Bundesliga · resolved market
VfB Stuttgart vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc1c602dcf45b931162b1a452277c9045db38ebefe4d6b99310358baeeaaff9e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $119,323
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $131,568
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,323 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 36c | 7,293$2,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,699.08 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Under | 75c | 6,667$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5f…4b52backed Under | 69c | 5,887$4,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,062.33 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 26c | 5,200$1,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,848 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 3,978$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,349.98 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 70c | 3,272$2,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,295.07 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b80…b3b2backed Under | 1c | 3,132$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x064a…245dbacked Under | 54c | 2,813$1,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,522.93 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.32per pick | 59cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…c626backed Under | 46c | 2,743$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.75 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…5111backed Under | 76c | 1,936$1,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,471.34 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26a6…ff11backed Under | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…85bbbacked Under | 60c | 1,500$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 25c | 1,500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.99 | 277 | 26.4%73 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed Over | 52c | 1,338$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.26 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.6wins | +0.33per pick | 45cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee4…9f0cbacked Under | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 42c | 1,165$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.03 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 23c | 1,064$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.2 | 100 | 26%26 W · 74 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 25c | 1,026$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.88 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x882e…54cebacked Under | 58c | 684.7$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee39…59bfbacked Under | 60c | 671.25$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabd6…ca90backed Under | 68c | 600$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed Under | 76c | 560.53$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 74c | 555$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.7 | 143 | 64.3%92 W · 51 L | +14.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Under | 64c | 530$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Over | 22c | 505$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.9 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +7.6wins | +0.22per pick | 31cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 74c | 500$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…92c8backed Under | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 78c | 483.81$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.99 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 75c | 460$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.9 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6a…86bbbacked Over | 43c | 425.51$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.91 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 79c | 399.97$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.97 | 333 | 40.8%136 W · 197 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Over | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.62 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.62 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +10.9wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked Under | 6c | 375.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 34 | 5.9%2 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 25c | 375$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0086…83fcbacked Under | 75c | 370$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3f…e8a6backed Over | 58c | 345.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.19 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 67cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d3a…bfb7backed Under | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 118 | 57.6%68 W · 50 L | +15.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked Over | 47c | 263.87$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.85 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca0c…9c40backed Over | 62c | 262.33$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Under | 52c | 258.93$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.82 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd94…c56cbacked Over | 50c | 240.09$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.09 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 44c | 235.8$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.95 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc84…4871backed Under | 59c | 233.62$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…21a1backed Under | 76c | 225.68$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.52 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 65c | 204.62$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.62 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…12cebacked Under | 44c | 201$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.27 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Over | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.31 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Over | 28c | 180.27$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.27 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…0e75backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 23c | 175.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.93 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d169backed Under | 38c | 171.05$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7c…e75cbacked Over | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea0…8f49backed Under | 76c | 147.96$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39ea…3d0ebacked Over | 25c | 140$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +70%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Under | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 189 | 58.2%110 W · 79 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 45c | 135.37$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.39 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf08d…580fbacked Under | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 38c | 131.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.84 | 142 | 60.6%86 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5449…5659backed Under | 42c | 130.95$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Under | 76c | 130.7$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.33 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…d977backed Under | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1307…4be7backed Over | 25c | 120$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 28c | 119.43$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +13.8wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +56%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1d…95debacked Under | 47c | 114.58$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Over | 64c | 107.81$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.81 | 38 | 76.3%29 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed Over | 50c | 100.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.18 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa237…d59abacked Under | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked Over | 41c | 99.97$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.72 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 45c | 98.21$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.69 | 79 | 62%49 W · 30 L | +10.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d6…ba60backed Over | 25c | 98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf6…773bbacked Over | 26c | 96.62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.62 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +5.3wins | +0.25per pick | 32cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd571…d24abacked Over | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.15 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +115.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc999…2958backed Over | 42c | 96.1$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80c3…ed8fbacked Over | 43c | 95.08$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.29 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…434dbacked Over | 42c | 93.69$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.34 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Under | 76c | 92$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.92 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Under | 75c | 91$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.25 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked Under | 34c | 88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked Under | 65c | 87.49$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.03 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 39c | 86.88$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.71 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 58c | 84.48$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.48 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb966…cac6backed Over | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 51c | 83.2$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.82 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…d7c5backed Over | 46c | 81.72$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Under | 75c | 79$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.25 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 25c | 78.51$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.16 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…bc38backed Over | 59c | 77.44$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a3…790fbacked Over | 64c | 73.18$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.34 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Under | 74c | 72$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.28 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 42c | 71.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.68 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.25per pick | 36cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x857f…96ecbacked Under | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Under | 78c | 70$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed Over | 58c | 69.69$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc4…63f6backed Under | 59c | 69.66$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.41 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 45c | 67.3$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.3 | 225 | 62.2%140 W · 85 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- VfB Stuttgart vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 4.5this page
- Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5)Eintracht Frankfurt won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 1.5Over won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5Over won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.