CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7942fecd045d955ae1fe00cc3be68e7e935cd900f0506464446ff5a449611e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aurora Gamingof Aurora Gaming, HOTU
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,073
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,101
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,073 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Aurora Gaming | 69c | 6,235$4,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,942.26 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Aurora Gaming | 69c | 3,885$2,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.51 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked HOTU | 1c | 3,391$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.91 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked HOTU | 57c | 2,829$1,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,614.51 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked HOTU | 29c | 2,320$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.29 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed HOTU | 58c | 2,258$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.63 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…3cc1backed Aurora Gaming | 66c | 1,817$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.53 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked HOTU | 32c | 1,423$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.36 | 495 | 36.4%180 W · 315 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed HOTU | 32c | 1,177$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.59 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed HOTU | 34c | 1,095$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.42 | 376 | 46.3%174 W · 202 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed HOTU | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked HOTU | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked HOTU | 31c | 967.74$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed Aurora Gaming | 53c | 947.79$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.79 | 190 | 61.6%117 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Aurora Gaming | 68c | 929.47$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.2 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…b38ebacked Aurora Gaming | 51c | 899.99$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.15 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed HOTU | 33c | 785.7$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.28 | 288 | 43.1%124 W · 164 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Aurora Gaming | 76c | 744.69$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed HOTU | 9c | 700$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Aurora Gaming | 53c | 644.85$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.72 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9929…15a8backed Aurora Gaming | 51c | 643.96$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.7 | 171 | 63.7%109 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Aurora Gaming | 68c | 643.75$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.67 | 421 | 54.6%230 W · 191 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Aurora Gaming | 63c | 600$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fca…6ac3backed HOTU | 34c | 571$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.14 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96d6…0c2abacked HOTU | 16c | 565.98$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 110 | 32.7%36 W · 74 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed HOTU | 32c | 557.77$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.07 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7c…4c16backed Aurora Gaming | 62c | 534$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.92 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Aurora Gaming | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked HOTU | 50c | 450$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.9 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Aurora Gaming | 45c | 439.24$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.73 | 610 | 34.3%209 W · 401 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked HOTU | 36c | 437.71$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.58 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed Aurora Gaming | 74c | 429.5$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.76 | 414 | 75.4%312 W · 102 L | +22.1wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked HOTU | 40c | 411.51$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.63 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed03…1caabacked HOTU | 33c | 400$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3783…0038backed HOTU | 49c | 387.45$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.85 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed HOTU | 40c | 381.76$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.39 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed HOTU | 37c | 317.46$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.34 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed HOTU | 6c | 316.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 721 | 39.7%286 W · 435 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed HOTU | 32c | 260.7$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.67 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Aurora Gaming | 53c | 252$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.04 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked HOTU | 36c | 239.34$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.29 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked HOTU | 20c | 234.8$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.09 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfeb…763ebacked HOTU | 50c | 224$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Aurora Gaming | 64c | 214.16$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.56 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Aurora Gaming | 48c | 204.17$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.29 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed HOTU | 31c | 201.57$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.9 | 519 | 42.2%219 W · 300 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed Aurora Gaming | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 509 | 47%239 W · 270 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…7535backed Aurora Gaming | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed Aurora Gaming | 68c | 187.85$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 245 | 58%142 W · 103 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Aurora Gaming | 52c | 187.71$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.35 | 412 | 60.9%251 W · 161 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked HOTU | 28c | 178.31$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.46 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcce1…49c7backed HOTU | 27c | 170.37$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 351 | 47.9%168 W · 183 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked HOTU | 36c | 164.47$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.75 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…3eb8backed Aurora Gaming | 48c | 157.02$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.65 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3416…adaabacked HOTU | 34c | 152.24$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.23 | 289 | 35.3%102 W · 187 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed HOTU | 50c | 151.36$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.68 | 538 | 50.6%272 W · 266 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Aurora Gaming | 74c | 151$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.65 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Aurora Gaming | 74c | 144.56$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.31 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Aurora Gaming | 58c | 142.52$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.11 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2295…8f0fbacked HOTU | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed HOTU | 51c | 140$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.21 | 122 | 60.7%74 W · 48 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Aurora Gaming | 73c | 138$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.82 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93b6…5d73backed HOTU | 28c | 132.14$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a40…f518backed Aurora Gaming | 52c | 129.18$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.93 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed HOTU | 39c | 129$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1e…c023backed HOTU | 37c | 128$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.36 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e5…cc65backed HOTU | 24c | 114.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.67 | 223 | 46.2%103 W · 120 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5120…b26bbacked HOTU | 40c | 113.2$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa53a…473ebacked HOTU | 36c | 112.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked HOTU | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed HOTU | 36c | 107.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.33 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked HOTU | 27c | 105.71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 807 | 41.3%333 W · 474 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Aurora Gaming | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Aurora Gaming | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.33 | 677 | 50.2%340 W · 337 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed HOTU | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Aurora Gaming | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 587 | 55.9%328 W · 259 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Aurora Gaming | 74c | 94.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed HOTU | 14c | 90$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 374 | 40.4%151 W · 223 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95e9…67b6backed HOTU | 50c | 88$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1d…6f23backed HOTU | 14c | 85.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Aurora Gaming | 72c | 85.37$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80c7backed Aurora Gaming | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed HOTU | 18c | 84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Aurora Gaming | 66c | 83.47$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 220 | 53.2%117 W · 103 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…5bfdbacked Aurora Gaming | 61c | 82.8$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.29 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9a…73fabacked HOTU | 36c | 80.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 393 | 53.2%209 W · 184 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed HOTU | 41c | 80.62$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.43 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Aurora Gaming | 64c | 75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 323 | 44.3%143 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked HOTU | 28c | 71.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0882…dceabacked Aurora Gaming | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Aurora Gaming | 73c | 69.45$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Aurora Gaming | 48c | 63.78$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.22 | 664 | 46.4%308 W · 356 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed HOTU | 26c | 63.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…30b5backed HOTU | 33c | 60.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 292 | 46.9%137 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Aurora Gaming | 61c | 55.43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa40c…d480backed Aurora Gaming | 46c | 52.04$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x611f…1f84backed HOTU | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Aurora Gaming | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.21 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Aurora Gaming | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 149 | 40.3%60 W · 89 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…934fbacked HOTU | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 324 | 63%204 W · 120 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-InAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU - Map 2 WinnerHOTU won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs HOTU (+3.5)HOTU won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs HOTU (+3.5)Aurora Gaming won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs HOTU (+1.5)HOTU won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.