Bundesliga · resolved market

RB Leipzig vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe375121ec6479a3a76ca31f6c8970cd2d8756ee915d688533b12029be1ceb71e

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Dec 20, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $209,393
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $216,624

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $209,393 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9165…5b98backed Over	44c	167,066$73,723 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93,343.4	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	55c	54,599$30,030 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30,029.66	1,355	50.9%690 W · 665 L	+12.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under	56c	53,865$30,404 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30,403.87	751	42.5%319 W · 432 L	-26.7wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	54c	23,989$12,835 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,835.02	3,284	42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L	-74.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under	55c	9,610$5,281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,280.74	782	48.8%382 W · 400 L	-28.1wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under	56c	9,222$5,206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,205.53	271	38.4%104 W · 167 L	-9.0wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-17%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	49c	5,979$2,958 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,958.45	2,538	39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L	-8.1wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under	60c	3,000$1,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,800	332	44.6%148 W · 184 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed Under	55c	3,000$1,650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,650	37	62.2%23 W · 14 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	57cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Over	45c	3,000$1,350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,650	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.11per pick	46cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5905…a34cbacked Over	77c	2,175$1,680 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$495.64	23	65.2%15 W · 8 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	+12%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f12…70d4backed Under	55c	2,065$1,136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,136	26	50%13 W · 13 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5520…32ffbacked Under	2c	2,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Under	57c	1,769$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	155	40.6%63 W · 92 L	-5.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under	67c	1,682$1,132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,132	536	45.9%246 W · 290 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under	55c	1,527$840 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$839.85	31	58.1%18 W · 13 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Over	42c	1,201$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$701.43	51	47.1%24 W · 27 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under	55c	1,182$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$650	141	57.4%81 W · 60 L	+8.4wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3273…5a11backed Over	42c	1,159$490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$669.02	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.2wins	+0.58per pick	42cpaid	+137.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Over	41c	1,000$410 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$590	158	47.5%75 W · 83 L	+10.5wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Under	60c	916.67$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550	380	55.8%212 W · 168 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Under	56c	901.73$506 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$505.65	195	44.6%87 W · 108 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1233…9adabacked Under	68c	750.73$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.68per pick	68cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under	55c	500$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275	82	51.2%42 W · 40 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe486…0c26backed Over	46c	434.78$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$234.78	38	34.2%13 W · 25 L	+2.6wins	+0.07per pick	27cpaid	+16%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xae94…0c03backed Under	37c	405.95$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a42…2a7ebacked Over	41c	397.68$165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$232.68	45	42.2%19 W · 26 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb8…a6fabacked Under	77c	337.66$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	74	58.1%43 W · 31 L	-5.5wins	-0.07per pick	65cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x04c8…8538backed Under	67c	298.51$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.28per pick	62cpaid	-55%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5204…1ca0backed Under	61c	281.97$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.25per pick	65cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under	55c	200$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	228	54.8%125 W · 103 L	+9.1wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over	41c	200$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118	333	40.8%136 W · 197 L	-14.3wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Under	56c	200$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112	56	23.2%13 W · 43 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Under	55c	200$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	78	47.4%37 W · 41 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked Over	57c	200$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86	99	51.5%51 W · 48 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over	72c	181$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.98	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	+1.9wins	+0.07per pick	42cpaid	+23.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd66…48e4backed Under	12c	170$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.4	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-57.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1ca9…2a50backed Over	45c	169.04$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.97	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.13per pick	54cpaid	+26.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd628…c85dbacked Under	58c	164$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.12	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under	55c	160$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	88	64.8%57 W · 31 L	+11.0wins	+0.12per pick	52cpaid	+23.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under	55c	160$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	143	55.9%80 W · 63 L	+9.7wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Under	29c	150$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	34	50%17 W · 17 L	+5.1wins	+0.15per pick	35cpaid	+815.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9270…7c9ebacked Under	58c	147.6$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.61	20	45%9 W · 11 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d16…4e1fbacked Under	69c	144.93$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-2.7wins	-0.21per pick	67cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x127a…ca3cbacked Over	44c	134.93$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.56	50	54%27 W · 23 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e7d…5881backed Under	40c	134.48$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.23	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.6wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd12f…e80dbacked Over	78c	128.21$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.21	34	50%17 W · 17 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under	55c	120$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	139	57.6%80 W · 59 L	+10.9wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over	38c	105.26$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.26	13	84.6%11 W · 2 L	+2.7wins	+0.21per pick	64cpaid	+31.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over	46c	100$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54	91	73.6%67 W · 24 L	+5.9wins	+0.07per pick	67cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x051c…f25dbacked Over	38c	100$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62	38	39.5%15 W · 23 L	-2.7wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under	55c	100$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	341	44.6%152 W · 189 L	-8.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9242…60babacked Under	39c	100$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.13per pick	50cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x936b…c603backed Over	71c	99.99$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+3.4wins	+0.21per pick	41cpaid	+76.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3459…808abacked Under	22c	95.35$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.86	56	21.4%12 W · 44 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over	42c	94.29$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.29	179	30.2%54 W · 125 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83fc…13ccbacked Under	58c	92.86$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.86	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over	58c	92.78$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.96	110	65.5%72 W · 38 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	63cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3d8…c8c0backed Under	49c	91$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.62	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-3.6wins	-0.36per pick	56cpaid	-72.1%equal weight	38-0.10 edge/pick
