TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,149,490
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,205,218

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,149,490 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,010 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6bc…a49ebacked Yes50c743,597$371,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371,798.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Yes67c286,937$191,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191,018.173357.6%19 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked No49c172,756$84,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88,230.53237.5%12 W · 20 L-5.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-25.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe749…f660backed No50c145,440$72,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72,720616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick51cpaid-66.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No49c143,412$70,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72,614.3363346.3%293 W · 340 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No42c118,229$50,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68,133.151,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed No50c101,000$50,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,5001844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No50c70,339$35,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,319.2159741.7%249 W · 348 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No29c56,508$16,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,289.458248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes50c54,964$27,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,589.5929846.3%138 W · 160 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed No52c47,644$24,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,901.785145.1%23 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No50c44,850$22,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,4255545.5%25 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8bd…b7aabacked No50c43,000$21,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,500742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-21.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cc6…9df6backed Yes52c38,197$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,0003056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+32.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked No50c34,340$17,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,1701838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb726…0664backed Yes50c30,000$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No50c28,771$14,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,385.518231.7%26 W · 56 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked No50c24,463$12,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,231.722245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No50c22,402$11,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,125.796541.5%27 W · 38 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes50c21,119$10,652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,652.1629350.5%148 W · 145 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked No50c20,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,0003545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No50c20,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,00028543.9%125 W · 160 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8d5b…a718backed Yes50c19,974$9,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,987.14728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-48%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No50c19,400$9,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,7004346.5%20 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No50c17,568$8,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,783.773141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed No60c17,268$10,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,921.358155.6%45 W · 36 L+7.0wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+31.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked No50c16,785$8,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,372.783839.5%15 W · 23 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No50c15,667$7,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,833.713737.8%14 W · 23 L-5.0wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-25%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No51c15,667$7,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,676.833751.4%19 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+21.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa42e…9a1cbacked No50c15,324$7,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,719.891735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3207…3202backed Yes1c15,100$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No50c15,000$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,50016144.1%71 W · 90 L-13.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No50c12,000$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,00018160.8%110 W · 71 L+18.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+31.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcf26…39a6backed No50c11,660$5,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,830.23050%15 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes51c11,542$5,886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,886.4212848.4%62 W · 66 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x886e…afd6backed No50c10,820$5,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,4101637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed No11c10,659$1,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,481.2911218.8%21 W · 91 L-10.4wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-34.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked No50c10,302$5,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,1515444.4%24 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb92c…f5bdbacked Yes50c10,154$5,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,077728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.28per pick56cpaid-47.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No75c10,144$7,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,520.2120343.3%88 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c16…8bfabacked No50c10,100$5,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0501741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed No50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0001050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d80…ba3dbacked No50c9,292$4,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,6461323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.24per pick47cpaid-59.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Yes60c9,117$5,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,448.2310051%51 W · 49 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7f6c…b40cbacked Yes51c8,900$4,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,544425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-52.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No29c8,762$2,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,253.3339743.3%172 W · 225 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d04…7a5fbacked No50c8,500$4,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,2502941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x38ed…4ed7backed No50c8,450$4,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,225250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed No49c8,221$4,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,174.468647.7%41 W · 45 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+26%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f9…bb8fbacked No50c8,080$4,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,040250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac7a…29c8backed No50c8,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,000955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a24…4a1fbacked No51c7,843$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,843.14757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No50c7,678$3,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,856.7238748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f2f…be86backed No50c7,500$3,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,7501330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-43.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x29cc…3c29backed No50c7,486$3,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,7211741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-23.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No49c7,268$3,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,717.1226645.9%122 W · 144 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No50c7,162$3,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,581.213743.2%16 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabba…e3ebbacked Yes50c7,130$3,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,56510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a09…db1cbacked Yes38c7,005$2,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,661.91030%3 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick53cpaid-40.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0bcf…75c6backed Yes70c7,002$4,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,903.042536%9 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No50c7,000$3,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,5208938.2%34 W · 55 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+20.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f91…907fbacked No49c7,000$3,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,569.974641.3%19 W · 27 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes66c6,961$4,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,580.387750.6%39 W · 38 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No68c6,725$4,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,166.0244033.9%149 W · 291 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x92d8…9762backed No25c6,422$1,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,816.651656.3%9 W · 7 L+4.0wins+0.25per pick31cpaid+136.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No22c6,199$1,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,855.2834342.3%145 W · 198 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fe9…5e52backed No50c6,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0001643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No49c6,000$2,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0905145.1%23 W · 28 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No9c6,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,459.9510850%54 W · 54 L+9.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+80.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe2cf…d1e7backed Yes51c5,827$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd606…9e01backed No49c5,738$2,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,927.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-25.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No50c5,354$2,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6775341.5%22 W · 31 L-6.4wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-24.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Yes51c5,343$2,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,725450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59e5…1cb4backed Yes51c5,301$2,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,680.37450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+53.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe137…0c01backed Yes51c5,255$2,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6801136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes46c5,244$2,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,41710628.3%30 W · 76 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No13c5,165$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,516.443427.4%119 W · 315 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked No50c5,120$2,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,56010733.6%36 W · 71 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+8.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed No10c5,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,5007042.9%30 W · 40 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed No15c5,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,249.999444.7%42 W · 52 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked No50c4,942$2,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4712552%13 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked No50c4,848$2,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4241136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked No50c4,754$2,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,377.16251.6%32 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x101c…7df8backed Yes50c4,656$2,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,328.14862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+68.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa051…54ebbacked No49c4,000$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0402729.6%8 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed Yes49c4,000$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,959.993839.5%15 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e83…4bd3backed No51c3,873$1,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,897.551650%8 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb40f…a5b1backed No50c3,717$1,858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,858.41540%6 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x22b6…0ebcbacked No50c3,677$1,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,838.39825%2 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-56.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No51c3,663$1,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,804.4239746.9%186 W · 211 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed No50c3,559$1,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,779.54854.2%26 W · 22 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55fb…fe7bbacked No21c3,430$721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,709.171533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8082…4d66backed Yes71c3,357$2,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,381.32250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0724…9091backed No50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,500.222236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x164f…deb3backed Yes49c3,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4701952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50010748.6%52 W · 55 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Yes51c3,000$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,53015032.7%49 W · 101 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-5.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed No50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5007145.1%32 W · 39 L-6.3wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50012249.2%60 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f84…dd89backed No50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5002821.4%6 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.15per pick36cpaid-55.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.