TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf076…9ac4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
30
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Olympics, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Olympics at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST1464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$546Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$545.58
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+138.1%+$440.8
LoL: Sentinels vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffsbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$131.4
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,155Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$2,155.45
LoL: GIANTX vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,467Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+25%+$616.8
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,415Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+29.9%+$1,020.05
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs DRX Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,081Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+47.1%+$508.8
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,705Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+66.1%+$1,786.88
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$168.13
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$121.5
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,484Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+42.9%+$636
LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$469Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+72.4%+$339.78
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$332Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+51.5%+$171.01
LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffsbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,078Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+81.8%+$882
All 14 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+146.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Women's Knockout - Switzerland vs. Swedenbacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+222.6%+$131.1
Men's Round of 16 - Czechia vs. Denmarkbacked Czechia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,278Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+29.9%+$381.8
Men's Group C - Germany vs. Latviabacked Latvia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$646Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+185.7%+$1,199.9
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+51.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Aurora vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,480Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$1,480
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,313Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+88.7%+$2,051.31
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$40.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$97.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-02-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$33.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bucks vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$17.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.