TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Albania vs. Israel end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$45,203
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$46,573

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,203 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5b75…433bbacked Yes29c4,431$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30013544.4%60 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes39c3,578$1,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,384.364,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f64…d099backed Yes42c3,127$1,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,315.281030%3 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No66c3,110$2,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.622,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No53c2,981$1,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,415.673,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked No76c2,549$1,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.682,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No80c2,456$1,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.32,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No70c1,664$1,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.3476048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes31c1,389$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.0830431.3%95 W · 209 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked No80c1,204$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.481,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked No64c999.99$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35521850%109 W · 109 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes35c829$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.8393542.2%395 W · 540 L-27.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed Yes30c757.57$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.276839.7%27 W · 41 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Yes15c749.23$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.151926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-45.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No71c676.59$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.933,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No64c628.63$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.321,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed No78c585.29$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.4720250%101 W · 101 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-6.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No71c556.01$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.371,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes24c552.4$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.319026.3%50 W · 140 L-10.1wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-32.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Yes23c548.71$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.1844435.4%157 W · 287 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked No59c508.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.4713461.9%83 W · 51 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes16c500$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8030117.9%54 W · 247 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Yes22c482.48$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.1998134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88c5…2909backed Yes29c445$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.058549.4%42 W · 43 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed No77c423.52$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.1251429.4%151 W · 363 L-46.1wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-51.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed No72c417$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.781,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd60f…5165backed No72c400$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1127659.2%45 W · 31 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No71c368.53$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.6523940.6%97 W · 142 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes35c357.14$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12551429.4%151 W · 363 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6569…a053backed Yes18c318.22$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.28922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick15cpaid+233.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No79c301$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.212,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8c46…ae13backed Yes7c288.88$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.169235.9%33 W · 59 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd09…8974backed Yes39c255$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.723429.4%10 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-33.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2423820.6%49 W · 189 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0482…f72abacked No50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10018038.3%69 W · 111 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No71c190.34$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.21,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked No72c185.39$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.823345.1%105 W · 128 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86da…401cbacked Yes29c180$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.2119.1%1 W · 10 L-3.5wins-0.32per pick41cpaid-82.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2342…12d6backed Yes29c173.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.228644.2%38 W · 48 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5039648.7%193 W · 203 L-23.6wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No68c148.78$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.8627745.1%125 W · 152 L-19.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-25.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No59c148$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.0587651.1%448 W · 428 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc487…ab80backed Yes11c133.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157458.1%43 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes28c120$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.61,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Yes22c110$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.217217.4%30 W · 142 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8103…4d0abacked Yes19c103$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2028326.1%74 W · 209 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2920050%100 W · 100 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb68…e362backed Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2934238.6%132 W · 210 L-1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8af5…4bbabacked Yes15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159445.7%43 W · 51 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+22.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b8b…2512backed Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2933237.3%124 W · 208 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No71c94.36$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.793,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd4f…5aa7backed Yes29c86.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-50.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No79c86.03$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.412,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11c9…1184backed Yes21c85.71$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185127.5%14 W · 37 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ea9…5b98backed No76c81.2$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0918764.2%120 W · 67 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No65c70$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.54,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbffd…2af5backed Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013032.3%42 W · 88 L-0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No62c67.22$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.6745947.7%219 W · 240 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed No72c66.51$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6263151.5%325 W · 306 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Yes16c62.19$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.117513.7%24 W · 151 L-19.8wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-69.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x10e5…b4e9backed Yes29c60.93$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6711046.4%51 W · 59 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b12…c2d5backed Yes29c60$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.433538.8%130 W · 205 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed No70c57.99$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.418435.3%65 W · 119 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked No79c54$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3457541.7%240 W · 335 L-20.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked No79c54$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3446445.5%211 W · 253 L-1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf854…8e03backed Yes29c51.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157341.1%30 W · 43 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb305…a400backed Yes29c51.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1533345.3%151 W · 182 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No71c50.76$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.721,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5503…2a7dbacked Yes30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5012…4d3ebacked Yes29c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.52552%13 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7a3…9ac2backed Yes29c49.48$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.352832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No73c47.14$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.83,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e0c…a963backed Yes28c41.06$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+15.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Yes38c40.86$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6714647.3%69 W · 77 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes27c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.888838.2%339 W · 549 L+37.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Yes28c39.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.226631.2%83 W · 183 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No71c39.81$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.62,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked Yes32c38.57$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3743246.8%202 W · 230 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0e5…f52cbacked Yes54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015345.8%70 W · 83 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a98…dc9cbacked No72c34.72$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.725862.1%36 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb821…5cddbacked No71c30.11$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.739463.8%60 W · 34 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf618…ba85backed Yes46c29.22$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.442653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cd6…3806backed No53c28.9$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.457163.4%45 W · 26 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+20.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed No67c25.85$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5351458.8%302 W · 212 L+25.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed No71c22.77$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6323552.8%124 W · 111 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x848f…9cdabacked No70c22.45$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6810545.7%48 W · 57 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No71c22.32$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4627538.5%106 W · 169 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2813…3177backed No69c21.84$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.854839.6%19 W · 29 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-35.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd5d…fbb3backed No71c19.14$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.5512957.4%74 W · 55 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No72c19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.3265651.7%339 W · 317 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb3…9794backed No72c15.3$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.281752.9%9 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick70cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed No71c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.3943653.7%234 W · 202 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked No71c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.352,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2568…ef92backed No71c14.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.3530751.1%157 W · 150 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.