TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Olympics · resolved market

Men's Round of 16 - Czechia vs. Denmark

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Czechiaof Czechia, Denmark
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$432,565
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$454,386

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $432,565 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 246 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Olympics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x03e8…1697backed Czechia77c147,243$113,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,549.622737%10 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Denmark22c114,999$25,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,299.782634.6%9 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-34.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb859…e244backed Denmark23c69,701$16,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,031.2850%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Czechia78c48,679$37,933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,746.382548%12 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Denmark22c35,060$7,863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,863.291520%3 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick16cpaid-45.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Denmark23c17,985$4,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,186.543616.7%6 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-64.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x332a…c9a2backed Denmark5c14,960$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.991136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick28cpaid-23.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Czechia78c14,594$11,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,210.68933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-46%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Denmark24c11,367$2,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,696.252321.7%5 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-48.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefc9…b337backed Denmark22c10,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2002321.7%5 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-56.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6ec…81c2backed Denmark11c9,700$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,030.141921.1%4 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick13cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x313d…4b1abacked Czechia77c9,626$7,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,213.914100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+61.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Denmark23c9,130$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1001315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-58.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9931…ea8cbacked Czechia77c7,875$6,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,811.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-56.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Denmark22c7,438$1,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,636.41921.1%4 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick36cpaid-59.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfa0b…9672backed Denmark22c6,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,320120%0 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Czechia79c5,795$4,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,193.571643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-40.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xab2d…b1aabacked Denmark7c4,567$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.941855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked Czechia78c4,224$3,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.262944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Denmark10c2,752$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-43.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1e73…b728backed Czechia77c2,423$1,863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.771346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick65cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4813…f7abbacked Czechia77c2,195$1,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc070…203abacked Denmark23c2,174$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d6d…aeb9backed Czechia78c2,094$1,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.72450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+57.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf62b…844abacked Denmark24c2,083$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d58…1aeabacked Denmark9c2,000$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.482133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-42.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5061…1b03backed Czechia77c1,900$1,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf2…1a4ebacked Czechia78c1,880$1,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.6450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-31.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf076…9ac4backed Czechia77c1,660$1,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.83100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+146.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Czechia78c1,516$1,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.35650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-20.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Denmark11c1,451$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.753818.4%7 W · 31 L-6.1wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-68.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7cee…b72abacked Czechia78c1,441$1,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.12650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b3a…1440backed Czechia78c1,300$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2861070%7 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+20.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f5e…ddaabacked Czechia78c1,282$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.051478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.3wins+0.24per pick55cpaid+55.6%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x3e53…d1fdbacked Czechia78c1,282$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.051471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd22d…7336backed Czechia78c1,281$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.912100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Denmark24c1,132$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.3540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Czechia78c1,111$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.42837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-36.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a50…8ca2backed Denmark23c1,087$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-39.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x274f…fbf4backed Czechia73c1,000$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04bf…7cafbacked Czechia78c1,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Czechia78c983.33$767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.334100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+83.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee44…2dfbbacked Denmark11c907.45$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Denmark10c902.94$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.693941%16 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cc9…21adbacked Denmark23c900$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Denmark23c899.98$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-63.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4fd…0095backed Denmark23c869.57$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2974…7ff4backed Denmark23c808.7$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Czechia78c769.23$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.231070%7 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick62cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc87…e026backed Czechia76c736.68$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.68520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-73.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Czechia79c727.88$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.912437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-17.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b22…8cd6backed Denmark23c700$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Denmark15c669.21$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.842825%7 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-34.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb4b…9f92backed Czechia78c658$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.76837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2cf…d1e7backed Czechia76c657.89$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed Czechia78c650$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cb2…f12fbacked Czechia77c650$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.5683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick72cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed Czechia77c649$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.27825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-65.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Czechia78c641.03$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.031457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+51.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Denmark25c618.26$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.641631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-42.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebd5…094cbacked Czechia78c560$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.21520%3 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7634…1b96backed Czechia78c544.55$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa311…a4ebbacked Czechia74c540$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.4757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed Czechia78c512.96$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.961442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+29.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Denmark7c483.72$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.192448.2%20 W · 224 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-61.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Czechia78c478$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.72850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x862f…6f58backed Denmark9c473.68$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcab1…65babacked Czechia78c450$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8927…f5c6backed Denmark23c435$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.051040%4 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick26cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d54…4d13backed Denmark23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+49.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfece…8b97backed Denmark25c416.57$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.171752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.16per pick37cpaid+46.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Czechia74c407.93$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.932100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked Czechia77c400$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926100%6 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+64%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc16…7d64backed Czechia78c400$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Czechia78c400$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x76ef…561cbacked Czechia78c400$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881040%4 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-43.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed Denmark25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Denmark9c398.88$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.572532%8 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x787f…d40cbacked Czechia78c394.87$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.87450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-36%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15d7…a861backed Czechia77c389.61$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.611241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick34cpaid-14.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8013…5b52backed Denmark9c389$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.01425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid+34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Czechia78c384.62$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.62944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+31.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9106…afcbbacked Denmark10c384.54$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.991323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-62.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd62f…e2ebbacked Czechia78c382.05$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.051323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Czechia79c376$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.751546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cd9…1095backed Czechia78c373.2$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.11442.9%6 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c9a…553bbacked Czechia74c372.31$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.52250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9095…b6cbbacked Denmark24c369.96$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f64…1a55backed Czechia78c350$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f3b…0cf9backed Czechia77c346.75$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.75666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Denmark14c345.9$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.881136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick29cpaid-28.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Denmark23c344.68$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.282948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfcd…3b61backed Denmark16c320.53$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27d2…b0f8backed Czechia78c310.26$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefed…fc12backed Denmark16c307.69$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.67425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick15cpaid+67.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Czechia75c300$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-42.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99cd…8b45backed Czechia78c300$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…9652backed Czechia78c300$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dea…9b52backed Czechia76c300$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf09f…05f9backed Czechia74c299.97$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.99825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-66.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.