Olympics · resolved market
Women's Knockout - Switzerland vs. Sweden
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x920136e403217e39b187c0624e7030ad7ba181610e5a19adcfd676d085a0c7b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Switzerlandof Switzerland, Sweden
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $138,712
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $165,408
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,712 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 196 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xada5…db70backed Sweden | 69c | 28,601$19,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,811.66 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Switzerland | 30c | 13,591$4,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,511.68 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Switzerland | 34c | 10,060$3,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,622.37 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Sweden | 70c | 5,151$3,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,584.86 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Switzerland | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,450 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Switzerland | 31c | 4,100$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,829.26 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Switzerland | 58c | 2,509$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.22 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0b…17c3backed Sweden | 5c | 2,500$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…b1aabacked Switzerland | 71c | 2,189$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.92 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…ecb7backed Switzerland | 53c | 2,150$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.94 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…7300backed Sweden | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Sweden | 62c | 1,999$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.48 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Switzerland | 31c | 1,965$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.45 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c02…7fdcbacked Sweden | 71c | 1,929$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ec…81c2backed Switzerland | 33c | 1,900$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.99 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 13cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Switzerland | 35c | 1,812$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x359f…fa80backed Sweden | 3c | 1,800$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 42 | 7.1%3 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x809c…eca3backed Switzerland | 36c | 1,620$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked Switzerland | 36c | 1,571$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.71 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Sweden | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Switzerland | 34c | 1,560$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.84 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Switzerland | 31c | 1,546$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.18 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Switzerland | 38c | 1,016$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.26 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Sweden | 66c | 1,008$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.43 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7a…7625backed Sweden | 67c | 1,000$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.66 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed Switzerland | 41c | 999.99$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Sweden | 60c | 999.98$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.39 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Sweden | 44c | 986.09$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.58 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…0525backed Switzerland | 31c | 967.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +80%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6574…53ffbacked Switzerland | 44c | 959.8$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +125.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Sweden | 66c | 953$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.54 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea7…2e5ebacked Switzerland | 33c | 938.06$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3568…c765backed Switzerland | 32c | 900.29$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6e…2a01backed Switzerland | 32c | 862.67$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Sweden | 30c | 836.31$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.2 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36e7…9f90backed Sweden | 70c | 816$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Sweden | 65c | 787$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.55 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Switzerland | 32c | 781.25$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.25 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0467…f448backed Sweden | 69c | 737.91$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.66 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Sweden | 70c | 711.22$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Sweden | 70c | 710.45$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…7b44backed Sweden | 71c | 706.71$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Switzerland | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.16 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d3…6c86backed Sweden | 70c | 640.09$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Sweden | 5c | 601.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Sweden | 66c | 578.22$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.63 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +111.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Sweden | 64c | 564.9$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.82 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Sweden | 65c | 555$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.45 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Sweden | 67c | 501$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.5 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -6.1wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb2…f12fbacked Sweden | 67c | 500$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 72cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…a45dbacked Switzerland | 33c | 500$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +198.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb91e…b045backed Sweden | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd344…6862backed Switzerland | 30c | 499.97$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Switzerland | 37c | 474.18$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.2 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07c0…e56bbacked Sweden | 67c | 455.22$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Sweden | 41c | 443.54$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.16 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Switzerland | 31c | 437$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.72 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Sweden | 63c | 426.82$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.9 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…2ef0backed Sweden | 72c | 415.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc932…e6a5backed Sweden | 68c | 400.77$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.49 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Sweden | 70c | 400$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…06e9backed Sweden | 69c | 399.96$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.27 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Switzerland | 32c | 390$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.2 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Switzerland | 31c | 381.44$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.19 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdda…2408backed Sweden | 3c | 370$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Sweden | 63c | 366.75$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Switzerland | 32c | 356.09$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.53 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Switzerland | 30c | 336.43$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.89 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…191bbacked Sweden | 11c | 300$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 6cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12e8…2cecbacked Sweden | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…f5c6backed Switzerland | 33c | 299.98$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.99 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d93…d870backed Switzerland | 33c | 298.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Switzerland | 37c | 297.76$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.73 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2907…9c3fbacked Sweden | 69c | 272$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.95 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Switzerland | 34c | 265$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c08…5c69backed Switzerland | 30c | 263.97$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.76 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x686e…3415backed Switzerland | 42c | 263.32$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -41%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Sweden | 71c | 253.52$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -4.7wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Sweden | 69c | 247.65$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Switzerland | 38c | 243.3$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.85 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd058…0613backed Switzerland | 35c | 242.86$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.86 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…f6e0backed Switzerland | 37c | 241.29$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.29 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 34cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed Switzerland | 43c | 231.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +37%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd665…ecc8backed Switzerland | 31c | 213.87$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Sweden | 68c | 200$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Switzerland | 19c | 200$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f18…2080backed Sweden | 65c | 199.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked Switzerland | 31c | 199.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…f2cdbacked Switzerland | 30c | 199.97$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.98 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf076…9ac4backed Switzerland | 31c | 190$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +146.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…3326backed Switzerland | 31c | 168$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.39per pick | 36cpaid | +187.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bff…5e35backed Sweden | 63c | 158.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Sweden | 69c | 150$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf26…39a6backed Switzerland | 33c | 149.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 29cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Switzerland | 32c | 144.94$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.04 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +83.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c1…c1b8backed Sweden | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +92.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6809…b188backed Sweden | 69c | 144.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 74cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Switzerland | 34c | 142.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.67 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Sweden | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0965…da73backed Sweden | 71c | 141.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 68cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.