0x56c6…0ea4backed Under	40c	87.76$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.24per pick	44cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over	41c	87.51$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.02	100	40%40 W · 60 L	-3.8wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-12%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f9…c4e8backed Under	59c	84.75$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d9e…847dbacked Over	42c	83.33$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.33	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.4wins	+0.47per pick	53cpaid	+94.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb84d…8b3abacked Over	61c	81.97$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.97	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under	55c	80$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	114	58.8%67 W · 47 L	+10.9wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under	55c	80$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	112	59.8%67 W · 45 L	+11.5wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under	61c	80$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.7	45	35.6%16 W · 29 L	-5.1wins	-0.11per pick	47cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under	55c	80$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	123	58.5%72 W · 51 L	+11.1wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under	55c	80$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	115	63.5%73 W · 42 L	+13.5wins	+0.12per pick	52cpaid	+25.9%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe398…ee2ebacked Over	67c	80$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26	36	88.9%32 W · 4 L	+8.1wins	+0.23per pick	66cpaid	+31.3%equal weight	65+0.13 edge/pick
0xa383…a2f0backed Over	28c	77.78$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.99	91	45.1%41 W · 50 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-25%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfde8…c52fbacked Over	48c	72.91$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.91	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.7wins	+0.21per pick	42cpaid	+62.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under	55c	70.11$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.48	101	50.5%51 W · 50 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef20…6a30backed Under	62c	67.49$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	64cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x216f…9b1ebacked Under	59c	61$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.99	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.6wins	-0.15per pick	51cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51d2…1462backed Over	70c	57.13$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.14	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-4.6wins	-0.23per pick	53cpaid	-43.4%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Over	39c	51.28$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.28	199	43.2%86 W · 113 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb8a9…22c4backed Under	72c	50$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	23	65.2%15 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	69cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Over	60c	50$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	85	51.8%44 W · 41 L	+4.5wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2104…82d7backed Under	60c	50$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	60	63.3%38 W · 22 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	64cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf527…366bbacked Under	61c	50$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.61per pick	61cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over	45c	49.38$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.16	50	52%26 W · 24 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Under	55c	40$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	59	57.6%34 W · 25 L	+4.0wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Under	55c	40$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	64	64.1%41 W · 23 L	+8.0wins	+0.12per pick	52cpaid	+26%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under	55c	40$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	132	54.5%72 W · 60 L	+5.1wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over	29c	39.1$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.9	58	53.4%31 W · 27 L	+4.5wins	+0.08per pick	46cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6fe1…e560backed Over	41c	34$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.06	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x551c…aa68backed Under	59c	33.9$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.59per pick	59cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb83f…b17ebacked Over	45c	33.33$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.33	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.26per pick	51cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a7d…596abacked Under	60c	33.04$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.82	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.7wins	-0.55per pick	55cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d35…8518backed Under	55c	32.85$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.21	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.17per pick	49cpaid	+46.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde22…292abacked Under	77c	32.47$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.17per pick	67cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4844…9c83backed Under	60c	31$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.6	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+1.4wins	+0.12per pick	55cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x216b…8528backed Under	73c	30$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.9	37	43.2%16 W · 21 L	-6.2wins	-0.17per pick	60cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x75c0…dfd2backed Over	55c	30$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.5	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.8wins	+0.35per pick	45cpaid	+76%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8007…4245backed Over	45c	27.36$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.05	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.21per pick	46cpaid	+24.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe34…9881backed Under	73c	23.9$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.45	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.24per pick	74cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa66f…f5a3backed Under	56c	18$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.08	149	42.3%63 W · 86 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1ad…cc15backed Over	68c	14.71$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.71	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+2.1wins	+0.19per pick	45cpaid	+34.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

RB Leipzig vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5this page
RB Leipzig vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
RB Leipzig vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5Over won
RB Leipzig vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5Over won
Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5)Bayer 04 Leverkusen won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

RB Leipzig vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event