Lol · resolved market
LoL: Cloud9 vs Dignitas (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3ce26cd51d01b339b9bab26c11bbbf0751b506bafacaa0c00478d15e25f50a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cloud9of Cloud9, Dignitas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,790
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,840
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,790 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Dignitas | 12c | 10,969$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316.31 | 960 | 48.8%468 W · 492 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Dignitas | 6c | 5,062$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.08 | 1,468 | 28.9%424 W · 1,044 L | +23.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Dignitas | 13c | 3,029$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.8 | 443 | 35.4%157 W · 286 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Dignitas | 14c | 2,610$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.4 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe751…9af6backed Dignitas | 7c | 1,260$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.45 | 259 | 45.2%117 W · 142 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fa…4a86backed Dignitas | 7c | 1,089$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.09 | 64 | 10.9%7 W · 57 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Dignitas | 13c | 1,044$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.41 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58e3…c540backed Dignitas | 22c | 1,034$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.21 | 151 | 46.4%70 W · 81 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98a5…d074backed Dignitas | 7c | 693.72$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.21 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcab1…65babacked Dignitas | 13c | 681.47$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +36%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4e…5973backed Dignitas | 13c | 628.76$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.36 | 557 | 44%245 W · 312 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a50…650abacked Dignitas | 13c | 583.84$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Dignitas | 13c | 521.29$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.77 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b9…0fc9backed Dignitas | 6c | 503.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 348 | 37.4%130 W · 218 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5511…5734backed Dignitas | 11c | 499.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 240 | 29.2%70 W · 170 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Cloud9 | 80c | 429.53$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.83 | 173 | 25.4%44 W · 129 L | -19.5wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…e7c8backed Dignitas | 23c | 377.12$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.98 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…a754backed Dignitas | 14c | 360.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.23 | 353 | 23.2%82 W · 271 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Dignitas | 14c | 327$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Cloud9 | 78c | 294$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.15 | 468 | 41.7%195 W · 273 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Dignitas | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f59…21cbbacked Dignitas | 27c | 240.81$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Dignitas | 14c | 213.07$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked Dignitas | 12c | 199.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 324 | 42%136 W · 188 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Dignitas | 14c | 175.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…97b5backed Dignitas | 18c | 155.52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.57 | 289 | 24.6%71 W · 218 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68f0…cb42backed Dignitas | 7c | 151.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a52…9917backed Dignitas | 18c | 143.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed Dignitas | 17c | 139.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 239 | 38.1%91 W · 148 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Dignitas | 14c | 120.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 495 | 14.3%71 W · 424 L | -70.5wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Dignitas | 14c | 102.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Cloud9 | 78c | 102.05$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.95 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd23…e6c9backed Cloud9 | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Cloud9 | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 696 | 44.4%309 W · 387 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Dignitas | 13c | 89.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 1,058 | 23.5%249 W · 809 L | -75.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdffe…b4d3backed Dignitas | 14c | 80.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Cloud9 | 76c | 73.85$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.72 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ae…f667backed Dignitas | 26c | 65.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…8116backed Dignitas | 23c | 60.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 27cpaid | +94.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d48…f5a2backed Dignitas | 17c | 60.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Dignitas | 19c | 52.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 1,318 | 47.3%624 W · 694 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed Cloud9 | 78c | 49.77$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 153 | 70.6%108 W · 45 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Cloud9 vs Dignitas (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Dignitas (+1.5)Cloud9 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Cloud9 vs Dignitas - Game 1 WinnerCloud9 won
- LoL: Cloud9 vs Dignitas - Game 2 WinnerCloud9 won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.