TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Israel win on 2026-06-03?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$344,987
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$414,770

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $344,987 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 222 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3496…8fc4backed No75c100,000$75,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75,00017034.7%59 W · 111 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No80c86,343$69,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69,074.1474752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Yes25c64,960$16,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,720.3716331.9%52 W · 111 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes46c23,474$10,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,632.214,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No35c14,379$5,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,040.941,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Yes32c8,438$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,737.513544.4%60 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No69c7,190$4,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,956.192,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes25c6,759$1,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,068.921,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Yes25c6,369$1,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,776.6341451.4%213 W · 201 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes25c6,369$1,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,776.6335549.9%177 W · 178 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No68c5,516$3,749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,749.231,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f64…d099backed Yes32c5,159$1,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,497.731030%3 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6569…a053backed No33c3,973$1,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,309.75922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick15cpaid+233.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No68c3,312$2,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,249.142,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5822…8774backed No60c2,842$1,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,709.1517568.6%120 W · 55 L-10.2wins-0.06per pick74cpaid-7.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfaa…2814backed Yes34c2,826$961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,864.93771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick45cpaid+68.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No68c2,670$1,809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,809.291,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No70c2,653$1,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,859.943,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed Yes67c2,585$1,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.288058.8%47 W · 33 L+7.2wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes43c2,445$1,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,399.694,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Yes70c2,419$1,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.6410157.4%58 W · 43 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes33c2,417$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,612.571,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed No72c2,281$1,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,632.3613953.2%74 W · 65 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No66c2,215$1,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,471.9676048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e1c…b3abbacked No69c1,988$1,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,370.8927520.4%56 W · 219 L+1.2wins0.00per pick20cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee84…becbbacked No1c1,904$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0411448.2%55 W · 59 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e5a…0122backed Yes25c1,845$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,383.547229.2%21 W · 51 L+6.1wins+0.09per pick21cpaid+62.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes23c1,500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,15530431.3%95 W · 209 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No68c1,471$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00017748%85 W · 92 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+24.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf95…5c3ebacked Yes74c1,422$1,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.731266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+24.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked No32c1,399$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.1844435.4%157 W · 287 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x45e1…5934backed No41c1,396$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.698859.1%52 W · 36 L-11.8wins-0.13per pick72cpaid-17.9%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x9dfe…a5d6backed Yes22c1,364$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,063.643540%14 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No66c1,364$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90047235%165 W · 307 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked No23c1,256$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.072,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed No17c1,159$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.1617513.7%24 W · 151 L-19.8wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-69.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed No26c1,154$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30044539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc16a…d1e4backed Yes80c1,141$909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.618445.2%38 W · 46 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed No20c1,054$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.441926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-45.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked No23c1,032$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.7619026.3%50 W · 140 L-10.1wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-32.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5044…f67fbacked Yes33c1,000$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6706031.7%19 W · 41 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No67c930.39$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.83,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No5c918.61$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.330117.9%54 W · 247 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No30c893.63$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.263,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No47c868.56$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.4774034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No66c833.33$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55043635.8%156 W · 280 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed No69c690.42$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.398250%41 W · 41 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe04…a198backed No37c675.67$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503250%16 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13e4…8b89backed No38c657.89$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25020253.5%108 W · 94 L+12.5wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+20.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No80c655.5$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.474447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c46…ae13backed Yes33c624$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.089235.9%33 W · 59 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes33c603.61$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.429254.3%50 W · 42 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes63c594.91$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.122,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Yes76c591.34$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.617057.1%40 W · 30 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef3e…9e72backed Yes29c500$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3551330.8%4 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick19cpaid+65.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Yes29c499.98$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.9823729.1%69 W · 168 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaf8…4919backed No67c450$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.51526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No69c445.04$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.1893542.2%395 W · 540 L-27.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6530…d760backed Yes28c428.57$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.574774.5%35 W · 12 L+9.1wins+0.19per pick55cpaid+43.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x40a1…e17dbacked Yes25c420$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3153818.4%7 W · 31 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-43.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes31c409.99$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.8935036.3%127 W · 223 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebe7…0f1fbacked Yes33c400$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2681435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd1f…f0d8backed Yes76c394.74$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.749064.4%58 W · 32 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-1.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x88f2…a6c1backed Yes77c389.6$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.6119944.7%89 W · 110 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No68c380.81$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.631,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No26c380.5$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.2845947.7%219 W · 240 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed No25c357.71$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.431,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No68c330.81$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.5855045.1%248 W · 302 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed No69c328.99$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.8618435.3%65 W · 119 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe189…13fbbacked Yes33c297.82$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.54862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick42cpaid+32.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked No68c294.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015364.7%99 W · 54 L+13.6wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+16.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa0f6…4892backed Yes34c294.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.1212639.7%50 W · 76 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No71c288.83$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.813,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d82…e950backed Yes33c287.82$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.842944.8%13 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+22.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes74c281.62$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.612,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc595…994dbacked Yes23c265.68$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.5714526.2%38 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b28…b87dbacked Yes31c264.84$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.743724.3%9 W · 28 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Yes30c253$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.0310539%41 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcab1…65babacked No67c249.99$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.491540%6 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+51.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb30d…5cf1backed No76c223.68$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed No56c223.51$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.61,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No67c220.98$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.2184844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b4d…01c3backed Yes79c220.1$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.222142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-21.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No73c219.91$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.7123940.6%97 W · 142 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes50c210$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.0587651.1%448 W · 428 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed No59c209.06$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.4151429.4%151 W · 363 L-46.1wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-51.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked No21c202$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.4446445.5%211 W · 253 L-1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0482…f72abacked No50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018038.3%69 W · 111 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No74c200$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14810548.6%51 W · 54 L+11.1wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+24%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Yes78c200$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4421166.4%140 W · 71 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa65c…509dbacked No25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019148.7%93 W · 98 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes76c197.37$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.3711552.2%60 W · 55 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No22c193.01$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7145039.6%178 W · 272 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c39…d10bbacked Yes29c192.93$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.932240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes32c189.92$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.863,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No67c185.99$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.4181554.8%447 W · 368 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8328…e5ebbacked Yes28c185.05$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.8536543.3%158 W · 207 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No19c178.61$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7627538.5%106 W · 169 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Yes26c170$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.414647.3%69 W · 77 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed No73c165.28$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.6548937%181 W · 308 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.