CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-In
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc640df1fd6ca2ecaeb073bc275a458fe91e4b6cf2221e8780451f009cd0cfe9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aurora Gamingof Aurora Gaming, HOTU
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $455,386
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $499,815
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $455,386 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 392 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed HOTU | 28c | 55,000$15,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,399.98 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked Aurora Gaming | 71c | 35,897$25,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,247.8 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked HOTU | 31c | 24,896$7,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,809.04 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked HOTU | 29c | 17,978$5,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,224.26 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Aurora Gaming | 77c | 16,647$12,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,761.95 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked HOTU | 28c | 16,122$4,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,514.2 | 152 | 45.4%69 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked HOTU | 13c | 16,020$2,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,084.3 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Aurora Gaming | 72c | 13,308$9,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,705.11 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Aurora Gaming | 65c | 11,325$7,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,972.83 | 325 | 52.6%171 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x472b…5d5fbacked HOTU | 19c | 10,214$1,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,902.04 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb0…57e0backed Aurora Gaming | 72c | 8,400$6,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,352 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67ce…100fbacked Aurora Gaming | 72c | 8,112$5,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,279.81 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked HOTU | 30c | 6,786$2,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,061.36 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Aurora Gaming | 71c | 6,500$4,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,885 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked HOTU | 23c | 6,397$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,495.5 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed HOTU | 24c | 6,334$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.76 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Aurora Gaming | 72c | 6,000$4,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 238 | 48.3%115 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Aurora Gaming | 78c | 6,000$4,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x609d…3fa9backed Aurora Gaming | 68c | 5,412$3,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,713.44 | 99 | 63.6%63 W · 36 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Aurora Gaming | 71c | 5,100$3,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,503.46 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Aurora Gaming | 71c | 5,020$3,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,455.94 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Aurora Gaming | 65c | 5,000$3,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed HOTU | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 371 | 57.7%214 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed HOTU | 29c | 4,774$1,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,361.6 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Aurora Gaming | 64c | 4,616$2,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,674.44 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Aurora Gaming | 72c | 4,511$3,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.04 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed HOTU | 25c | 4,400$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.61 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked HOTU | 23c | 3,611$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.69 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…bc0dbacked Aurora Gaming | 71c | 3,600$2,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Aurora Gaming | 64c | 3,379$2,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.45 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Aurora Gaming | 63c | 3,160$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.17 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Aurora Gaming | 78c | 3,000$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 512 | 52.3%268 W · 244 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed HOTU | 27c | 2,750$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.49 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked HOTU | 22c | 2,628$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.37 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9a…a9c7backed Aurora Gaming | 64c | 2,582$1,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.12 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd47c…39b5backed HOTU | 39c | 2,566$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Aurora Gaming | 70c | 2,557$1,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.75 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe82a…1101backed Aurora Gaming | 72c | 2,454$1,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.07 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2095…873ebacked HOTU | 24c | 2,448$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.33 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked HOTU | 27c | 2,423$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.29 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7609…6c4ebacked Aurora Gaming | 75c | 2,398$1,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.13 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60f1…aa80backed Aurora Gaming | 71c | 2,250$1,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.5 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Aurora Gaming | 80c | 2,102$1,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.5 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Aurora Gaming | 72c | 2,074$1,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.84 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked HOTU | 29c | 2,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea5…8f4cbacked HOTU | 29c | 2,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.99 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 44cpaid | -76%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…08d2backed Aurora Gaming | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.98 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb75b…e377backed HOTU | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.99 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed HOTU | 6c | 1,951$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.39 | 160 | 38.1%61 W · 99 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Aurora Gaming | 79c | 1,882$1,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.7 | 405 | 42%170 W · 235 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked HOTU | 33c | 1,876$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.05 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Aurora Gaming | 72c | 1,849$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.79 | 465 | 55.1%256 W · 209 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed HOTU | 28c | 1,767$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.14 | 177 | 37.3%66 W · 111 L | -16.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e5…cc65backed HOTU | 3c | 1,742$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.92 | 223 | 46.2%103 W · 120 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…7e93backed HOTU | 29c | 1,724$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Aurora Gaming | 72c | 1,594$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.58 | 232 | 44.8%104 W · 128 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed HOTU | 34c | 1,575$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.5 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked HOTU | 26c | 1,546$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.92 | 285 | 38.2%109 W · 176 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…2b3cbacked HOTU | 26c | 1,538$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Aurora Gaming | 61c | 1,500$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Aurora Gaming | 72c | 1,438$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.74 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed HOTU | 13c | 1,428$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.43 | 519 | 42.2%219 W · 300 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked HOTU | 26c | 1,417$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.05 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed HOTU | 33c | 1,402$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.1 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3783…0038backed HOTU | 14c | 1,319$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.64 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Aurora Gaming | 70c | 1,250$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.5 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Aurora Gaming | 66c | 1,233$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.27 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d99…9c27backed HOTU | 28c | 1,173$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.16 | 144 | 39.6%57 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked HOTU | 30c | 1,171$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.36 | 526 | 36.5%192 W · 334 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf369…8283backed HOTU | 28c | 1,082$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.15 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…416cbacked HOTU | 25c | 1,081$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 144 | 54.9%79 W · 65 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed HOTU | 27c | 1,073$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.59 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1614…0bedbacked HOTU | 29c | 1,034$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.86 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -9.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked HOTU | 31c | 1,015$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.9 | 489 | 48.9%239 W · 250 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked Aurora Gaming | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 162 | 40.1%65 W · 97 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c95…10f5backed Aurora Gaming | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Aurora Gaming | 67c | 999.98$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.99 | 421 | 42%177 W · 244 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Aurora Gaming | 67c | 970.69$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.19 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…b38ebacked HOTU | 37c | 946.09$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4536…f41bbacked HOTU | 26c | 943.27$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.25 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50b3…90c7backed HOTU | 23c | 938.01$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.74 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked HOTU | 38c | 934.99$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.51 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked HOTU | 29c | 931$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.57 | 495 | 36.4%180 W · 315 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed HOTU | 20c | 930.68$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.86 | 547 | 32.2%176 W · 371 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f9…cfd8backed HOTU | 22c | 909.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed HOTU | 28c | 899.99$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d6…0c2abacked HOTU | 6c | 846.93$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 110 | 32.7%36 W · 74 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed HOTU | 6c | 834.93$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.27 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed HOTU | 13c | 832.73$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.16 | 421 | 54.6%230 W · 191 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Aurora Gaming | 73c | 821.91$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.92 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Aurora Gaming | 71c | 811.25$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.26 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Aurora Gaming | 57c | 810.43$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.48 | 359 | 40.4%145 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Aurora Gaming | 64c | 807.23$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.89 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Aurora Gaming | 73c | 800$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.2 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Aurora Gaming | 72c | 799.7$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.85 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafce…c2f6backed HOTU | 29c | 787.49$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f62…d989backed HOTU | 28c | 769.19$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked HOTU | 29c | 753.73$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.45 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked HOTU | 35c | 750$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.5 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Aurora Gaming | 72c | 750$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 101 | 36.6%37 W · 64 L | -9.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-Inthis page
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU - Map 1 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU - Map 2 WinnerHOTU won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs HOTU (+3.5)HOTU won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs HOTU (+3.5)Aurora Gaming won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs HOTU (+1.5)HOTU won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.