TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcab1…65ba

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
78
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst NHL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT2254.5%12 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+33.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+25%+$19.76
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.96
Magic vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+525%+$327.84
Kings vs. Hawksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Rockets vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$126
Timberwolves vs. Celticsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$663
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$66
Warriors vs. Knicksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
76ers vs. Pistonsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$119
Jazz vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+26.6%+$79.8
Pacers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$356Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+26.6%+$94.5
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$130
Thunder vs. Pistonsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$217.5
76ers vs. Pacersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+25%+$60
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+37%+$108
Lakers vs. Netsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+31.6%+$72
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$155
Pistons vs. Pelicansbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+26.6%+$84
Jazz vs. Spursbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$162
Knicks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+400%+$640
Magic vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+233.3%+$140
76ers vs. Thunderbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$56
All 22 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+51.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$123
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$75
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.75
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$132
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$33.25
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$128
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
Will England win on 2026-06-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$492
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will France win on 2026-06-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+1,011.1%+$728
Will Israel win on 2026-06-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.49
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.31
All 15 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+39.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.5
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-Inbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$145
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$616
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs FaZe (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$156
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$216
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.37
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+170.3%+$378
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+53.8%+$87.5
All 9 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+36%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennislast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-29.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Senatorsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
Ducks vs. Sharksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$153
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
All 3 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Torino FC win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$112
Will Pisa SC win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$75
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawksbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$142.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-04-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$62.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Round of 16 - Czechia vs. Denmarkbacked Czechia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$351Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+28.2%+$99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Erzurumspor FK win on 2026-08-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$52.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indianabacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$459Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$459
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Angers SCO vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$255.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.