Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba611119c16b2132a1fa07b37d681d72df42d7579aedd15a40306a10bc9976ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,490
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,130
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,490 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Under | 44c | 44,427$19,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,794.84 | 338 | 38.2%129 W · 209 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Over | 59c | 31,298$18,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,359.06 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Over | 53c | 19,454$10,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,309.53 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8a…433dbacked Under | 41c | 5,213$2,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,075.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Over | 54c | 1,972$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.05 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 46c | 1,372$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.34 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Under | 41c | 695.52$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.36 | 427 | 35.4%151 W · 276 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Over | 57c | 581.75$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.28 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c8…86b4backed Over | 54c | 579.66$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.11 | 191 | 57.1%109 W · 82 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Under | 45c | 511.57$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.59 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under | 41c | 505.21$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.07 | 592 | 48.3%286 W · 306 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Over | 55c | 465.8$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.19 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…954ebacked Under | 46c | 389.02$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.39 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Under | 41c | 334.08$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.11 | 240 | 41.3%99 W · 141 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5e…1468backed Under | 41c | 258.79$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.77 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a08…5627backed Under | 41c | 242.33$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.97 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Under | 41c | 218.87$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.13 | 447 | 43.6%195 W · 252 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 54c | 202.41$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.58 | 536 | 49.8%267 W · 269 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked Under | 36c | 197.52$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.55 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ed…5dc7backed Under | 41c | 181.84$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.29 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 55c | 136$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.8 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed Over | 54c | 104.63$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.15 | 411 | 56.7%233 W · 178 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed Over | 54c | 102.13$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.86 | 375 | 48%180 W · 195 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd11d…5656backed Over | 51c | 97.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 506 | 47.2%239 W · 267 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Under | 43c | 55.72$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.66 | 229 | 55.5%127 W · 102 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1de9…9499backed Under | 47c | 51.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 230 | 57.8%133 W · 97 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd35e…a1e8backed Over | 54c | 34.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 127 | 63%80 W · 47 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x171f…d613backed Over | 54c | 34.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Over | 49c | 31.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 243 | 56%136 W · 107 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 416 | 51.2%213 W · 203 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Over | 54c | 25.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Over | 53c | 25.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 357 | 55.7%199 W · 158 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaac…2e35backed Under | 72c | 20.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 2?this page
- Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Dignitas (+1.5)Cloud9 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Cloud9 vs Dignitas (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier PlayoffsCloud9 won
- LoL: Cloud9 vs Dignitas - Game 1 WinnerCloud9 won
- LoL: Cloud9 vs Dignitas - Game 2 WinnerCloud9 won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.