MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2c865ecdd9353d641f903922e7da6a4f1f0c23889019f38733a241e2458ed6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miami Marlinsof Los Angeles Angels, Miami Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $175,737
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $181,309
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $175,737 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Miami Marlins | 59c | 62,069$36,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,505.81 | 262 | 57.3%150 W · 112 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Angels | 41c | 50,472$20,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,463.6 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 25c | 28,799$7,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,261.09 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Los Angeles Angels | 12c | 11,000$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305 | 102 | 37.3%38 W · 64 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…3992backed Miami Marlins | 59c | 5,172$3,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120.69 | 158 | 59.5%94 W · 64 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b8f…449bbacked Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…2ff4backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 4,310$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,810.34 | 129 | 60.5%78 W · 51 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Los Angeles Angels | 38c | 4,151$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.83 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…3aaebacked Miami Marlins | 59c | 3,879$2,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590.52 | 129 | 59.7%77 W · 52 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Miami Marlins | 69c | 3,198$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.83 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…2b6bbacked Miami Marlins | 63c | 3,186$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.54 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Los Angeles Angels | 41c | 2,777$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.7 | 883 | 49.3%435 W · 448 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe372…2d51backed Miami Marlins | 59c | 2,423$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.88 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Miami Marlins | 79c | 2,005$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.9 | 970 | 44.9%436 W · 534 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Miami Marlins | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Los Angeles Angels | 1c | 1,967$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 212 | 33.5%71 W · 141 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Los Angeles Angels | 41c | 1,721$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.13 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 1,593$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.93 | 820 | 42.6%349 W · 471 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 1,367$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.1 | 1,797 | 50.4%906 W · 891 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Los Angeles Angels | 16c | 1,362$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.13 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6101…23bcbacked Los Angeles Angels | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Los Angeles Angels | 41c | 1,200$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492 | 274 | 46.7%128 W · 146 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 1,100$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.05 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Los Angeles Angels | 23c | 1,016$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.71 | 445 | 53.5%238 W · 207 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 990.51$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.64 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 976.9$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.3 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12cc…3587backed Miami Marlins | 60c | 971.99$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.13 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Miami Marlins | 59c | 836.26$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.92 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Miami Marlins | 59c | 802.23$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.91 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Miami Marlins | 60c | 800$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0225…7bebbacked Miami Marlins | 60c | 743.97$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.59 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Miami Marlins | 71c | 620$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 599.97$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.99 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 535.12$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.05 | 444 | 46.8%208 W · 236 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3050…1a35backed Miami Marlins | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Los Angeles Angels | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Miami Marlins | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 161 | 46.6%75 W · 86 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 499.98$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.99 | 208 | 36.5%76 W · 132 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Miami Marlins | 60c | 491.8$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.72 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Los Angeles Angels | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,141 | 46.3%528 W · 613 L | +36.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Miami Marlins | 59c | 455.64$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.81 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 411.67$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.42 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 385.45$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.18 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf824…ebe3backed Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 311$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.62 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffe…4ef8backed Miami Marlins | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…0e95backed Los Angeles Angels | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 145 | 45.5%66 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d14…663fbacked Miami Marlins | 59c | 255$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 168 | 56.5%95 W · 73 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b98…7061backed Los Angeles Angels | 41c | 250$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Los Angeles Angels | 41c | 245$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 920 | 50%460 W · 460 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 816 | 57.1%466 W · 350 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2561…ce3ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 237.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78eb…9a2bbacked Miami Marlins | 60c | 215$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Miami Marlins | 60c | 213.93$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.07 | 484 | 46.7%226 W · 258 L | -33.7wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Los Angeles Angels | 30c | 201.9$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.58 | 215 | 47%101 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Los Angeles Angels | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1,418 | 43.4%616 W · 802 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…89ccbacked Los Angeles Angels | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Los Angeles Angels | 16c | 192.18$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.89 | 527 | 52.2%275 W · 252 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…eb76backed Los Angeles Angels | 11c | 181.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 262 | 42.7%112 W · 150 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Miami Marlins | 65c | 161$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.66 | 346 | 58.1%201 W · 145 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Los Angeles Angels | 7c | 159$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 405 | 43.5%176 W · 229 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…dd03backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 157.6$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2c…97c2backed Los Angeles Angels | 9c | 156.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 91 | 17.6%16 W · 75 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcab1…65babacked Miami Marlins | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Miami Marlins | 79c | 149.99$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 616 | 46.4%286 W · 330 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Los Angeles Angels | 41c | 146.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,201 | 49.1%590 W · 611 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 139$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.6 | 2,050 | 53.8%1,103 W · 947 L | +33.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Miami Marlins | 64c | 137.59$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.14 | 1,240 | 58.1%721 W · 519 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Miami Marlins | 59c | 133$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.53 | 754 | 53.2%401 W · 353 L | +23.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 130$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1,221 | 43.4%530 W · 691 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa78d…7279backed Los Angeles Angels | 41c | 124.68$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.12 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcebf…832ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 41c | 122$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 120$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,326 | 44%583 W · 743 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe702…d88cbacked Miami Marlins | 74c | 114.42$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 72cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed Los Angeles Angels | 41c | 110$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 287 | 50.9%146 W · 141 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Miami Marlins | 58c | 106.02$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.07 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 104.6$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.04 | 3,460 | 51.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L | +107.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6b…e0f3backed Miami Marlins | 60c | 102.86$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.14 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbb…3f66backed Los Angeles Angels | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 99.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 264 | 44.3%117 W · 147 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab8…c5c3backed Los Angeles Angels | 38c | 99.76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.91 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2c…00b5backed Los Angeles Angels | 39c | 95.82$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb2…ee14backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 94.82$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.82 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 89.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,293 | 43.5%562 W · 731 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…3f1bbacked Miami Marlins | 60c | 86.67$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.67 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…7e29backed Miami Marlins | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 547 | 40.2%220 W · 327 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56b4…11adbacked Los Angeles Angels | 43c | 82$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.94 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Miami Marlins | 59c | 80$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 710 | 44.5%316 W · 394 L | -23.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e7…af6bbacked Miami Marlins | 59c | 77$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.57 | 456 | 51.1%233 W · 223 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Los Angeles Angels | 26c | 73.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 1,278 | 57%728 W · 550 L | +33.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 71.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 963 | 49%472 W · 491 L | -39.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a48…9e7bbacked Los Angeles Angels | 41c | 69.83$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.63 | 195 | 49.2%96 W · 99 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Miami Marlins | 64c | 68.79$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.06 | 437 | 57%249 W · 188 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Miami Marlins | 64c | 68.79$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.05 | 583 | 58.5%341 W · 242 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Los Angeles Angels | 41c | 67.36$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 2,172 | 39.9%866 W · 1,306 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eea…f37cbacked Miami Marlins | 54c | 67.13$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.88 | 246 | 50.4%124 W · 122 L | -14.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4e…8e54backed Miami Marlins | 62c | 64.01$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf029…b1c7backed Miami Marlins | 59c | 52.78$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.64 | 109 | 55%60 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Miami Marlins | 59c | 51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 366 | 50.8%186 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami Marlinsthis page
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami MarlinsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.