MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbeedbb81fed14a00091f0aae6cb7e2a154d983e3bbea67cf6deb36a682fff13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $228,988
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $230,427
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $228,988 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56b9…79a2backed Over | 39c | 79,194$31,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,108.61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 62c | 58,250$36,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,212.8 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 61c | 49,161$30,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,039.92 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 59c | 38,971$23,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,889.84 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c0…1bedbacked Over | 38c | 26,608$10,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,214.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1171…98dcbacked Over | 37c | 22,400$8,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,288 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 60c | 22,166$13,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,850.01 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 43c | 16,151$6,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,944.91 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Over | 38c | 11,822$4,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,467.68 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 59c | 9,961$5,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,067.01 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 39c | 8,986$3,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,531.05 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 38c | 8,000$3,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,040 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 39c | 7,510$2,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,942.4 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 38c | 4,926$1,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,871.69 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 42c | 3,085$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,781.36 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Under | 64c | 3,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Under | 58c | 2,761$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.42 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 41c | 2,478$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.56 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbea4…fac9backed Under | 55c | 1,622$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 54c | 1,620$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.99 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 38c | 1,522$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.26 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 38c | 1,483$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.72 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 62c | 1,398$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.19 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 41c | 1,380$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.23 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Under | 57c | 1,316$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.79 | 186 | 58.6%109 W · 77 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Under | 60c | 1,250$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 48c | 1,142$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.5 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 34c | 1,114$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.86 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Over | 37c | 999.98$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.99 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 50c | 885.46$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.09 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Under | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Over | 39c | 695.99$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.88 | 450 | 45.8%206 W · 244 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Over | 37c | 675$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.75 | 187 | 41.2%77 W · 110 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Under | 63c | 551.18$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.89 | 215 | 47%101 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 71c | 481.94$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.7 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Over | 38c | 417.07$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.22 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe707…e0cfbacked Under | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…40febacked Over | 42c | 378.77$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.78 | 215 | 50.2%108 W · 107 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Over | 41c | 351.37$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.06 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b25…edc5backed Under | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…b5afbacked Over | 43c | 318.9$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.13 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Over | 51c | 313.69$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.92 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 39c | 275.76$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.55 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa845…6b8fbacked Under | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…9351backed Under | 63c | 238.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.1 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 47c | 234.06$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 58c | 210.88$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.72 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Under | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 59c | 198.14$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.24 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee8a…69acbacked Under | 58c | 182$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.44 | 146 | 55.5%81 W · 65 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 39c | 165.06$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.67 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 54c | 164.48$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.32 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 38c | 159.98$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.71 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 62c | 152.71$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 17c | 150$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.5 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Over | 40c | 133$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 736 | 53%390 W · 346 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 39c | 128.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea5…26e3backed Under | 61c | 122.95$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.95 | 194 | 54.6%106 W · 88 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 55c | 117.41$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.14 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Over | 43c | 112.53$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.39 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca3…be8ebacked Under | 62c | 108.73$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 107.79$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.54 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…7ce5backed Over | 37c | 106$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.67 | 121 | 40.5%49 W · 72 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Over | 37c | 102.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.43 | 526 | 38.4%202 W · 324 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Over | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 264 | 44.3%117 W · 147 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Over | 39c | 98.51$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.42 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Under | 46c | 96.33$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.35 | 153 | 40.5%62 W · 91 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 42c | 88.78$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.73 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0477…631cbacked Under | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 171 | 55.6%95 W · 76 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Over | 43c | 81.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 357 | 47.6%170 W · 187 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 29c | 80.69$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.29 | 474 | 46.6%221 W · 253 L | +26.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 44c | 79.55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x705f…f413backed Under | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Under | 62c | 77.25$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.09 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73ff…0facbacked Over | 79c | 75.95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 125 | 75.2%94 W · 31 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Under | 53c | 74.53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.03 | 424 | 48.1%204 W · 220 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Under | 62c | 73.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.94 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2b…51debacked Under | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 222 | 57.7%128 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…2c65backed Under | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 219 | 54.8%120 W · 99 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 38c | 60.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeccc…f0f8backed Under | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 73c | 52$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Over | 37c | 50.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb675…779fbacked Over | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0a…b267backed Over | 38c | 49.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 46c | 48.42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.51 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…44d6backed Under | 58c | 45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56b4…11adbacked Over | 34c | 43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32e2…af02backed Under | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Over | 41c | 39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2c…00b5backed Under | 59c | 36.44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x765b…5043backed Under | 58c | 34.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Over | 44c | 33.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Under | 62c | 32.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdfc…6690backed Under | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 63c | 30.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…03acbacked Over | 48c | 30.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Over | 39c | 29.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 314 | 46.8%147 W · 167 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 60c | 28.54$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 788 | 54.6%430 W · 358 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5this page
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami MarlinsMiami Marlins won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami MarlinsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.