,500$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 277 | 26.4%73 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b25…b5ccbacked Over | 67c | 1,042$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.86 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 65c | 967.92$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.83 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcc…25c4backed Under | 35c | 936.2$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…6711backed Over | 67c | 914.74$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.65 | 49 | 75.5%37 W · 12 L | +8.2wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Under | 32c | 900$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 150 | 24%36 W · 114 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 31c | 867.7$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.16 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 33c | 787.37$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.37 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 36c | 741.33$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.47 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Over | 60c | 680.47$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.19 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Under | 35c | 632.84$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.68 | 100 | 26%26 W · 74 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 70c | 564.9$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.71 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +13.8wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +56%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Under | 35c | 466.76$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.37 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe514…bbccbacked Over | 68c | 446.23$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 39c | 400$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 333 | 40.8%136 W · 197 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 35c | 400$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.41 | 228 | 29.4%67 W · 161 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 67c | 373.13$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.13 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Under | 34c | 369.03$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.5 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…6a24backed Over | 63c | 318.05$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.05 | 21 | 85.7%18 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 70cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a42…2a7ebacked Over | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Under | 35c | 309.14$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.2 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Over | 65c | 308.11$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.11 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 68c | 247.21$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.21 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 64c | 245$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 67c | 234.33$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.33 | 61 | 82%50 W · 11 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 69cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8f…9a78backed Over | 66c | 227.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.27 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 62cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 67c | 222.92$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.92 | 130 | 73.1%95 W · 35 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ea…52dbbacked Over | 66c | 221.98$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.47 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8dd…ddbcbacked Over | 68c | 220$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…6304backed Over | 66c | 216.62$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.65 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…e14fbacked Under | 35c | 201.37$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.94 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…3377backed Under | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Under | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked Under | 37c | 194.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.15 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 32c | 193$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.76 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62cc…f56fbacked Under | 25c | 183.2$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.72 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 61c | 170.91$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.22 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 28c | 165.39$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.51 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a52…45e7backed Over | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Over | 67c | 149.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.27 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf6…773bbacked Over | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +5.3wins | +0.25per pick | 32cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Over | 67c | 149$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.17 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked Under | 31c | 148.3$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.49 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Over | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 37c | 137$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.69 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6a…86bbbacked Under | 30c | 121.58$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 33c | 119.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.19 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…ed2bbacked Over | 61c | 111.83$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.61 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 16c | 104.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 128 | 32%41 W · 87 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x901f…b8b0backed Over | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 15 | 93.3%14 W · 1 L | +4.2wins | +0.28per pick | 65cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Under | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Over | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf89c…8937backed Over | 67c | 96.83$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.95 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Over | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 32c | 91.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.72 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 63c | 90.25$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed Over | 67c | 81$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf633…03acbacked Over | 68c | 77.2$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.02 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +3.2wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…95a6backed Over | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b3…5c29backed Over | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f5…8797backed Over | 65c | 75.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.38 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdda6…925abacked Over | 67c | 74.85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2564…08c2backed Over | 67c | 74.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.68 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…e98fbacked Over | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Over | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +10.9wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…d57ebacked Over | 72c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 60c | 66.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.76 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7825…89a0backed Over | 60c | 64.27$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Over | 66c | 64$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a3…790fbacked Over | 67c | 60.37$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c2…6784backed Over | 68c | 57.35$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 68cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3f…1400backed Over | 63c | 55.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…f38dbacked Under | 28c | 55.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb97…d9cbbacked Over | 66c | 55.39$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 38c | 54.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Over | 68c | 54.41$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.41 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d8…30d9backed Over | 62c | 48.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 74cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…bc38backed Over | 66c | 46.62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 36c | 46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd902…d076backed Over | 60c | 44.95$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Over | 60c | 44.8$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa675…f477backed Under | 35c | 44.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…c872backed Under | 39c | 40.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- VfB Stuttgart vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5)Eintracht Frankfurt won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 1.5Over won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5Over won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.