TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xeb0b…a307

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
106
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 54 out of 100; worst Olympics at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST2568%17 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$40.6
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$19.5
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+35.1%+$10.4
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+78.6%+$8.8
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+66.7%+$8
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+29.9%+$4.6
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$11.2
1. FC Union Berlin vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+80.2%+$8.98
1. FC Köln vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$67.07
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+69.5%+$25.54
VfB Stuttgart vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+85.2%+$9.2
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+25%+$38
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+40.8%+$14.5
VfB Stuttgart vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+58.7%+$14.8
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. VfB Stuttgart: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+56.3%+$28.8
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+119.8%+$21.8
RB Leipzig vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+63.9%+$7.8
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+58.7%+$7.4
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+66.7%+$8
1. FC Union Berlin vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$14.6
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+51.9%+$17.78
VfB Stuttgart vs. Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$10.2
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2025-12-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+177.8%+$35.56
All 25 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST2254.5%12 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$15.2
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$11.8
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+37%+$8.1
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20.7
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.6
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$9
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-01-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$11.4
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+29.9%+$4.6
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+26.6%+$18.9
Juventus FC vs. US Cremonese: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+69%+$9.33
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$21.2
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$21.3
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+62.6%+$23.1
Will Torino FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12.7
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$21.6
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20.1
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+60%+$22.5
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+98%+$19.8
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+58.7%+$18.5
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+75.4%+$15.09
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2025-12-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Como 1907 win on 2025-11-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+75.4%+$15.09
All 22 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1866.7%12 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$36.49
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$50.4
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+63.9%+$23.4
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20.1
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$12
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+49.3%+$16.5
Will Girona FC win on 2026-01-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$88.2
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+37%+$23.04
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+51.5%+$20.4
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$35.6
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11.4
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+58.1%+$14.69
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+72.4%+$8.4
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+27.6%+$9.59
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+33.3%+$10
Real Betis vs. Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+44.9%+$9.3
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+82.6%+$32.2
All 18 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST1758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+56.3%+$10.8
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$22.8
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$17.3
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+29.9%+$9.2
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+63.9%+$11.7
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+81.8%+$9
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-01-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$31
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+72.4%+$8.4
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+72.4%+$21
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+96.1%+$9.8
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+25%+$10
Will Everton FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$22.4
Manchester United FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$12.8
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+39.4%+$9.06
All 17 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$54
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+49.3%+$33
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+85.2%+$76.82
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$126
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$44.8
Sporting CP vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+57.1%+$43.6
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$11.2
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+28.2%+$4.4
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+26.6%+$5.32
All 9 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Olympics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick62cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rangers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+61.3%+$7.6
Lightning vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$10.2
Utah vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+42.9%+$6
Kraken vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$12.6
All 4 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nigeria win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+44.9%+$6.2
Will Germany win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+26.6%+$6.65
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$10.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.