CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40483a4774a8fd348ffdbe1bae762aacbd4f192f875b2124ad3df55b09b99a1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HOTUof Aurora Gaming, HOTU
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $258,288
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $298,418
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $258,288 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 235 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0993…525fbacked Aurora Gaming | 70c | 11,887$8,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,302.04 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked HOTU | 36c | 11,539$4,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,432.96 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Aurora Gaming | 69c | 10,969$7,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,568.94 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked Aurora Gaming | 70c | 10,000$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,999.98 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ee…70b4backed Aurora Gaming | 70c | 6,964$4,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,903.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked HOTU | 60c | 6,704$4,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,691.08 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked HOTU | 58c | 6,481$3,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,744.51 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Aurora Gaming | 52c | 5,267$2,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,720.92 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -7.0wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked HOTU | 54c | 4,405$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,004.63 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked HOTU | 41c | 4,312$1,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,540.29 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e86…6dfbbacked Aurora Gaming | 34c | 4,123$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404.09 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Aurora Gaming | 71c | 3,768$2,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,658.93 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Aurora Gaming | 68c | 3,500$2,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,388.58 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed HOTU | 58c | 3,292$1,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368.65 | 610 | 34.3%209 W · 401 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed HOTU | 33c | 3,021$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,026.56 | 152 | 51.3%78 W · 74 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x609d…3fa9backed HOTU | 67c | 3,009$2,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.41 | 99 | 63.6%63 W · 36 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Aurora Gaming | 68c | 3,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Aurora Gaming | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…08d2backed HOTU | 33c | 2,753$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,844.7 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Aurora Gaming | 35c | 2,640$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.88 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Aurora Gaming | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…7535backed HOTU | 73c | 2,292$1,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.01 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed HOTU | 30c | 2,222$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,544.29 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed HOTU | 29c | 2,033$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.17 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d7…3a17backed HOTU | 29c | 2,028$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.88 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed HOTU | 56c | 2,006$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.64 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Aurora Gaming | 25c | 2,005$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.8 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4533…0adcbacked HOTU | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.99 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Aurora Gaming | 18c | 1,998$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.26 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Aurora Gaming | 42c | 1,827$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.23 | 384 | 54.2%208 W · 176 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Aurora Gaming | 20c | 1,804$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.79 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked HOTU | 70c | 1,719$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.81 | 378 | 59.5%225 W · 153 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…438fbacked Aurora Gaming | 71c | 1,526$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.79 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Aurora Gaming | 67c | 1,500$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed HOTU | 68c | 1,474$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.75 | 190 | 61.6%117 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed HOTU | 31c | 1,446$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.61 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Aurora Gaming | 73c | 1,400$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.17 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d8…f6b6backed HOTU | 29c | 1,395$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.21 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked HOTU | 59c | 1,386$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.12 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…0308backed HOTU | 49c | 1,383$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.31 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +5.6wins | +0.28per pick | 42cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked HOTU | 57c | 1,375$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.91 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…2b3cbacked HOTU | 45c | 1,333$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.33 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed HOTU | 30c | 1,326$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.48 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed HOTU | 31c | 1,268$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.74 | 242 | 33.9%82 W · 160 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Aurora Gaming | 54c | 1,267$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.09 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51a…7c96backed Aurora Gaming | 36c | 1,260$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed HOTU | 32c | 1,250$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked HOTU | 33c | 1,244$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.9 | 302 | 23.2%70 W · 232 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Aurora Gaming | 45c | 1,121$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.63 | 376 | 46.3%174 W · 202 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked HOTU | 31c | 1,092$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.9 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed HOTU | 53c | 1,073$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.12 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96f7…d6aebacked Aurora Gaming | 40c | 1,064$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.65 | 221 | 29.9%66 W · 155 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed HOTU | 53c | 1,038$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.75 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…53ffbacked HOTU | 30c | 999.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.99 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…416cbacked Aurora Gaming | 66c | 952.85$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.53 | 144 | 54.9%79 W · 65 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked HOTU | 40c | 947.22$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.17 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Aurora Gaming | 69c | 916.61$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.17 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fca…6ac3backed HOTU | 32c | 866.99$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.29 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…b38ebacked HOTU | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.33 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked HOTU | 53c | 830.28$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.29 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked HOTU | 65c | 800$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked HOTU | 51c | 791.05$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.67 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Aurora Gaming | 9c | 757$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.61 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed Aurora Gaming | 29c | 750$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.5 | 508 | 46.3%235 W · 273 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x151e…58debacked HOTU | 68c | 734.96$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.96 | 137 | 65%89 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed HOTU | 60c | 705.15$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.17 | 519 | 42.2%219 W · 300 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…aa6abacked Aurora Gaming | 70c | 700.08$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.55 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed HOTU | 44c | 697.15$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.8 | 421 | 54.6%230 W · 191 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked HOTU | 31c | 696.06$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.28 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18c2…529abacked HOTU | 41c | 681.54$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.36 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Aurora Gaming | 53c | 660$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.6 | 664 | 46.4%308 W · 356 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Aurora Gaming | 66c | 600$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Aurora Gaming | 51c | 600$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.8 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe82a…1101backed Aurora Gaming | 71c | 589.98$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.74 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Aurora Gaming | 52c | 577.71$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.22 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked HOTU | 61c | 576.32$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.36 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Aurora Gaming | 42c | 556.91$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.55 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed HOTU | 54c | 522.58$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.71 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…3eb8backed HOTU | 32c | 519.41$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.59 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf85a…960ebacked HOTU | 48c | 512.9$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.9 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed HOTU | 43c | 500$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.5 | 858 | 51.6%443 W · 415 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed HOTU | 31c | 500$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked HOTU | 29c | 500$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe9…4a83backed Aurora Gaming | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Aurora Gaming | 68c | 476.81$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.05 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d20…5c21backed Aurora Gaming | 32c | 469.03$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Aurora Gaming | 20c | 451.97$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.16 | 809 | 42.3%342 W · 467 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9929…15a8backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 406.25$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.5 | 171 | 63.7%109 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x483d…a099backed HOTU | 69c | 396.85$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.37 | 263 | 46.4%122 W · 141 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7126…bfcbbacked HOTU | 31c | 395.94$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.2 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed HOTU | 30c | 390$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274 | 320 | 42.5%136 W · 184 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked HOTU | 36c | 363.78$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.47 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed HOTU | 30c | 354$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.8 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb8…c597backed HOTU | 29c | 353.9$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.27 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed HOTU | 68c | 331.6$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.11 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4d…b0edbacked Aurora Gaming | 59c | 272.47$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8912…1712backed Aurora Gaming | 34c | 270.94$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.97 | 277 | 35.7%99 W · 178 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked HOTU | 32c | 266.69$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.14 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed HOTU | 33c | 264.43$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.17 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…2e8ebacked HOTU | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-InAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU - Map 1 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs HOTU (+3.5)HOTU won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs HOTU (+3.5)Aurora Gaming won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs HOTU (+1.5)HOTU won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.