Bundesliga · resolved market
RB Leipzig vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7361a801627ca11b55466a810021758ec31e272bb59d34b1bee66c2f254b92b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,636
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,988
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,636 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc933…5366backed Over | 63c | 30,000$18,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,111.38 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 38c | 22,508$8,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,633.56 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 37c | 7,035$2,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,604.09 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 37c | 5,062$1,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,893.48 | 271 | 38.4%104 W · 167 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 38c | 3,999$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519.74 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 46c | 3,551$1,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,643.53 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Over | 51c | 2,999$1,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.51 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Over | 66c | 2,998$1,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.21 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 34c | 2,480$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.14 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5520…32ffbacked Under | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked Under | 4c | 2,000$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6a…9717backed Over | 46c | 1,722$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.27 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed Over | 47c | 1,694$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.81 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Over | 64c | 1,667$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.09 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.3 | 187 | 59.4%111 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 38c | 1,531$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.08 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 277 | 26.4%73 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c7…bd87backed Over | 63c | 1,500$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Over | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Under | 35c | 828.57$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 45c | 626.87$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.59 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Under | 36c | 461.61$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.18 | 150 | 24%36 W · 114 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Over | 72c | 364.87$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.33 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +5.4wins | +0.19per pick | 33cpaid | +257.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Over | 62c | 355.65$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.65 | 83 | 63.9%53 W · 30 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Over | 62c | 324$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.12 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 37c | 319$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.03 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Over | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…55a0backed Under | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 72c | 292.61$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.06 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x61b2…d3c9backed Over | 63c | 238.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.1 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Under | 37c | 200.63$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.23 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 91 | 73.6%67 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 333 | 40.8%136 W · 197 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…22cfbacked Over | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Under | 33c | 199.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Under | 15c | 199.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb32e…a46abacked Over | 54c | 186.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.59 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x901f…b8b0backed Over | 65c | 163.08$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.08 | 15 | 93.3%14 W · 1 L | +4.2wins | +0.28per pick | 65cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3e…0b87backed Over | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10a1…97e6backed Over | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…1d47backed Under | 38c | 144.74$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 28c | 133.35$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.34 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d14…261dbacked Over | 62c | 120.97$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.97 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 66c | 119.82$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.15 | 130 | 73.1%95 W · 35 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a52…9ad6backed Over | 67c | 119.4$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ff…121cbacked Over | 64c | 117.19$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.19 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Under | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 62c | 91.64$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.82 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Under | 35c | 81$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d9e…847dbacked Over | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +94.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Over | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ad…cc15backed Under | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac0…159dbacked Over | 64c | 67$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a4…7fe3backed Over | 67c | 63.07$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 66c | 61.74$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under | 40c | 59.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Under | 22c | 58.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Under | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 59c | 49$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.09 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 41c | 49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 243 | 22.2%54 W · 189 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd483…6365backed Under | 44c | 47.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b53…95c4backed Under | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Over | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 71c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Over | 61c | 39.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 138 | 59.4%82 W · 56 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d66…0e16backed Over | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 37c | 36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x280a…df86backed Under | 38c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 61c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 215 | 40.9%88 W · 127 L | -15.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ce…024abacked Over | 58c | 34.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb375…59d6backed Under | 39c | 33.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…2c1fbacked Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f21…dc40backed Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd810…bbd6backed Under | 38c | 31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x423d…c621backed Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…bd4bbacked Under | 38c | 28.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Under | 36c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2a…cde8backed Under | 38c | 26.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 63c | 26.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 78 | 67.9%53 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 62c | 25.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa01…349cbacked Over | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56d2…e5f5backed Over | 65c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fa…26edbacked Over | 66c | 22.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29ab…b38dbacked Over | 62c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…2ecabacked Over | 71c | 21.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0b…a307backed Over | 61c | 19.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…dcaabacked Over | 65c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5634…2001backed Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RB Leipzig vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5this page
- RB Leipzig vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- RB Leipzig vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5Over won
- RB Leipzig vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5)Bayer 04 Leverkusen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.