Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x810388b9c2dba3734a70cb6811230eb7421133542edd1cf5f1ccff6f26ac5cf1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,833
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,993
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,833 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Over | 33c | 1,454$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.9 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 31c | 1,092$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.65 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Under | 67c | 1,014$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.62 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 67c | 505.15$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.7 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 12c | 340.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.41 | 960 | 54.2%520 W · 440 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under | 69c | 333.68$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.44 | 186 | 53.2%99 W · 87 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Under | 69c | 188.43$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.41 | 101 | 65.3%66 W · 35 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c8…86b4backed Under | 68c | 146.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.98 | 191 | 57.1%109 W · 82 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Under | 69c | 113.19$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.09 | 388 | 50.8%197 W · 191 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Over | 32c | 110$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbb…39dabacked Over | 35c | 105.71$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c64…929abacked Over | 33c | 105.68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.06 | 166 | 68.7%114 W · 52 L | +22.2wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 65c | 79$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.65 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Under | 69c | 78.51$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.34 | 382 | 57.9%221 W · 161 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 65c | 77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Under | 69c | 69.68$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 145 | 61.4%89 W · 56 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56e4…6ee4backed Under | 69c | 56.92$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Over | 32c | 56.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 139 | 33.8%47 W · 92 L | -14.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed Under | 69c | 51.03$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed Under | 68c | 31.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 241 | 47.3%114 W · 127 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Under | 69c | 29.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Under | 69c | 29.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 573 | 49.4%283 W · 290 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Under | 69c | 29.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 422 | 50%211 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Under | 69c | 23.55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 268 | 56.7%152 W · 116 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…b30ebacked Under | 69c | 18.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 61c | 17.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 1,924 | 35.9%691 W · 1,233 L | -97.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4daa…8923backed Under | 69c | 17.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 348 | 34.2%119 W · 229 L | -39.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Dignitas (+1.5)Cloud9 won
- LoL: Cloud9 vs Dignitas (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier PlayoffsCloud9 won
- LoL: Cloud9 vs Dignitas - Game 1 WinnerCloud9 won
- LoL: Cloud9 vs Dignitas - Game 2 WinnerCloud9 won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.