Champions League · resolved market
Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-08-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93c723b64236ad4d74f80cda1bace5f5003077aecef291497ebbefaf7bf8fd2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $165,286
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $166,972
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $165,286 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8973…f760backed No | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 15c | 12,793$1,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,918.95 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +7.9wins | +0.23per pick | 35cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 4c | 6,165$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.21 | 1,487 | 40.3%599 W · 888 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked No | 16c | 5,997$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.48 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 37cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…b7aabacked No | 13c | 5,851$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.61 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed No | 16c | 5,677$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.55 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 1c | 4,361$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.2 | 450 | 42%189 W · 261 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 14c | 4,330$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.2 | 264 | 45.8%121 W · 143 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…97cfbacked No | 5c | 4,261$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.46 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 14c | 3,462$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.19 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 15c | 2,952$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.24 | 704 | 35.8%252 W · 452 L | -27.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed No | 15c | 2,822$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.23 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 15c | 2,302$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.27 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 14c | 1,925$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.45 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 13c | 1,697$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.43 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 15c | 1,484$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.2 | 329 | 44.7%147 W · 182 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 15c | 1,335$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.97 | 310 | 47.4%147 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed No | 15c | 692.61$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.89 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +6.1wins | +0.27per pick | 47cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8e48…9c5fbacked No | 15c | 600$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 15c | 598.28$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.81 | 294 | 45.9%135 W · 159 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 3c | 560$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…7574backed No | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 11c | 458.5$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.19 | 394 | 43.1%170 W · 224 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaae5…7974backed No | 16c | 453.89$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.62 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed No | 15c | 435.42$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.31 | 179 | 7.8%14 W · 165 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5045…914abacked No | 14c | 348$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…04d7backed No | 15c | 309.76$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +65%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a61…f47bbacked No | 15c | 299.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcab1…65babacked No | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7178…7400backed No | 15c | 242.4$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6435…e868backed No | 14c | 225$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked No | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 14c | 194.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 6c | 185.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 14c | 175$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 222 | 45%100 W · 122 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 19c | 158.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.06 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb888…ccfdbacked No | 14c | 155.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 9c | 128.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 433 | 33.5%145 W · 288 L | -12.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba71…1209backed No | 16c | 119.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9015…281fbacked No | 14c | 116$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed No | 14c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked No | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked No | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 15c | 94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 16c | 93.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -6.0wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed No | 16c | 78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 15c | 71.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…03acbacked No | 16c | 64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e3…dfabbacked No | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 17c | 61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 209 | 47.8%100 W · 109 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-08-04?this page
- Will FK Kauno Žalgiris win on 2026-08-04?No won
- Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.