TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

VfB Stuttgart vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,366
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$51,463

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,366 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes65c11,762$7,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,116.693458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No35c9,910$3,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,473.9176234.8%265 W · 497 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked No35c4,303$1,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,506.048037.5%30 W · 50 L+0.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No35c3,625$1,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,272.0744749.4%221 W · 226 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No33c2,522$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.233,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed No34c1,896$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.564835.4%17 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2412…b5a1backed Yes65c1,550$1,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.466768.7%46 W · 21 L+6.2wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x478f…f5d9backed Yes65c1,535$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.33862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick42cpaid+60%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8fdb…6f6bbacked Yes66c1,500$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5103100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+76.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No34c1,500$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.9927726.4%73 W · 204 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed No34c1,500$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.963327.3%9 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick22cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes65c1,340$871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.9910361.2%63 W · 40 L+8.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No31c1,087$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.0951136.8%188 W · 323 L-28.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Yes65c1,002$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.574658.7%27 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Yes64c999.91$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.9711056.4%62 W · 48 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes66c833.33$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.3338055.8%212 W · 168 L-0.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed No36c667.22$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.210945.9%50 W · 59 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84b8…bf98backed Yes63c636.32$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee67…ef38backed Yes64c543.41$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.632850%14 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c57…f939backed Yes66c494.17$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.17977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick54cpaid+46.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a10…7843backed Yes64c470.13$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.791650%8 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabd6…ca90backed Yes66c469$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.46580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Yes65c461.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.5418759.4%111 W · 76 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed No38c392.46$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.0933340.8%136 W · 197 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked No35c325.52$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1156533.8%22 W · 43 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No36c320.27$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.320545.9%94 W · 111 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4138…6a24backed Yes64c313.08$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.082185.7%18 W · 3 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick70cpaid+23.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Yes65c312.88$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.385347.2%25 W · 28 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.035552.7%29 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe281…ad9abacked No35c286.87$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10190%0 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked No34c268.99$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.6810026%26 W · 74 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-28.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Yes65c212.98$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.541442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa49…949ebacked Yes65c198$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.3666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ad8…9bc1backed No35c197.29$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.825137.3%19 W · 32 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-28.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Yes65c191.94$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2313073.1%95 W · 35 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x699c…3600backed Yes65c185$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.75785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.28per pick58cpaid+32.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.254252.4%22 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.856851.5%35 W · 33 L+10.9wins+0.16per pick35cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x2269…6304backed Yes65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.855166.7%34 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1df…16c1backed Yes66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.522245.5%10 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Yes66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5212271.3%87 W · 35 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf788…6f86backed Yes66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.529068.9%62 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick69cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8034…2463backed Yes66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.523574.3%26 W · 9 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x480d…298cbacked Yes66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.521952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f7c…e75cbacked Yes66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.521266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+21%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd7bf…7758backed Yes66c116.67$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.671283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.25per pick58cpaid+31.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb81d…c6c0backed Yes65c112.99$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.551947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x28a2…91a4backed Yes66c110$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.42650%13 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9f8…deabbacked Yes66c104.55$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69d2…bc89backed Yes66c103.58$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.222181%17 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.14per pick67cpaid+21.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf4e3…0d1abacked Yes66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345547.3%26 W · 29 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b85…fbb7backed Yes66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347100%7 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+50.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked No35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357335.6%26 W · 47 L-6.2wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-24.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a92…5a5ebacked Yes62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381361.5%8 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x985d…e14fbacked No37c97.04$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.173231.3%10 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Yes66c96.97$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.977857.7%45 W · 33 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked No36c96.44$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.651,30540.8%532 W · 773 L-42.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes66c90.91$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.919252.2%48 W · 44 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb6ea…0d78backed Yes64c85$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2b3…5c29backed Yes65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.922272.7%16 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+25.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xcbac…435fbacked Yes66c75.89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.89666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2104…82d7backed Yes66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.766063.3%38 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-1.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x68e0…a3a6backed Yes65c70.99$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.85875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+45%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes66c66.67$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.678664%55 W · 31 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe3f9…8699backed Yes65c66.32$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.325100%5 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+59.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe0c2…6784backed Yes66c59.09$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.09988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick68cpaid+33.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked No35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206526.2%17 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480e…a98bbacked No35c56.35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1313…866abacked No35c53$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.55560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Yes64c49.99$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.98636%31 W · 55 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc0f…18b4backed Yes65c46.15$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.152369.6%16 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+28.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5935…b8dabacked No35c46$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9eae…98a5backed Yes66c45.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.459468.1%64 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick71cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ff…121cbacked Yes66c45.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.451747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-23.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ed…cf8bbacked Yes66c45.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.45785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick67cpaid+20.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc30d…c27ebacked Yes66c45.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.45580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+28.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfacf…e97abacked No35c45$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.75633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-48.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1dc…1068backed No39c44.61$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.41435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-38.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes65c44$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.46347.6%30 W · 33 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27b1…592bbacked Yes66c42.42$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.421855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa60c…b395backed No35c41$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.35366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+53.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fd6…4ed9backed Yes62c40.32$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.321662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf21a…0751backed No35c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb0b…a307backed Yes63c40$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.82568%17 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10f7…26f0backed Yes63c39$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.431154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x315a…b24cbacked No35c38$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa27…c7a2backed Yes66c37.47$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.745100%5 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbec3…22b6backed Yes66c37.36$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.72556%14 W · 11 L+5.8wins+0.23per pick33cpaid+70.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x4060…c6a8backed Yes65c36.45$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b80…8e56backed No35c35$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x216b…8528backed Yes65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.773743.2%16 W · 21 L-6.2wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-26.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5a14…8610backed No35c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f57…6d41backed No35c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+17.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0aae…e845backed No35c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+26.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb520…60bcbacked No35c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd17…77fdbacked No35c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+34%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ac…4025backed Yes65c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b1c…dc02backed No36c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.81225%3 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-33.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x194f…81b6backed No35c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa029…c912backed No35c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+48.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.