Lol · resolved market
LoL: Cloud9 vs Dignitas - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3f955dbc236f58800af405fa0f78cfd02c9ee44ccdd4c747ba9693337a47d9d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cloud9of Cloud9, Dignitas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,725
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,430
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,725 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Dignitas | 23c | 4,174$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.92 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Cloud9 | 79c | 2,797$2,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.74 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…62afbacked Dignitas | 21c | 1,625$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.18 | 345 | 36.5%126 W · 219 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Dignitas | 20c | 1,452$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.22 | 1,468 | 28.9%424 W · 1,044 L | +23.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb326…7075backed Dignitas | 4c | 1,438$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.09 | 174 | 10.9%19 W · 155 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Dignitas | 24c | 1,019$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.63 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x000e…f7e9backed Cloud9 | 80c | 993.97$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.79 | 899 | 43.4%390 W · 509 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cloud9 | 77c | 986.2$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.83 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7553…65cabacked Dignitas | 20c | 889.1$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.97 | 672 | 50.9%342 W · 330 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed Cloud9 | 76c | 668.45$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.43 | 241 | 47.3%114 W · 127 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e2…7283backed Dignitas | 20c | 577.2$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.53 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…17e0backed Dignitas | 5c | 499.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 109 | 7.3%8 W · 101 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Cloud9 | 77c | 463.51$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.61 | 392 | 46.4%182 W · 210 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Cloud9 | 77c | 378.7$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.1 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Cloud9 | 76c | 325$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 962 | 50.1%482 W · 480 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Dignitas | 11c | 299.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Dignitas | 15c | 293.74$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.06 | 732 | 37.7%276 W · 456 L | -51.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Cloud9 | 76c | 274.16$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.04 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Dignitas | 18c | 259.6$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…97b5backed Dignitas | 22c | 254.83$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.24 | 289 | 24.6%71 W · 218 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Cloud9 | 78c | 243.54$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.58 | 184 | 47.8%88 W · 96 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Dignitas | 12c | 214.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Dignitas | 22c | 140.37$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.14 | 856 | 52.2%447 W · 409 L | +34.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Cloud9 | 77c | 137.7$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.19 | 429 | 41.5%178 W · 251 L | -24.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a99…51bbbacked Dignitas | 21c | 136.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.58 | 826 | 50%413 W · 413 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked Dignitas | 18c | 134.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 1,536 | 62.6%961 W · 575 L | +157.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x76bb…4548backed Cloud9 | 77c | 128.08$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 349 | 60.7%212 W · 137 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa1…a844backed Dignitas | 15c | 126.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8339…65dabacked Dignitas | 12c | 122.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Cloud9 | 79c | 118.9$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.27 | 573 | 49.4%283 W · 290 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Cloud9 | 79c | 108.06$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Dignitas | 22c | 104.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Cloud9 | 79c | 101.04$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 422 | 50%211 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f7…7eadbacked Dignitas | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 188 | 46.3%87 W · 101 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Dignitas | 20c | 98.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cloud9 | 77c | 98.62$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Cloud9 | 76c | 96.16$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 1,539 | 43.7%673 W · 866 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Cloud9 | 77c | 96.06$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913a…5614backed Dignitas | 21c | 88.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…527ebacked Dignitas | 24c | 71.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 625 | 58.7%367 W · 258 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ab…5080backed Cloud9 | 77c | 70.67$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 192 | 57.8%111 W · 81 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Dignitas | 17c | 66.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 1,643 | 44.4%730 W · 913 L | -42.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Cloud9 | 78c | 63.26$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +9.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Cloud9 | 76c | 55.6$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93de…f485backed Dignitas | 23c | 55.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Cloud9 | 80c | 54.34$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 306 | 61.1%187 W · 119 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a41…15b2backed Dignitas | 24c | 52.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Dignitas | 24c | 48.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4092…3dd1backed Cloud9 | 77c | 38.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Cloud9 | 78c | 31.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x96b1…812bbacked Cloud9 | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76a…47c0backed Cloud9 | 80c | 19.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 287 | 56.1%161 W · 126 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f83…d411backed Cloud9 | 79c | 14.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.08 | 116 | 69.8%81 W · 35 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee33…1822backed Cloud9 | 79c | 13.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.87 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Cloud9 vs Dignitas - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Dignitas (+1.5)Cloud9 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Cloud9 vs Dignitas (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier PlayoffsCloud9 won
- LoL: Cloud9 vs Dignitas - Game 1 WinnerCloud9 won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.