Europa Conference League · resolved market
FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ac05dce0e7d992eba17f4b94244823ad16f3bbabb5ccc5d25739f5168b63dc5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,219
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,212
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,219 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 53c | 3,017$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600.41 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.7wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 1,450$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.78 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Yes | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed No | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 47c | 889.71$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.19 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ef…cecebacked Yes | 57c | 463.07$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 46c | 462.74$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.05 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 47c | 444$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.32 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 212 | 43.9%93 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 45c | 367.5$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.92 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789e…fd45backed No | 48c | 279.98$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.69 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +5.2wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…6304backed Yes | 53c | 272.76$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 46c | 239.83$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.84 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47f…d792backed Yes | 54c | 204$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Yes | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…598dbacked Yes | 56c | 178.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 43c | 164.94$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.02 | 190 | 27.4%52 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…f8e1backed Yes | 52c | 163.46$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 57c | 96.93$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 48c | 92$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.84 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…f7f9backed Yes | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -37%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe333…cf5fbacked Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed No | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0b…a307backed Yes | 54c | 18.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: SC Freiburg (-1.5)FC Viktoria Plzeň won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.