Olympics · resolved market
Men's Group C - Germany vs. Latvia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1bbb4228b7c187a89e931cddebefb62a40bca22b76499a23d586b8291ab34e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Latviaof Germany, Latvia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $517,141
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $522,969
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $517,141 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 343 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2643…39aebacked Germany | 73c | 145,375$105,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105,643.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bd…238ebacked Latvia | 27c | 116,470$31,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85,023.02 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Latvia | 28c | 64,092$17,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,412.28 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Germany | 73c | 47,736$35,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,015.15 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa117…a311backed Germany | 73c | 40,830$29,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,805.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 66cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Latvia | 28c | 30,011$8,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,608.11 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Latvia | 28c | 30,000$8,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,599.93 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Germany | 64c | 17,753$11,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,418.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Latvia | 28c | 15,000$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,799.97 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Latvia | 28c | 12,043$3,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,671.3 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa18d…f38cbacked Germany | 72c | 11,347$8,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,169.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Latvia | 27c | 11,122$2,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,135.98 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7818…d185backed Germany | 71c | 10,000$7,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -63%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Latvia | 28c | 10,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,199.99 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -49%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Latvia | 35c | 8,564$3,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,536.93 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…cc34backed Latvia | 29c | 8,177$2,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,805.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Latvia | 28c | 8,000$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,760 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked Germany | 72c | 7,940$5,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,716.8 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x467c…8c89backed Latvia | 55c | 7,194$3,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,221.87 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf62b…844abacked Germany | 74c | 6,779$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Germany | 71c | 6,647$4,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,697.14 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x571a…3315backed Germany | 71c | 5,553$3,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,942.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a76…d543backed Latvia | 20c | 5,548$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,438.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ec…81c2backed Latvia | 17c | 5,472$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,560.4 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 13cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Germany | 72c | 5,417$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…62fcbacked Germany | 72c | 5,257$3,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,784.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Germany | 72c | 5,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…57eebacked Latvia | 28c | 5,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,599.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f1…f97dbacked Germany | 72c | 4,923$3,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,544.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3327…d080backed Latvia | 28c | 4,850$1,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,492 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Germany | 16c | 4,819$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.06 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87c9…13cebacked Germany | 72c | 4,737$3,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,410.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Germany | 72c | 4,618$3,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,325.04 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0320…d00fbacked Latvia | 20c | 4,446$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,559.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +401.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x724b…e780backed Latvia | 36c | 4,402$1,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,817.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Latvia | 28c | 4,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,879.96 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Germany | 66c | 3,979$2,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,609.7 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Germany | 57c | 3,926$2,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,219.3 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Germany | 0c | 3,770$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 244 | 8.2%20 W · 224 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa051…54ebbacked Germany | 72c | 3,472$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Latvia | 29c | 3,393$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,393.08 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ff…b00abacked Latvia | 36c | 3,152$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,017.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +49%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d0…3182backed Latvia | 29c | 3,076$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,183.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Latvia | 28c | 2,979$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,144.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Latvia | 28c | 2,920$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,102.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Germany | 59c | 2,619$1,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,534.48 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a55…ffaabacked Latvia | 29c | 2,477$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,758.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Latvia | 28c | 2,426$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,746.66 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Germany | 15c | 2,422$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.71 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Germany | 73c | 2,292$1,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,675.24 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -4.9wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Germany | 24c | 2,036$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.82 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Latvia | 27c | 2,000$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,455 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3a…1440backed Germany | 73c | 2,000$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Latvia | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.98 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Latvia | 30c | 1,934$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.1 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Germany | 60c | 1,864$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.03 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf076…9ac4backed Latvia | 35c | 1,846$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +146.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Germany | 72c | 1,800$1,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,303 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -6.1wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1e73…b728backed Germany | 73c | 1,712$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 65cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Germany | 73c | 1,659$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.22 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 37cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1387…b5cabacked Germany | 73c | 1,613$1,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4172…2706backed Latvia | 28c | 1,607$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Germany | 68c | 1,534$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.24 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Germany | 73c | 1,500$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Latvia | 26c | 1,500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.99 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc82a…cc74backed Germany | 74c | 1,348$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0268…09f7backed Latvia | 16c | 1,298$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.04 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked Germany | 72c | 1,257$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b8…950bbacked Latvia | 28c | 1,220$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…e864backed Latvia | 28c | 1,100$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.95 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Latvia | 25c | 1,098$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.81 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03a0…ff20backed Germany | 72c | 1,089$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Germany | 72c | 1,050$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…b6bdbacked Latvia | 28c | 1,043$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7e…8fa1backed Germany | 72c | 1,042$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…7b70backed Latvia | 36c | 1,022$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Latvia | 27c | 999.99$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 30cpaid | +123.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Germany | 71c | 992$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.87 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Latvia | 35c | 984.94$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +186%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x234e…240bbacked Germany | 73c | 964.61$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Germany | 72c | 938.45$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.55 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Latvia | 30c | 938.34$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.14 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Germany | 73c | 937.5$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.38 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x401a…9e59backed Latvia | 29c | 920$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Latvia | 30c | 833.33$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.33 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc04a…af81backed Latvia | 27c | 800$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf50c…83edbacked Germany | 73c | 800$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5b…1ab3backed Germany | 74c | 800$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa22e…fe32backed Latvia | 26c | 800$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8feb…b36abacked Germany | 75c | 799.5$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Latvia | 38c | 775.92$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +67%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Latvia | 24c | 753.69$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.51 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Latvia | 38c | 724.68$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2af5…ea99backed Latvia | 29c | 700$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e03…c1c8backed Latvia | 35c | 685.4$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1622…19bcbacked Latvia | 27c | 647.84$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +84.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa5…4f56backed Latvia | 36c | 647.22$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.22 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Latvia | 38c | 641.39$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.39 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf250…de38backed Germany | 72c | 630.89$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfece…8b97backed Germany | 17c | 604.53$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.15 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 37cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Men's Group C - Germany vs. Latviathis page
- Germany vs. Latvia: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Germany (-1.5)Latvia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.