Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Dignitas (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe96e9274ec940d4b3f3feb1677aa2c1c9c02bfa1738b59a4b1d00f9c4731d413
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cloud9of Cloud9, Dignitas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,560
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,417
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,560 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Dignitas | 34c | 1,776$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.83 | 203 | 48.8%99 W · 104 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d2ffbacked Cloud9 | 66c | 1,119$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.5 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Cloud9 | 65c | 420$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.1 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Dignitas | 35c | 318.15$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.95 | 960 | 48.8%468 W · 492 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5192…df62backed Cloud9 | 66c | 296.85$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.93 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Dignitas | 36c | 278.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.39 | 563 | 41%231 W · 332 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e71…eba7backed Cloud9 | 64c | 184.39$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.38 | 123 | 49.6%61 W · 62 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d76…90a0backed Cloud9 | 66c | 118.72$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.37 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Dignitas | 35c | 89.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc671…b0c7backed Cloud9 | 65c | 75.31$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.36 | 428 | 47.9%205 W · 223 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f12…95c3backed Cloud9 | 66c | 74.21$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe49b…a829backed Cloud9 | 66c | 62.66$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -4.2wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Dignitas | 35c | 53.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 704 | 56.4%397 W · 307 L | +39.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Cloud9 | 65c | 44.39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 221 | 42.5%94 W · 127 L | -13.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Cloud9 | 66c | 21.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 581 | 55.6%323 W · 258 L | +17.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Dignitas (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Cloud9 vs Dignitas (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier PlayoffsCloud9 won
- LoL: Cloud9 vs Dignitas - Game 1 WinnerCloud9 won
- LoL: Cloud9 vs Dignitas - Game 2 WinnerCloud9 won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.