Europa Conference League · resolved market

FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe51d95330f6bbd7081ce771c60d539a5da61248ac5f23d72bb91dc97d021d85e

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Nov 27, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $33,401
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $33,813

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,401 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	56c	14,128$7,965 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,162.9	3,726	47%1,750 W · 1,976 L	+20.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd67d…31c0backed Over	43c	13,300$5,719 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,718.86	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Under	54c	5,745$3,102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,642.76	109	60.6%66 W · 43 L	+6.4wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2839…0efebacked Over	50c	2,405$1,202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,202	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	50c	2,154$1,077 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,077.01	449	52.6%236 W · 213 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over	46c	1,500$690 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$689.85	333	49.8%166 W · 167 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	55	45.5%25 W · 30 L	-5.8wins	-0.11per pick	56cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked Over	46c	999.99$460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over	48c	999.99$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480	81	24.7%20 W · 61 L	-5.9wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Over	37c	999.86$373 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$372.59	69	23.2%16 W · 53 L	-5.6wins	-0.08per pick	31cpaid	-38%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under	57c	899$509 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$389.61	428	44.9%192 W · 236 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Under	62c	564.52$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$214.52	107	57%61 W · 46 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under	54c	443.99$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$204.23	93	45.2%42 W · 51 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over	46c	328.26$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.98	63	23.8%15 W · 48 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	29cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over	47c	319$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.93	91	48.4%44 W · 47 L	-3.8wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under	50c	287$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$143.26	351	58.1%204 W · 147 L	+3.2wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bdf…9652backed Under	55c	233$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.88	50	60%30 W · 20 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4734…4ed5backed Over	46c	217.39$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over	49c	200$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	212	43.9%93 W · 119 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Over	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	23	65.2%15 W · 8 L	+3.1wins	+0.13per pick	52cpaid	+34.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over	47c	159.57$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	38	47.4%18 W · 20 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over	46c	154$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.84	125	45.6%57 W · 68 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7f6…5ac8backed Over	47c	134.72$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.32	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	-2.7wins	-0.12per pick	34cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under	54c	127.74$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.74	848	50.8%431 W · 417 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd80d…510ebacked Over	47c	127.66$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.2wins	+0.30per pick	45cpaid	+79.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x727c…c1f5backed Over	46c	117.39$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-2.2wins	-0.27per pick	52cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over	46c	108.7$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	34	44.1%15 W · 19 L	-3.6wins	-0.11per pick	55cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa198…9601backed Over	46c	108.7$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9048…07f2backed Over	47c	106.38$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	25	60%15 W · 10 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xcf26…39a6backed Over	49c	100$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	29	58.6%17 W · 12 L	+2.7wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+23.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over	47c	95$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.65	237	57%135 W · 102 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under	54c	92$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.32	154	59.1%91 W · 63 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under	53c	87.38$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.88	338	47%159 W · 179 L	-5.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over	46c	86.96$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	152	24.3%37 W · 115 L	-6.9wins	-0.05per pick	29cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over	47c	79$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.13	94	44.7%42 W · 52 L	-7.2wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-18%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under	54c	77.17$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.5	103	32%33 W · 70 L	-5.8wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over	47c	63$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.61	82	50%41 W · 41 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over	47c	63$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.61	147	56.5%83 W · 64 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Over	46c	61$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.06	158	46.8%74 W · 84 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fc6…bfb4backed Over	50c	60$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a9c…598dbacked Over	50c	53.03$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.52	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x423d…c621backed Over	50c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5dc…48bbbacked Over	46c	45.65$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.7wins	+0.28per pick	55cpaid	+47%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Over	46c	43.48$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	58	37.9%22 W · 36 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x408a…6b19backed Over	46c	43.48$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	60%3 W · 2 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Over	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	132	56.8%75 W · 57 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2532…5b32backed Over	49c	38.88$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.05	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.09per pick	53cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under	53c	33.04$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.4	116	44%51 W · 65 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Over	47c	31$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.57	78	47.4%37 W · 41 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Over	47c	31$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.57	80	52.5%42 W · 38 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over	47c	31$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.57	109	53.2%58 W · 51 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Over	47c	31$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.57	77	48.1%37 W · 40 L	-3.7wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Over	47c	31$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.57	79	49.4%39 W · 40 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Over	47c	31$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.57	78	48.7%38 W · 40 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Over	47c	31$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.57	78	52.6%41 W · 37 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Over	47c	31$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.57	81	46.9%38 W · 43 L	-4.1wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-12%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Over	47c	31$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.57	76	48.7%37 W · 39 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Over	47c	31$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.57	76	51.3%39 W · 37 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Over	47c	31$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.57	79	51.9%41 W · 38 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over	47c	31$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.57	85	54.1%46 W · 39 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Over	47c	31$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.57	108	52.8%57 W · 51 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over	47c	31$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.57	80	56.3%45 W · 35 L	+4.2wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Over	47c	31$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.57	94	50%47 W · 47 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over	47c	31$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.57	89	53.9%48 W · 41 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Over	47c	31$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.57	80	48.8%39 W · 41 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over	47c	31$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.57	80	57.5%46 W · 34 L	+4.8wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Over	47c	31$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.57	78	53.8%42 W · 36 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed Over	47c	31$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.57	72	52.8%38 W · 34 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Over	47c	31$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.57	87	55.2%48 W · 39 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over	47c	30.99$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.57	77	54.5%42 W · 35 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over	36c	30$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	200	47%94 W · 106 L	-11.3wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Under	55c	27.27$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.27	142	33.1%47 W · 95 L	-9.2wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over	46c	25$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.5	96	44.8%43 W · 53 L	+4.3wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6079…81c6backed Under	53c	22.58$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.58	36	44.4%16 W · 20 L	-1.9wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	85	51.8%44 W · 41 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd33…81d1backed Under	54c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.2	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	-1.8wins	-0.10per pick	63cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5this page
FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Spread: SC Freiburg (-1.5)FC Viktoria Plzeň won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event